TRADERS ANONYMOUS: Morning Audibles 5.28.10

Morning Audibles 5.28.10 - Here's a catchy tune! :-)

This was too good... I couldn't help but link it up it here as well...
(from KD)

253 comments:

«Oldest ‹Older 1 – 200 of 253 Newer› Newest»

mcHAPPY said...: Actually, looking at my count from last night, I am not liking it. The wave 2 (1095.14-1088.65) was not long enough. We could be in a 5 of wave 1 of C. This would most definitely push us up in to the nether regions of 1140's. I guess we are in wait and see mode.; May 28, 2010 at 7:33 AM
mcHAPPY said...: Actually, not most definitely but quite possibly.; May 28, 2010 at 7:49 AM
CV said...: The more I see it...

The more I'm liking Andy's 1040 area...; May 28, 2010 at 7:59 AM
CV said...: excuse me... 1140; May 28, 2010 at 8:00 AM
McFearless said...: nice video.; May 28, 2010 at 8:15 AM
CV said...: @McF

The "whistling past the graveyard" made me LOL; May 28, 2010 at 8:21 AM
POTUS said...: Yo, Timmy, another stimulus in the Fall is a LAY-UP; May 28, 2010 at 8:23 AM
CV said...: @McF

I know that you don't really ascribe EWI to individual stocks (or, at least, I know it's less reliable)...

But... if you were counting F would that be a "double top" to you (and the 2nd top the wave 2 peak)?; May 28, 2010 at 8:25 AM
CV said...: @POTUS

Then Amen is going to have to change his "Wrap" to

QE3 to infinity...; May 28, 2010 at 8:26 AM
Leftback said...: I am with you guys on the following:

DXY retracement in progress to 85 or below before another leg up.
SPX to 1110 and probably 1140-1150 before another leg down.
Momo Tuesday likely after BRIAN's BBQ.

Remember last Mon at Macro Man, I said:

Sell Yen
Sell Treasuries
Sell Volatility

Wish I traded the market as well as I make calls....; May 28, 2010 at 8:37 AM
Nic said...: LB Lives!!

That video is a great find CV; May 28, 2010 at 8:39 AM
McFearless said...: C,

Andy did a long term count on F a little while ago:

http://www.scribd.com/doc/27997943/Ford-Report-7-March-2010; May 28, 2010 at 8:41 AM
Anonymous said...: Re: F -- I think that the 3 or 4 penny difference could easily be a "throw over" and not a "higher high." Its definitely a double top if you draw your trendlines w/ a crayon. I'm not much of a wave counter, so for now F just looks lost in the no man's land between the 50 and the 200. I've never posted here but I followed you all over from the last blog and I just want to say thanks for keeping this going.; May 28, 2010 at 8:50 AM
CV said...: @LB

Brian can hardly wait for the weekend... He's probably already heating up the charcoal...

@McF

Thanks... I'm fascinated by this one now...; May 28, 2010 at 8:50 AM
Leftback said...: LB has to run before he gets another BEAT-DOWN in the comments from The Mistress.

Plus, his job is getting him down, travel, stress, deadlines, days from Hell. Basically major suckage, dudes. On the road again next week.

Have fun y'all, will try to catch you later today or will report after the get-together at BRIAN's on MONDAY.; May 28, 2010 at 8:50 AM
Brian the Broker's Shapely Assistant Tawny said...: C,

We nearly cancelled the BBQ - until that 3% rally - BRIAN was down in the fallout shelter last week avoiding clients, and I was on the phone all day long calming anxious inwestors.; May 28, 2010 at 8:53 AM
CV said...: @Tawny

They appear calm at the moment...

Feel free to put in the Junior Varsity team going into the weekend...; May 28, 2010 at 8:57 AM
Leftback said...: LB was right on the subject of an imminent face-ripper, BTW...

OK, good luck to all. Hang in there.; May 28, 2010 at 8:58 AM
Lord Blankfiend said...: "Feel free to put in the Junior Varsity team going into the weekend..."

Exactly. Jamie is already firing up the grill and we are having some grilled Euro shorts that we partially prepared yesterday.; May 28, 2010 at 9:00 AM
CV said...: @LB

The face ripper was a good call... CV took it to heart and has thus been "hedged" since 1042...

In 3-4 days it'll be time to start ripping faces the other way I'm sure...; May 28, 2010 at 9:08 AM
72bat said...: at the bbq brian might persuade a few joe & jane sixpacks to do this to prepare them for next week; May 28, 2010 at 9:09 AM
Leftback said...: I will leave you with this little nugget to remind you that whatever the equity market does is a SIDESHOW, with LIBOR rising and this action going on in corporate credit markets:

Spreads Have Widened; May 28, 2010 at 9:09 AM
CV said...: @LB

We're back to the fall of 2008...; May 28, 2010 at 9:19 AM
CV said...: libor; May 28, 2010 at 9:19 AM
mcHAPPY said...: Someone else may be able to offer clarity but it would appear we are heading for a double zigzag.; May 28, 2010 at 9:19 AM
karen said...: Morning!! FUN video! loved the surprise ending : ); May 28, 2010 at 9:20 AM
karen said...: Ben, see what JCG did this quarter?

