Morning Audibles 9.22.10

And then there was one...




So I suppose everybody has heard the news that Snaglepuss Larry Summers is..





Otherwise known as: jumping ship, gettin' while the gittin's good, skippin town, gettin' the hell out of dodge...


Well, here's the OFFICIAL version (or one of 'em)...


Larry Summers leaving White House


The Obamanator remarked: "I will always be grateful that at a time of great peril for our country, a man of Larry's brilliance, experience and judgment was willing to answer the call and lead our economic team. Over the past two years, he has helped guide us from the depths of the worst recession since the 1930s to renewed growth. And while we have much work ahead to repair the damage done by the recession, we are on a better path thanks in no small measure to Larry's wise counsel. We will miss him here at the White House, but I look forward to soliciting his continued advice and his counsel on an informal basis, and appreciate that he has agreed to serve as a member of the President's Economic Advisory Board."

Translation: The stock market has been up all month, I just gave a telethon yesterday, and it was perfectly coordinated with some BS numbers by NBER & POMO activity by the Fed, so it ain't gonna get much better than this going forward...




Larry Summers, the director of the National Economic Council, will return to a teaching position at Harvard University at the end of the year...




In the interim "lame duck" period, and since he already has the proper costume, it's rumored he'll be kickin' it on the DEVO ('De-Evolution '10) World Tour...

"life's a bee without a buzz... It's going great, til u get stung..."
"And let us not forget to toast
everyone who might have missed the boat
And to everybody else who waits
Til the next one sails in again..."

Whatever Larry... Now that you've JERKED US BACK & FORTH for the 2nd time, don't let the door hit you in the ass as you BEAT IT, back to the Ivory Towers...

Or in your case...







Save Romer some pie for the re-union...











312 comments:

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McFearless said...

I know some of you follow Martin Armstrong closely, I don't follow him as close as I probably, anyway, this may be review for some of you but I just caught this post at Kenny's:

"In Martin Armstrong's "Gold $5,000" article from November of 2009, he wrote that Oct/Nov of 2010 should be an approximate 1 year turning point for gold. Specifically, he said that if gold made any sort of low going into April of 2010, then it should rally into Oct/Nov 2010, then turn for 1 year in the opposite direction. Gold went from $1,226 in November of 2009 to $1085 in March/April (actual low was 1040 in Feb 2010), and has since rallied to $1295 in September. Looks like based upon his writings from Nov of 2009, Armstrong would expect a 1 year pull from Oct/Nov 2010 into 2011/2012, then a rally towards his $5,000 number into 2016. He indicated that he thought gold would reach its $1300 to $1,500 primary channel top in 2010, then pullback to support which is 1000 to 1100 range on his chart."

McFearless said...

just throwing out there this could have just been another three wave move off the highs today that just completed....we'll know in an hour.

Nic said...

I am going to watch some trader porn with my lunch http://vimeo.com/9881971

Nic said...

McFearless
Thanks for that reminder. I have Armstrongs gold letter saved, going to reread it.

karen said...

http://mrtopstep.com/2010/09/22/equities-feelin-toppy/

I-Man said...

I get the feeling we're about to reverse lower hard...

Nic said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
karen said...

Ben.. those are my thots exactly on gold tho i didn't have the timing right.. exited most of my gold miner holdings too early... keeping the physical, of course.

karen said...

and i feel like taking my scrap silver into a dealer right now!

Jennifer said...

I find that cycle stuff fascinating, if hard to trade from. I spent some time w/ Allen Reminick -- did a little freelance work but it didn't amount to much -- but he's all about cycle analysis. My impression is that he is pretty good at the analysis, but poor at conveying the results/his interpretation, so I personally found the newsletter to be lacking in actionable ideas. I'll look at some gold things in my collection of stuff from him over the next few days and see if there's anything to add to the Martin Armstrong analysis. I remember that he felt very strongly that 2011 would be a terrible year for the markets in general.

On the diamond front...I've looked in the car and the house. I've felt under all the furniture and moved all the cushions. I've moved the car and looked in the garage. I've emptied out the garbage from yesterday and combed through it. I'm pretty much ready to call it quits. The cleaning lady was here this morning, so if it isn't in the vacuum cleaner bag then I think its gone for good. It probably went down the drain after the 3 year old's bath last night. Sigh... I'll keep St. Anthony in mind though!

karen said...

Neighbor's blower is going to drive me to drink (as if I need any help in that!)

karen said...

