Somehow... This week... I neglected to think about, or partake, in any kind of ceremony as to what I suppose should be considered an
"ANNIVERSARY"... (for the record - it's not my style to do so)...
One year (& TWO DAYS) ago... I started this mess of a blog with this...
16 comments there... 2 by "me"... Mostly expressing confusion & reticence (except for CV - who was not confused - in that moment)... It took 5 whole days after that to match the DAY ONE TOTAL... And that occurred by virtue of 50% comments by CV... And the "other" 50% of the comments being TEXAS RADIO & E117 basically telling me how to stop being an idiot & do the fonts & color schemes "better"...
I bring this up now not for any other reason than to say the following... Well - FIRST (employing, once again, my powers of TOTAL RECALL)...
But also to say that, ironically...
I've decided to resign (this blog) at this milestone... The reason is because I have nothing left to say about these markets (I discovered that yesterday)...
I've spent my time over the past year offering many insights, many metaphors, links, cross-references, pop-art, pop-music... Or, "whatever" I could conjure to keep a process which can be
DULL and
TEDIOUS...
"Entertaining & Motivating" instead... It's not so easy of a task to do that on a daily basis (especially when you're working from scratch, and have highly intelligent minds to entertain & needed to be fed [Oh no! He said "Fed"])... Notwithstanding... I gave it my best shot...
This following is true... Since DAY ONE... I'd never looked at "blog statistics"... In fact... I never even knew those types of things were available (until today)... It could actually be that what I'm going to present to you now is "something new" (a new feature) from BLOGGER... I wouldn't know because as I said...
"I never bothered to look"... Instead - I just tried to think up something entertaining to write every day... I STUMBLED across this [that feature] just because I had to "get into" BLOGGER this evening to clean up some of the original posts I'd made (because many of you don't know I'd used the threads as "dumping grounds" for various images & things that I knew nobody would ever bother linking back to)...
Anyway... In that process, I was surprised (VERY SURPRISED) to find out some statistics...
Despite the meager beginnings (as described above)... This blog has had (as of this writing)
192,741 unique "page hits" over the past year... Last "month" the number was
19,955 and YESTERDAY alone was
1,028... (whatever that means)...
Before anyone gets impressed with that, let me say that the numbers have GONE DOWN since the summer... Ironically (or not)... The highest concentration of page hits was during the "extreme fear" of the bear market (in EARLY JULY of last year)...
In fact, the 2nd most "page views" was July 1st (on this thread)...
The 3rd most "page views" was on this thread...
With 7/13 and 7/14 right behind...
Ironically (or not)... The #1 most page views was this...
More distinct...(which I apologize that I'm failing to illustrate graphically - Amen Ra & Andy T could honor you all with these graphs because they have privy to these)... Is the fact that there has been a significant slide in "traffic" over the past month (since about December 2nd,
OR, the EXACT day that I made this post)...
I seriously don't know what to make of that... (but if you look at a SPX "daily" chart - you may extrapolate whatever you wish at your own leisure - which I'm sure you're all SMART enough to do - tape "afficianados" that you all are - expressly)...
What "I see" (an expression which has become a
dangerous revelation as of late), is that the popular indices have basically gone straight up (just count the number of "DAILY" green and red candles and extrapolate your own outcome based on your individual diagnostics of NORMAL market behavior)... Within the mathematical probability of assumption might be that there is a lot LESS interest in what appears to be a "bear blog" [even though that's NOT what CV professes to be]) during times that the market seems to be behaving in a SYNTHETIC "total conviction" environment... Or, I might just be a clueless DOLT who is imagining things & who farms, builds tilapia irrigation conduits, goes "off grid" energy, & exchanges nickels on an occasional basis...
I'm too dumb to know what SYNTHETIC means in this context (all I know is that it "feels" this way - and the populace seems to BEHAVE in that way - although only a FOOL would assign any CAUSALITY to any of those observations)... This, I've learned...
I'm an AUTHOR (exponentially - beyond my own, ot my FAMILY's survival needs)... I write (in this "exquisite" freedom on time)... I try to entertain (in the process)... "Entertainment" means that you must try to connect with what people are "feeling"... If they can't relate, they're not entertained... In this streaming digital information world, if you lose the attention of people for ONE SECOND, you might as well have lost them forever (I know that through 30 years of practicing my craft)... It's a MIRACLE that I've managed to entertain people for an entire year (on this silly blog)... Either that, or they just feel sorry for me (which is HIGHLY probable)...