J. Crew Group Inc.'s (JCG) fiscal first-quarter earnings more than doubled as the retailer benefited from decreased markdowns and promotional selling.

The retailer's results beat its previous estimate and it also raised its guidance for the full year to earnings of $2.35 to $2.45 a share, compared with its previous view of $2.20 to $2.30. Analysts were projecting $2.34 a share.; May 28, 2010 at 9:27 AM
karen said...: famous last words? May 28 (Bloomberg) -- An increase in the rate banks pay for three-month dollar loans isn’t indicative “of any imminent disaster in the financial system,” Citigroup Inc. said.

“This is not the stuff that financial crises are made of,” Mark Schofield, head of interest-rate strategy at Citigroup in London, wrote in a research note yesterday. “A return to the more prudent lending patterns of the 1980s and 90s, however, should be welcomed rather than feared from the perspective of the long-term health of the financial system in our view.”

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=arSCzJ5bC7qA&pos=4; May 28, 2010 at 9:33 AM
McFearless said...: Anon, C,

Yes, there is a lot to look at with the Ford chart but this is one I continue to keep an eye on.

Karen,

re: JCG, I wonder how many luxury shoppers are using them as an alternative of late? Looks like they are adding 15 new stores, we just got a new one in DE. They are still having losses with Madewell, not sure how big of an impact that could create if consumer spending is to slow. I see tangible book value at 5.89 on 1/31/10 and revenues increased in the last 12 months.; May 28, 2010 at 9:39 AM
AmenRa said...: Hmmm didn't expect that opening. Another test of my five 1-min candle theory. Also Trin >2.0

Junior traders being tested right out of the gate. iPhones just started ringing in the Hamptons.; May 28, 2010 at 9:41 AM
McFearless said...: did you all see the jump in bearish sentiment in AAII?; May 28, 2010 at 9:44 AM
karen said...: Interesting read on fire-walking, bat, thanks..

Ben, definitely an alternative to BG, NM, and Saks.. (as I can personally confirm!) I've been saying this since last year, I think.. Also, a hit with the twenty-somethings..; May 28, 2010 at 9:45 AM
karen said...: DL told you all this would happen : ); May 28, 2010 at 9:46 AM
karen said...: check hyg:lgd today.. would love to see a long bearish engulfing to confirm yesterday's enuf-is-enuf candle.; May 28, 2010 at 9:48 AM
AmenRa said...: PPT to the rescue; May 28, 2010 at 9:49 AM
McFearless said...: I think this dynamic with the H&S patterns is really very interesting.

We have a giant Head and Shoulders that has been forming over the last 10 years and it is very strict in how it has taken shape along with the underlying market charachteristics. We also have this one:

http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2010/05/dow-head-shoulders-chart/

and then the inverse we can all see

I'm also still pretty blown away with the fibo time relationships that continue to occur now that are nearly perfect larger cycle representations of the Great D.; May 28, 2010 at 9:50 AM
Nic said...: A good message for today:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fOniR2N63zQ
See if resistance becomes support at 1090; May 28, 2010 at 9:52 AM
karen said...: My other favorite topic: Bank Profit Mirage III From FASB With Love; May 28, 2010 at 9:58 AM
I-Man said...: Greetings in the name of the most high Jah...

Whatevah a gwan today, no mean a ting.; May 28, 2010 at 10:02 AM
AmenRa said...: Karen

Thanks for the link. Banks have been lying from day one. The fact that people are paying more attention to their shenanigans has to be driving them crazy.; May 28, 2010 at 10:08 AM
karen said...: LB, your XGF is twittering again..; May 28, 2010 at 10:09 AM
McFearless said...: anyone doing anything cool for the weekend?

apols, I'm hardly watching today, I had a 15 hour day yesterday....tired.; May 28, 2010 at 10:12 AM
I-Man said...: Oh, this weekend?

http://www.ncaa.com/brackets/2010/ncaa_bracket_DI_lacrosse_men.html

WA-HOO-WA, bitches!!!; May 28, 2010 at 10:19 AM
McFearless said...: I,

Was hoping UD made it a little further but they were bounced by the Heels in the first round. They usually have a pretty good squad.; May 28, 2010 at 10:27 AM
CV said...: I'm going to be riding up and down the Potomac in my boat (maybe a little waterskiing)...

Lobster (again) & corn on the menu...