Jennifer.. my mother always says that when you can't find something, stop looking for it and it will turn up : )

In the case of a diamond, however, I don't advice that.. I lost one a few years ago.. searched for hours.. vacuum, trash, floor.. etc.. finally found it in the big outdoor trash bin and the next day was pick up..

interestingly enuf.. i had resigned to it being lost and my mind relaxed enuf to remember some tips/hints.. a broken tea cup on my bedroom floor.. that is the plastic trash bag it was in (inside the big bin!) It was actually wedged into a hollow spot on the base of the broken tea cup!! I kept that tea cup for about a year more on an open shelf just to remind myself..

72bat said...

k -
"and i feel like taking my scrap silver into a dealer right now!"
lying a-bed early this morning, i was thinking to do the same with the rough silver ingots my mom showed me that my dad bot years ago.

karen said...

hey, remember our crude thursdays? wonder if that still works..

72bat said...

jennifer -
"down the drain after the 3 year old's bath last night"
now you'll need to remove the j-trap from the tub drain just to be sure. hope it is not too very inaccessible 8^}

Jennifer said...

Thanks, Karen. I won't give up hope just yet!

Ben22 said...

Karen,

all I know is, I am not going to miss the next buying opportunity in gold, I'll be the biggest gold bull ever.

lost and found said...

If you think it is in the drain, use some suck.

Shop vac held tightly to the drain opening, it will bring whatever water is in there too. You can also stick the hose down there.

It also helps to block the drain vent, usually a hole in the basin toward the top.

Of course then you have to dig through a wet mess in the shop vac.

karen said...

amzn and aapl candles are indentical.. not nflx, tho..

goog and bidu look alike as well..

i wouldn't mind if the Qs do an Aug 11 tomorrow..

karen said...

zerohedge

Prime ABX market dead. nobody wants to take the bull side. Idiot European and Japanese investors are long bankrupt
5 minutes ago via TweetDeck
Reply Retweet

zerohedge
Did Bill Gross Just Confirm On Live TV He Has An "Advance Look" At Non-Public Fed Data? http://bit.ly/9ZU1KT

Jennifer said...

L&F -- thanks for the tip.

ben22 said...

@AT,

If we start going down here would you assume that wave 1 of C will not be the longest wave?

Curious how you read that.

if this is only 1 of C then waves 3 and 5 of C should convince everyone that it's a good time to get back into stocks again, Im not sure this move has done it's job on that front yet.

Nic said...

Karen what are crude Thursdays?

ben22 said...

the gross video was interesting but not so much about what information he does or doesn't have, but his comment that

Ben Bernanke wants 5% GDP growth....

Um, ok, wizard

ever reviewed the Japanese nominal GDP data over the last 20 years, or was that not part of your GD studies?

I-Man said...

Why must they fight?

Leftback said...

Karen what are crude Thursdays?

They are Thursdays - and they are very very crude..
Crude used to soar regularly on Thursdays in 2009.

Leftback said...

Romer and Summers left when the donuts ran out.

karen said...

sorry, nic.. i was on the phone with my sister-in-law-forever.

yes, as LF, said, back when Andy was our host.. Crude Thursdays were a given.. no longer : )

it stopped shortly after we all realized it, naturally.

karen said...

stephen roach on currencies.. (i've just put it on.)

http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232/?video=1596499199&play=1

Leftback said...

Small caps still lagging, that is the bearish day trade pattern.
Hey, Blankfiend, quit peeking at my stops.

Up tomorrow after initial claims, then down after existing homes?
Or a big dump into today's close, in anticipation?

karen said...

just forced my hand to grab carrot juice from fridge over grapefruit juice as I knew the later would also mean a grab for the ketel one !! LOL

Ben22 said...

"it stopped shortly after we all realized it, naturally."

I hate when this happens, because it happens all the time.

Come on Man!

Leftback said...

EAT ME, BLANKFIEND.
CDs beat investing in GS over the last decade:

GS Shares Beaten by CDs

Lord Blankfiend said...

Hey, it worked for me. $120M or so isn't chump change...

Leftback said...

BLANKY !! Get off my stops....!!!

karen said...

SellPuts
Erin Burnett says we are going green .. better take out a second mortgage and put it on red


ThemisSal
RT @zerohedge: US SEC's Schapiro says considering whether new rules needed to govern high-frequency quoting and trading strategies

bob said...

On ESZ

If you take the high yesterday as the 13:45 candle, after the initial blow off, and use today's low, it makes a lot more sense in Fibo land. It also suggests we are collapsing.