"PATIENCE" is not a luxury one can afford (yet TIME is a critical element in everything)... For example... The SUPERBOWL will be played in Dallas, TX on February 6th... But some feel the need to start the discussion about it today... The only way to get through the interim is distraction... So it is with THE MARKETS (you know - those things that geniuses like Ritholtz & Krugman make their "lifes work" around)... Even though I can't POSSIBLY have better answers than those geniuses (with regards to THE MARKET)... As an author of a blog (my feeble attempt)... I've always felt that it was important to FILL THE EMPTY SPACE (a dynamic that I presume to be important... Simply by "human logic")...
In July (as evidenced above), there was NO EMPTY SPACE... Markets (the "protagonist", in this drama), were on the verge of crashing... People NEEDED TO KNOW WHY (but frankly, from my POV, the threads themselves [my threads] were not COMPELLING)...
Neither was, on September 1st, the thread
(not even my Top 10 "funniest" IMO)... But what WAS compelling to me was... "WHY" were they behaving that way? (markets & interest "IN" them at that time)... What CAUSED the sudden change?... There may not be answer for that, but it doesn't negate the question itself... PEOPLE WANT AN EXPLANATION FOR THINGS THEY CAN'T COMPREHEND...
Nobody knows exactly HOW (to this day) the iceberg REALLY sunk the Titanic... They "think" they have clues, but their curiosity will always be on display... So on and so on...
To bring this "NEED" into the present [the curiosity]... I'm going to admit that I don't have any answers... In the past months, I've used "subterfuge" (I used the NFL and NCAA - and "in depth" summaries on how and why THE UNEXPECTED happens in football all the time)... If you'd made "side by side" NFL BETS with me... You'd have most likely outdistanced your S&P returns for 2010 by a large margin...
But again... This is a "tough crowd"... And I'm afraid to say that the "INEXPLICABLE" rise in the S&P, I can no longer explain...
I "tried" to explain it in the summer (when I started the "silver bitchez" & "nickles bitchez" MEME - which I've mostly continued straight on in "comments")...
But I was laughed at...
I made my best attempts to CONCEAL that it was my belief that "hot liquidity money" was finding its way into commodities (all ASSETS, but commodities as a "beta" - an expression I used many times since last August)...
HOT LIQUIDITY MONEY???? WTF???? What the hell is that?
I'm sure it has NOTHING TO DO with the Fed... POMO... "Perceptions" thereto... These are phenomenoa that surface all by themselves... (as with other soft and hard commodities)... The box of Cheerios on the shelf I see at the supermarket IS NOT smaller in dimension & higher in price... The price at the gas pump I see IS NOT $3.19 a gallon (it's $2.69 - like it was BEFORE the Fed announced QE2)...
I'm certainly just imagining things... (so my comments are WURTHLEZZ)...
And so... As an IMAGINER of things... & as an author of a BLOG that has "page hits" which are decreasing in size (in conjunction with an S&P which rises DAILY, with TOTAL CONVICTION, in an environment where the PUBLIC PERCEPTION [erroneous or not] is that THE FED has control)... Well... I'm going to say NO MAS...
NOT to the Fed... (NO... I'm not bowing down to THAT for God's sake)... But INSTEAD to everyone who insists that none of these CURIOUS levers have NOTHING TO DO with policymaking (OR "reaction" to policymaking, however NIMWITTED that may BE, or prove to be)...
Do whatever you want bitchez! Trade your tapes...
Instead, it's time for CV to TURN THE PAGE...
On a long and lonesome highway
East of Omaha
You can listen to the engine
Moanin' out his one note song
You can think about the woman
Or the girl you knew the night before...
But your thoughts will soon be wandering
The way they always do
When you're WRITIN' sixteen hours
And there's nothin' much to do
And you don't feel much like WRITIN',
You just wish the trip was through...
Here I am
On the road again
There I am
Up on the stage
Here I go
Playin' star again
There I go
Turn the page...
Out there in the spotlight
You're a million miles away
Every ounce of energy
You try to give away
As the sweat pours out your body
Like the music that you play
Later in the evening
As you lie awake in bed
With the echoes from the amplifiers
Ringin' in your head
You smoke the day's last cigarette,
Rememberin' what she said...
Here I am
On the road again
There I am
Up on the stage
Here I go
Playin' star again
There I go
TURN THE PAGE...
Amen Ra & Andy... PLEASE... Take it from here...
Thank you all for your PATRONAGE!... (This 'memorable' year... FOR ME)
Sincerely,
CV