They're CANADIAN lobster, Nic... :-); May 28, 2010 at 10:32 AM
bob said...: HW got a shot in at the other site.; May 28, 2010 at 10:32 AM
I-Man said...: I love Curtis Dickson, Ben...

He was one of the sickest attackmen I saw play this year. Definitely deserving of the Tewaaraton, the way he carried that team. I think he finished #1 in goals for all of D1. (Probably not far behind that in assists either.)

That quarterfinal game was awesome, I was really pulling for them.; May 28, 2010 at 10:34 AM
karen said...: Lawrence Yun finally got something right!!

http://www.cnbc.com/id/37381999

While sales of existing homes shot up across most of the nation in April, they fell in the West, down 6.2 percent.

"The sales are lower because of lack of inventory on lower-priced homes," says Lawrence Yun of the National Association of Realtors. "The California market was one of the first markets to go down sharply but also the first market to rebound."

The inventory of low-priced homes is low because of big investor demand initially and because banks are being very careful with REO (bank owned) properties, releasing them slowly onto the market so as not to tank prices.

But that's not all of it.

"We know the tax-credit has pushed low-priced houses up sharply and investors have backed away big-time in recent months, not wanting to compete with a bunch of first-timers and their Obama coupons," says mortgage analyst Mark Hanson. "Perhaps this is the end of the demand cycle from first timers and investors who have had their fill."; May 28, 2010 at 11:03 AM
Mel said...: Nic won't be a real Canadian until she finds herself waterskiing with an ipad...for fear of missing hockey in June.; May 28, 2010 at 11:05 AM
Nic said...: Hahaha funny. If we get some wind I am kitesurfing this weekend; May 28, 2010 at 11:15 AM
I-Man said...: Damn, Nic...

You must have some good upper body strength.; May 28, 2010 at 11:17 AM
I-Man said...: Ever seen the folks in SF Bay do that?

I've seen them catch like 20ft of air right by the GG bridge...; May 28, 2010 at 11:18 AM
bob said...: I saw a guy get kited into 80 ft pines last year. Weird winds on the small lakes around here. He was OK, but his friends were really working to get him down slowly. The kite wasn't so lucky.; May 28, 2010 at 11:24 AM
Mel said...: @
Nic

I'd be surfing suds on the patio at the Black Bull on Queen West.; May 28, 2010 at 11:26 AM
karen said...: The root of the housing bubble remains unchanged.; May 28, 2010 at 11:28 AM
Nic said...: Yeah those kites are more fragile than they look. It is great fun tho.; May 28, 2010 at 11:29 AM
CV said...: Jeff Spicoli says...

"All I need are some tasty waves and a cool buzz & I'm fine"; May 28, 2010 at 11:29 AM
Nic said...: Mel I am an east end girl. I will be in Ashbridges Bay.; May 28, 2010 at 11:30 AM
CV said...: @karen

I didn't know "bubbles" had "roots"...

That's a new one for CV :-); May 28, 2010 at 11:30 AM
I-Man said...: Do we close early today, or are we on a full shift?; May 28, 2010 at 11:32 AM
bob said...: The wind is notoriously crazy there. Small lakes in the mountains, lots of small mico-climates, "cats paws" everywhere.

I've never seen anyone try it before there. I he was the reason, he didn't seem local.; May 28, 2010 at 11:35 AM
McFearless said...: some interesting waves being painted here....; May 28, 2010 at 11:36 AM
McFearless said...: from Karen's link....Obama coupons....that's classic.; May 28, 2010 at 11:37 AM
karen said...: The Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission (FCIC) has subpoenaed Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK-B) CEO Warren Buffet after the highly regarded investment guru turned done two invitations to testify before the Committee.

The FCIC first contacted Buffett on May 12 when Wendy Edelberg, executive director of the commission, sent a letter to him saying that his views on several financial topics would be of “great value” to the group.

According to the request, the FCIC wanted to discuss the misuse of derivative investments, rating agencies and too big to fail.

Buffett turned down the request as he associated testimony before the FCIC with those who were generally implicated in the financial crisis.

The FCIC followed with another request on May 17 requesting a “private interview” with a possible hearing to follow, to which Buffet again politely declined.

The third request, a subpoena, cannot be declined by Buffet and states during his testimony questions will be focused on the credit rating agencies.

http://www.americanbankingnews.com/2010/05/28/berkshire-hathaways-nyse-brk-b-warren-buffett-subpoenaed-by-fcic/; May 28, 2010 at 11:39 AM
McFearless said...: p/c was really high this morning, 2.1, declining now but still very high.; May 28, 2010 at 11:40 AM
McFearless said...: The Warren Buffett persona should be ripped to shreds by Primary Wave 3.; May 28, 2010 at 11:41 AM
Nic said...: Bob don't worry I will be on Lake Ontario. If it all goes wrong I will call you to get me in NY; May 28, 2010 at 11:44 AM
bob said...: Don't forget to check in with customs on the way over...;); May 28, 2010 at 11:48 AM
72bat said...: @ i-man
because ex-wing walkers are likely to have superior upper body strength?

nic - do you have pix of you in flight back in the day?; May 28, 2010 at 11:48 AM
I-Man said...: I respect my elders, but I think Uncle Warren has some skeletons in his closet that may be overdue to see the light.; May 28, 2010 at 11:54 AM
CV said...: @I-Man

WB... "When the REAL tide goes out we'll see who's swimming naked"...