Not that good with intraday moves, and licking my wounds from yesterday's EUR short, but something to think about.

I-Man said...

You mean at the 38.2 Bob?

karen said...

wow.. watch that cnbc video i posted the beginnin is about nomura and bac.. 5 year charts mirror each other..

bob said...

Iman-

Trying to break through that now, or just failed, it didn't touch the 38 from the blow off top yesterday.

karen said...

i didn't watch the topstep video.. did i miss anything? i'm saving HH for later, too.. today is crazy for me.

I-Man said...

Cool... just making sure we're lined up, I see that we are.

Leftback said...

On balance, today feels like it might end up being a bit ugly. These rallies are really soft and there is just no momo for the momos.

karen said...

"the currency issue is a bogus issue..

america doesnt need a stronger renminbi.. America needs jobs.

Leftback said...

I am just sorry Karen didn't achieve ecstasy...
1132 was so close, baby.

karen said...

we got better than 1132.. 1131.58.. 45 min left to run down to 1127.

karen said...

if hurricane season was over.. crude would be 65..

karen said...

sorry.. that's me being too literal again! i get your meaning now.

karen said...

did you get stopped out LB? what will you hold overnight? definitely not me!! LOL

I-Man said...

You two...

karen said...

i'd love to see nflx at 140.. a 16 point down day..

volume looking more like a short squeeze now.. the worst short squeezes occur at the end of the run.. (think QCOM, Dec 1999)

Leftback said...

I am short today, but only in the trading sense, obviously.
Not holding anything overnight. Not even you....

karen said...

SellPuts
great CNBC statistic.. "only 18 stocks in the S&P500 are down this month"

karen said...

Surely you are keeping your longs.. so you will dump shorts at the close?

Leftback said...

Yes, keeping my divvys and junk and covering my short. There is just too much risk of a pre-open squeeze. See money, put in pocket.

Sometime this week I will sell more bonds. I am 11% AGG and 4% LQD and I want to reduce those if we get a big rally in bonds/equity sell-off.

Leftback said...

Having said that, I might fade a morning JOHNNY rally....

I-Man said...

Yall two should just get it over with and get married, so we can all meet each other at the ceremony!

karen said...

LB.. do you have an divvys paying more than JNK?

karen said...

NLY is paying +15% !! or it was.. wish i'd bot that in the 16's even : (

karen said...

I-Man, please, I am faint of heart.. and, are you forgetting that LB doesn't surf?! LOL

Leftback said...

Divvys.

NLY... CIM... NZT... there are tons of big 'uns out there..
Then there's your boring old MRK, T, PFE and BMY.
I don't have JNJ and VZ but those are OK, I think.

Mr Excitement... but it's a massive portfolio, so these are ~ 12%.
JNK is about 10% right now. Also some EEM and some SPY.

Leftback said...

Actually I did buy NLY in the 16s. After you pointed it out....
Big kiss for that one, angel...

BTW, soccer players are better in the sack than surfers. Less wax.

I-Man said...

This 1min chart is insane.

Leftback said...

I-Man

You are Jah Lion among Traders.

I-Man said...

I am Jah Loser today bro...

Have not had a good day.

I-Man said...

I like the looks of the daily candle so far tho... wonder it's still an inside day spinning top on YM, havent looked at ES.

Leftback said...

LB is killing it. On a hot streak of late.

karen said...

mrtopstep
#futures imbalance SELL 450mm vs. BUY 247mm (1.82:1 to Sell)
half a minute ago via TweetDeck

karen said...

pfft.. i just mentioned some of those high div stocks the other week/month.. if you have nzt, you will get your first div in a couple days.

Leftback said...

Actually some of those were suggested to me by a famous blogger.
Some of the others by yourself, Mistress.

LB doesn't know d*ck about stocks.
Just bonds.. and lumber...

karen said...

this day isn't what i wanted : (
could/should have done better..

wonder how many will toss in their short positions as LB does..

Leftback said...

Too much risk. Held overnight shorts once this week already.
Have enough dry powder to take another run at it tomorrow.

If your day wasn't good, LB can always make your night special...

I-Man said...

What a slugfest there that last half hour or so... just brutal.

Glad I wasnt trading it.

karen said...

did CV say he was leaving earlier?? he goes to gym early today, i know, but not this early..

I-Man said...

Can someone pipe up please, feelin like a third wheel around here...

I-Man said...

Hopefully CV took cue from something and went out to rake leaves knowing full well that we would just spin in place today.

karen said...