CV is only half interested today... I'm basically just checking in from time to time to make sure the junior varsity doesn't screw things up...

Packing up the truck for a long weekend :-); May 28, 2010 at 12:01 PM
Nic said...: I do Bat, I will scan it for you this weekend.; May 28, 2010 at 12:02 PM
I-Man said...: Let the lobsters live, CV...

:); May 28, 2010 at 12:03 PM
karen said...: Nic, we would all be thrilled to see!; May 28, 2010 at 12:05 PM
72bat said...: nic -
in bat's imagination that image might well be a candidate for a survivor capital logo. eh, cv?; May 28, 2010 at 12:14 PM
Nic said...: You don't think that sitting on his boat drinking champagne is a better logo for "survivor capital"?; May 28, 2010 at 12:17 PM
72bat said...: wing-walking implies a certain level of ability, judgment and plain nerve, right?
boat sittin', bubbly sippin', not so much.; May 28, 2010 at 12:19 PM
I-Man said...: I think the 60min AUDJPY chart should be the new logo for Survivor Capital...

Anyone up for a cliff dive?; May 28, 2010 at 12:21 PM
karen said...: Interesting Book Review: The Great Reflation

"He also comes to the conclusion that I do, that there are no easy asset allocation decisions here, and that one should diversify widely in order to preserve assets. Also, he concludes that there is no easy endgame for heavily indebted nations, and that there will be a reckoning, though whether that means inflation or deflation is impossible to tell in advance."; May 28, 2010 at 12:23 PM
72bat said...: so far, (fwiw, not so much) midpoint of today's range is a certain magic number (don't mention it in a certain person's presence though).

current opinion on which gap gets filled first, still last wednesday's 1115 before this wednesday's 1068? dl?; May 28, 2010 at 12:25 PM
arbitrage789 said...: Karen @ 9:46

"All this"...?; May 28, 2010 at 12:26 PM
I-Man said...: I know I'm in the minority here, but I think the 1107-1115 gap stands firm.

The market will make it hard to short this top.; May 28, 2010 at 12:27 PM
I-Man said...: @ Nic, Bob, Mel...

I-Man spent the night at Fort George once. Inside the fort, actually. It was kinda cool.; May 28, 2010 at 12:29 PM
karen said...: Taleb twitters! The first is one I know too well, sadly.

A friendship that ends was never one; there was at least one sucker in it.

The weak shows off his strength, hides his defects; the magnificent exhibits his defects like ornaments. [Robustness]

Saying "the mathematics of uncertainty" is like saying "the chastity of sex" -what is mathematized is no longer uncertain, & vice versa; May 28, 2010 at 12:30 PM
Mel said...: @
Nic

I used to produce segments for CBC radio/tv and Rodgers Broadcast Prods while taking classes at OCA...had three different apts in Clarence Sq....where Wellington meets Spadina...however, also lived off Fallingbrook Rd. for a year...walked the Queen E boardwalk every day...My farms in Sk., however, where I'm currently looking out for my aging mom. I'm looking forward to moving back.; May 28, 2010 at 12:31 PM
I-Man said...: I take that back, it was Fort Niagra in NY we stayed at...

Did a gig at Fort George the next day.; May 28, 2010 at 12:31 PM
CV said...: @Nic

My boat ain't all that...

We're not talking TWSWB's type of boat...

Just something that's:

- powerful enough to ski behind
- doesn't draft too much (as the Potomac can get low in late summer if there's no rain
- but can also handle the chop on the Chesapeake Bay (when I go crabbing this summer); May 28, 2010 at 12:31 PM
CV said...: @I-Man (12:27)

You'll change your mind next Tuesday :-); May 28, 2010 at 12:32 PM
I-Man said...: Oh yeah?

You mean 1126?

That number may be disconnected by Tuesday...; May 28, 2010 at 12:35 PM
CV said...: @I-Man

In the end, it doesn't really matter...

A trip from 1126 to the 1140's will be very short lived...; May 28, 2010 at 12:38 PM
karen said...: DL, I was just being silly; it was a compliment in reference to your, "Yeah, I couldn't resist. Had to sell (short) an S&P contract at the close. May 27, 2010 4:02 PM"; May 28, 2010 at 12:38 PM
karen said...: I-Man @ 12:27, the fact that you and I are in the same camp might be a contrary indicator!! LOL.; May 28, 2010 at 12:39 PM
karen said...: Oh, back in a sec.. let me see how far up my latest short positions are : ); May 28, 2010 at 12:39 PM
CV said...: It only means something to people like ME (that is playing with BEER MONEY)...

If you're running with mega "m's" & "b's", well, this is the last chance to "SELL IN MAY & GO AWAY"...

(which is what some of them did this morning)...; May 28, 2010 at 12:40 PM
Nic said...: Sorry I-Man I don't see today as anymore than a pullback after a bigger rally and I think we have to correct higher before we can fall again. Look on it as good selling opportunities to come.; May 28, 2010 at 12:41 PM
CV said...: @karen

...all that RUSH was, was to validate the end of:

"2 of 5 of C"; May 28, 2010 at 12:42 PM
CV said...: which means... "watch out for 3"; May 28, 2010 at 12:43 PM
CV said...: we could even be at 1114 at the close...

(not a prediction); May 28, 2010 at 12:43 PM
72bat said...: cv-
3000 spxu is a lotta pbr's, but yeah when compared to mega-m's & b's, sorta.; May 28, 2010 at 12:43 PM
I-Man said...: I know CV, but we're running out of things to disagree about.

1110's the high print for next week I think...

Failure to close gap will mark the next leg down.; May 28, 2010 at 12:43 PM
karen said...: CV, baby, the only waves i know are off salt water. That's why I appreciate all of you so much.; May 28, 2010 at 12:44 PM
karen said...: oops on 1090; May 28, 2010 at 12:45 PM
I-Man said...: Ok Karen, its me and you against the world.
(But hopefully not against the tape.)

Its probably not fair for me to be making all these calls, and bets and shit, when I'm not even trading, so full disclosure bitches...

I only have pride at stake here, and pride is cheap.; May 28, 2010 at 12:46 PM
I-Man said...: Told ya I was feeling up for a dive...; May 28, 2010 at 12:47 PM
Nic said...: Well i hope you are rinsing it with your shorts Karen :); May 28, 2010 at 12:47 PM
I-Man said...: Trendline support on the 15min at 1086... lets see if she can hold it.; May 28, 2010 at 12:48 PM
arbitrage789 said...: If we can get down to 1075, I'd be tempted to buy for a pop on Tuesday. (Of course, 1055 would be better, but we're not going to get there today).; May 28, 2010 at 12:49 PM
Nic said...: Spain cut to AA plus from AAA by Fitch; May 28, 2010 at 12:51 PM
I-Man said...: DL,
1074 is my next support target after 1086, fwiw.; May 28, 2010 at 12:51 PM
CV said...: @I-Man

My main curiosity is if the MONTHLY 3lB reverses today (or next month)...

That's 1094...

So if it stays pinned down here - you'll know why...

Extend and pretend (if even for only a month)...; May 28, 2010 at 12:54 PM
I-Man said...: That was a sneaky little downgrade... wonder how the Hampton's team likes that news?

:); May 28, 2010 at 12:55 PM
arbitrage789 said...: Nic @ 12:51

Most shocking, indeed.; May 28, 2010 at 12:55 PM
karen said...: pull up a one month, 30 min chart of the spx and compare in KD fashion from video above.. this week to the 5 trading days beginning May 5.; May 28, 2010 at 12:59 PM
Nic said...: Fitch downgrades CDO's guaranteed by Spain:
http://www.zerohedge.com/article/and-now-fitch-downgrades-cdos-guaranteed-spain-margin-calls-anyone; May 28, 2010 at 12:59 PM
I-Man said...: Where are we now? SPY 109.68.

What was 109.68?

Check the low from week of 10/03/08...
The LEH gap.

Just found it interesting, probably doesnt mean anything.; May 28, 2010 at 1:04 PM
karen said...: There are so many lessons here!

Pequot Trading Probe Could Yield $1 Million Bounty for Ex-Wife

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aRb89CVHbnNI&pos=7; May 28, 2010 at 1:09 PM
CV said...: @I-Man

IMO - At this point you have to start looking at MONTHLY CLOSING CANDLES...

One way or another, P3 isn't going to get started until a final backtest is done on either monthly closes, or monthly high wicks...

We're too far under that right now to make it viable...

Even if we go down from here, we'd come back to test it in July...

It's time to get the show on the road...; May 28, 2010 at 1:10 PM
I-Man said...: Maybe this isnt a P3... Maybe its just a move down to 800 to convince everyone its a P3...