Ha! I-Man.. i am the third wheel, always.. tho often it is with CV and Ben.

Leftback said...

What a slugfest there that last half hour or so... just brutal.

The market or Karen...? She can be tough on me... LOL.

I-Man said...

Buyers and sellers, old chap... Punters and Gunners.

I-Man said...

Ye Market... "The They," as it were, jolly sir.

karen said...

don't look at the aapl candle.. if it doesn't go bearish engulfing tomorrow i will quit this market forever.. rolling my eyes.. all time closing high, i believe..

ugh.. and then look at nflx..

cat gives one hope however that irrationality could rest..

Leftback said...

Goodnight, angel...

Later, I-Dude.

karen said...

sorry, LB.. just miffed you never mentioned that you bot NLY since I posted about it non-stop for so long! not to mention nzt or cim..

I-Man said...

Peace bro-

Lunchtime at I-House...

Leftback said...

K.,

We all inform one another here, n'est-ce pas, chérie?
You really should go to Paris some time, it was delightful.

karen said...

Tomorrow is the full moon..

DL said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Leftback said...

The Bond Report 9.22.10

Another moderate risk-off day in credit. It was a flattener as long bonds were bid again. Ts outperformed corporates and IG > HY.

Corpies: LQD -0.06%; AGG 0.03%; JNK -0.25%; HYG -0.41%;
Govies: TLT 0.90%; IEI -0.03%; TIP 0.14%
Hedgies: TBT -1.91%

We did nothing. A right shoulder continues to form on TLT as LQD and AGG seem close to executing double tops. Unless there are a host of apocalyptic data releases, we think this is it for bonds for a while, and we would be looking for entry points on the short side, even as we unload more of our once very large long positions.

karen said...

Darn, DL! what did i miss ?! LOL

karen said...

LB, if you think not informing is informing, you are in the right market at the right time!

karen said...

WASHINGTON (Dow Jones)--Presidential adviser and former Federal Reserve chair Paul Volcker on Wednesday said President Barack Obama isn't anti-business and has been a free-market defender.

Volcker, who chairs Obama's economic recovery board, told Fox Business News that the perception of the president as being against businesses is "wrong," according to a transcript of an interview that is supposed to air Wednesday evening.

"He is not a wild-eyed leftist radical. It's ridiculous," said Volcker, who was also Chairman of the Federal Reserve Board from 1979 to 1987. "Since he has been in office he has been a defender of open markets."

Volcker's comments come several days after supporters of Obama, during a live townhall-style event on CNBC, questioned why the president appeared to be beating up on businesses, particularly Wall Street.

Obama said he has been "amused" by such perceptions. "I think most folks on Main Street feel like they got beat up on...there's a big chunk of the country that thinks that I have been too soft on Wall Street," Obama said.

Volcker's comments also come after Larry Summers, one of Obama's top economic advisers, said he was leaving the administration at the end of the year. Volcker said in choosing a replacement Obama needs someone who can bring views from outside the administration. Such a choice would help fight criticism that the Obama administration lacks private-sector experience.

Leftback said...

This brought tears to the eyes:

Unfortunate Injuries

72bat said...

Unfortunate Injuries - what distracts br when he's tires of fed-bashers, alex?

karen said...

okay.. signing off for now! thanks to anyone left : )

karen said...

DOW JONES NEWSWIRES

Bed Bath & Beyond Inc.'s (BBBY) fiscal second-quarter earnings rose 34% as the housewares retailer posted its fourth straight quarter of double-digits sales growth, both better than predicted.

Shares were up 5.8%, at $44.50 after hours, as the company also hoisted its per-share earnings-growth target for the year to 20% from 15%. It sees 61 cents to 65 cents a share for the third quarter; analysts' average estimate was 64 cents, according to a survey by Thomson Reuters.

(i'm really going now : )

Leftback said...

Try not to cause any unfortunate injuries, Karen...

AmenRa said...

Had to go to the auto mechanic. Back now. How da hell did they stop the selloff?

karen said...

a 3300 sf house on a 4000 sf lot..

http://www.mcmoniglegroup.com/listing_detail.php?ID=2027&area=newport

bizarre.. would rather live in a city flat or brownstone..

i am really, really going now.

karen said...

AR, i was seriously just thinking about you.. wondered what had happened to you! yeah, unhappy/unsatisfactory day for bulls and bears, i think.

Nic said...

Gold 98% bulls.
Just sayin

AmenRa said...

Nic

98% CB's bears :-)

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