Sometimes I think the labels can be counter productive.; May 28, 2010 at 1:17 PM
AmenRa said...: What's the "risk off" area for AUDJPY?; May 28, 2010 at 1:21 PM
I-Man said...: I'd say about 76, but I'll let Nic be the Authoritah on that one...; May 28, 2010 at 1:24 PM
Anonymous said...: Ackman bullish on America and Citi... Hmmmm. "well capitalized balance sheet", "powerful earnings engine" ... "not generally a stock mkt guy, but large cap seems pretty cheap to me" and he made 50X on GGP

2s2b; May 28, 2010 at 1:26 PM
Nic said...: I'm looking to sell AUDJPY again around 82.00; May 28, 2010 at 1:26 PM
Nic said...: AUDUSD around 87.00; May 28, 2010 at 1:27 PM
CV said...: @I-Man

I can't explain EWI (like ben or Andy could)...

But it seems "less" likely to me that it would occur that way...

They'll tell you... EWI is more about a PROBABILITY MATRIX... Of course anything is possible, but then there's betting high probability outcomes & longshots...

CV still thinks we take out the March '09 lows... But not tomorrow...; May 28, 2010 at 1:27 PM
McFearless said...: I highly doubt many people would be convinced of a P3 scenario if we move to 800, instead I'd think the following would happen:

1. E-wavers begin to call that down move wave 2 down, and their Primary wave 3 will be up, huge bull market.

2. it will be termed a "healthy correction" and a fantastic buying opp, "look what happened in 2009, things are way better now" many comparisons will be drawn to bull markets and those types of corrections. People will begin to clasp dummy data like p/e ratios and the like.

I don't even know many wavers that believe in P3, that's an outcome being counted by a small small minority of market participants.

Bring it up outside corners like this and you'll be called crazy. Want proof? Go make the comment on Barry's market rally thread and see what happens.; May 28, 2010 at 1:27 PM
arbitrage789 said...: 1080 is calling to Mr. Market.; May 28, 2010 at 1:29 PM
Nic said...: AUDJPY for today, I would change my view to "risk off" from pullback below 74.00; May 28, 2010 at 1:29 PM
Nic said...: I see AUDJPY should get to 80.00 before the next swing down.; May 28, 2010 at 1:32 PM
I-Man said...: GS 144 weekly close seems big...; May 28, 2010 at 1:32 PM
McFearless said...: @2s2b,

the question is....did Bill cry when he said it? Very emotional guy....; May 28, 2010 at 1:34 PM
karen said...: Bill looked like cr*p and spoke cr*p in that video..; May 28, 2010 at 1:35 PM
I-Man said...: Ben, you'll like this...

So on my FB page, because I'm bored as hell today, I have posed the following:

Bel Biv Devoe OR Boyz 2 Men?... That, is the question.

I've been amazed by the response so far... several people have stated their preference.

I'll give you the results, if you answer the question...

Social mood.

:); May 28, 2010 at 1:36 PM
AmenRa said...: Using 10 SMA SPX monthly closes:

10/31/00 below
3/29/02 above
4/30/02 below
4/30/03 above
7/30/04 below
10/29/04 above
11/30/07 below
6/30/09 above
5/28/10 ??? (10 SMA= 1096.22); May 28, 2010 at 1:39 PM
karen said...: this article makes me think markets are very unstable:

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=a_gKkM37yJz0&pos=7; May 28, 2010 at 1:40 PM
CV said...: @McF (1:27)

That's my sense... I'm glad you're around to describe it in a better technical sense... (as "technical" relates to emotion)...; May 28, 2010 at 1:44 PM
AmenRa said...: We'll be seeing this before the day is over: Exit Stage Left; May 28, 2010 at 1:45 PM
bob said...: Iman-

Neither

http://www.dailymotion.com/video/x2767r_biz-markie-just-a-friend_music; May 28, 2010 at 1:46 PM
I-Man said...: Oh but Karen, insurers and all their annuity products are totally safe, right?; May 28, 2010 at 1:47 PM
I-Man said...: Wow Bob, I didnt see that Dark Horse entering the race...; May 28, 2010 at 1:47 PM
arbitrage789 said...: AmenRa @ 1:45

Care to quantitate that?; May 28, 2010 at 1:48 PM
I-Man said...: Hey Ra,

What are your numbers on the squid?; May 28, 2010 at 1:49 PM
AmenRa said...: DL

Trin has been holding 1.5 or higher most of the day. Usually indicates a sell off into the close (I said usually).; May 28, 2010 at 1:50 PM
arbitrage789 said...: AmenRa,

I want the EXACT closing number for the S&P500.

Nothing less will do.; May 28, 2010 at 1:52 PM
karen said...: all i know is rsi and sto on spx/spy are not on the band wagon..; May 28, 2010 at 1:52 PM
karen said...: and this is not a typical recovery.. hell, it's not even a recovery..; May 28, 2010 at 1:53 PM
CV said...: Y'all really think they're going to let the JAYVEE screw this up going into a 3 day weekend?; May 28, 2010 at 1:55 PM
karen said...: from ZH: It must have been at least a week without the US government announcing some stimulus, subsidy, tariff or other protectionist measure, because today the government just passed yet another $79 billion stimulus bill, extending unemployment benefits and restoring expired tax breaks. The net cost to the deficit: around $30 billion. This really is a drop in the bucket: so far in fiscal 2010, the US budget has already spent over $107 billion on unemployment benefits, and $30 billion is less than the government raises in one of its three biweekly coupon auctions. On the other hand, when Obama next wonders why nobody in America works any more, he may want to reevaluate that 6 million unemployed people in the US are now encouraged to be on government payrolls for; May 28, 2010 at 1:55 PM
AmenRa said...: DL

If I knew that I wouldn't be at work.; May 28, 2010 at 1:56 PM
CV said...: Oh yeah I can just read it now...

Friday Headlines... "DOW CLOSES UNDER 10,000 - enjoy your barbecues folks"; May 28, 2010 at 1:57 PM
I-Man said...: @ Ra

Thx! I had a feeling 144 would sneak in there somewhere...

@ CV

But that implies they are in control...; May 28, 2010 at 1:57 PM
McFearless said...: Man, that's a tough one I.

I think I gotta go with Boyz 2 Men.

I've got some memories from my middle school dayz with those guys.; May 28, 2010 at 1:57 PM
arbitrage789 said...: I'm more fiscally conservative than most, but I do favor providing extended unemployment benefits in the current environment. In any case, it's a lot cheaper than all the cr*p that Obama wants to spend money on.; May 28, 2010 at 1:58 PM
McFearless said...: I only have basic chart pulled up....what's volume like today? Little sharper here than I expected....; May 28, 2010 at 1:58 PM
CV said...: @karen

On the other hand, when Obama next wonders why nobody in America works any more, he may want to reevaluate that 6 million unemployed people in the US are now encouraged to be on government payrolls

That's what CV has been saying all along...

It's Obama's MO...

He WANTS everybody to be sucking off the government tit...

That's how facist dictators are created...; May 28, 2010 at 1:59 PM
AmenRa said...: I mean, what are the chances that at 2:31 we hear "Release the Kracken!"; May 28, 2010 at 1:59 PM
I-Man said...: @ DL

I'll take the easy way out: 1078.87; May 28, 2010 at 2:00 PM
arbitrage789 said...: I-Man,

I vehemently disagree. I say 1078.85.; May 28, 2010 at 2:01 PM
CV said...: @I-Man

I never said they were in control...

But on a low volume Friday (in front of a holiday weekend)... It's not that hard to make it so you can pick up pennies (on either side)...; May 28, 2010 at 2:01 PM
McFearless said...: I'm gonna have to go with 1078.86 then.

That's contrarian baby.; May 28, 2010 at 2:02 PM
CV said...: I'll buy the KRACKEN at 1078... (even tho I wasn't going to do anything - and FRANKLY - the truck is packed and I'm ready to go)...

kind of "annoyed" actually...; May 28, 2010 at 2:03 PM
arbitrage789 said...: McF,

No, that's middle-of-the-road.; May 28, 2010 at 2:03 PM
Anonymous said...: OT - @I, bob,
Maybe throw a little Heavy D & the Boyz in the survey mix?

Ben - Ackman wasn't cryin' and didn't mention off balance sheet "assets" either, maybe he'll be out before it matters

2s2b; May 28, 2010 at 2:03 PM
karen said...: Personally, i hate the mtg interest deduction..

http://taxvox.taxpolicycenter.org/blog/_archives/2010/5/27/4538831.html; May 28, 2010 at 2:04 PM
I-Man said...: You can plan a pretty picnic but you caint predict the weatha...; May 28, 2010 at 2:04 PM
arbitrage789 said...: Karen @ 2:04

I favor eliminating ALL deductions.

But lower the rates.; May 28, 2010 at 2:06 PM
karen said...: DL.. hmm, what does it mean when we are seeing eye to eye? laughing; May 28, 2010 at 2:10 PM
Nic said...: Zerohedge tweeted:
the hamptons party is over
lol; May 28, 2010 at 2:11 PM
CV said...: @karen

It means DL is standing on "4 inch ELEVATOR PLATFORMS" (vis-a-vis Saturday Night Fever) :-); May 28, 2010 at 2:12 PM
karen said...: Nic! LOL.. just saw that and this from HousingWire:

Lehman Brothers estate sues JP Morgan Chase; May 28, 2010 at 2:13 PM
CV said...: @Nic

TWSWB doesn't care...

He's IN CASH (risk free - just collectin' commissions)... :-); May 28, 2010 at 2:13 PM
AmenRa said...: DL

1071 which is the trendline using the 2010 lows.; May 28, 2010 at 2:14 PM
CV said...: @Nic

Hey Nic... What's your fee? 1%? 2%?... On a mil... What am I out?

$5,000? $10,000?

Great!

I'll just send you my money and you can hold it in cash for me (while I pay you that commission)...

Or would you prefer I just mail you a check for $10,000 & call it a day?; May 28, 2010 at 2:17 PM
arbitrage789 said...: K @ 2:10

In a manner of speaking.; May 28, 2010 at 2:17 PM
bob said...: TLT at day high, not usual for a friday.; May 28, 2010 at 2:17 PM
Nic said...: Errm whats the fee for?; May 28, 2010 at 2:20 PM
AmenRa said...: Why do I get the feeling that Obama is trying to time his speech to when the circuit breakers are off? So he can allow TPTB to run the market higher into the close. Can't have a down day leading into a holiday weekend. {snark}; May 28, 2010 at 2:21 PM
Nic said...: we only stopped cos the crude pit is closing. Every Friday afternoon crude bounces up 50ticks on closing.; May 28, 2010 at 2:22 PM
Leftback said...: Did nothing today but my FI portfolio is up. Now that's what I call economy of effort, making something go up without doing anything.

You might make some money shorting TLT into the close. A momo rally on Tuesday would be one plausible scenario.; May 28, 2010 at 2:23 PM
Nic said...: Good grief. Advertisement for "pre-owned" BMW's:
http://twitpic.com/1ebm4f; May 28, 2010 at 2:24 PM
CV said...: @LB

Good Idea!; May 28, 2010 at 2:26 PM
karen said...: good grief...; May 28, 2010 at 2:26 PM
karen said...: And this is new news?

http://blogs.wsj.com/developments/2010/05/28/more-bank-owned-homes-likely-to-hit-the-market/; May 28, 2010 at 2:28 PM
I-Man said...: FWIW,

It was Bel Biv Devoe in a landslide...; May 28, 2010 at 2:28 PM
CV said...: But alas...

CV is doing nothing...

It was probably a lot of fun for the JUNIOR VARSITY ALGOS...

But I'm packed and ready to go (and I'm going to "blow off" the last 90 here)...

PEEPS - I'll put up some threads over the weekend (social - have fun stuff)...

Hopefully - Andy will be back Sunday EVE... I'm sure he will but I haven't talked to him...

CV (off to the farm); May 28, 2010 at 2:30 PM
I-Man said...: Drive a pre-owned bmw, get a fly female, and feel better about your self.; May 28, 2010 at 2:30 PM
I-Man said...: Flyest muthafucka in the McD's drive thru...; May 28, 2010 at 2:31 PM
karen said...: i could make a case for 1065, again..; May 28, 2010 at 2:33 PM
AmenRa said...: I-Man

Or in the parking lot at Aldi's; May 28, 2010 at 2:34 PM
72bat said...: cv -
re TWSWB, on tuesday he posted this
our Long/Short accounts
QID $21.16 3%
BJ $39.14 5%
OSTK $22.64 5%
NAV $52.80 5%
ICE $122.08 5%
PCS $8.80 4%
We are 24% long, with a 6% short position in the QIDs. Hence, our net exposure is 18%.; May 28, 2010 at 2:35 PM
I-Man said...: LOL Ra... had to google that one.; May 28, 2010 at 2:37 PM
I-Man said...: Great, are we back to tooling around with 1090 again?

Pfft.; May 28, 2010 at 2:38 PM
bob said...: BMW ad-

You've always wanted one, but could never afford it. We've been repositioning them from wall street fat cats and now want to move them to main street. Who knows who owned it before you? Madoff? His wife? Some hedge fund guy from connecticut? It only ads to the mystique.; May 28, 2010 at 2:38 PM
I-Man said...: Oh shit, this was John Voight's car!!!; May 28, 2010 at 2:41 PM
Nic said...: Why you shouldn't touch UNG
http://etfdb.com/2010/ung-not-a-scam-but-a-tough-bet-to-win/; May 28, 2010 at 2:44 PM
Leftback said...: "Good grief. Advertisement for "pre-owned" BMW's:
http://twitpic.com/1ebm4f"

Heavens. I hope so. She looks about 12... tacky.; May 28, 2010 at 2:44 PM
I-Man said...: Have fun with 1094, algos.; May 28, 2010 at 2:45 PM
McFearless said...: Man, I would of thought BIIM would have won.; May 28, 2010 at 2:45 PM
McFearless said...: C,

I think AT will have some charts for us next week.

I'm packing it in.

Everyone have a great weekend.; May 28, 2010 at 2:47 PM
Karen's Secret Admirer said...: "Now that's what I call economy of effort, making something go up without doing anything."

I bet Karen can achieve this simply by walking on the beach....; May 28, 2010 at 2:47 PM
I-Man said...: Boy, that SPX 1min chart sure looks "natural" doesnt it?

Got a real healthy market on our hands here...; May 28, 2010 at 2:49 PM

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