'Nuff said.
Creditcane™: I've been led astray. Someone throw another set of tablets off the mountain.
SPXBullish long day. Midpoint above EMA(10). Still above all SMA's. Holding above the minor 38.2% retrace (1314.25). Daily 3LB reversal up (reversal is 1312.41). QE2infinity.
DXYSpinning top day. Midpoint below EMA(10). Failing the 61.8% minor retrace (79.60). Tested and held SMA(89). No daily 3LB changes (reversal is 79.78).
VIXBullish short day (still closed lower). Midpoint below EMA(10). Failing all SMA's. Failing its 61.8% minor retrace (18.81). New low on daily 3LB (reversal is 19.87).
GOLDBearish long day. Midpoint above EMA(10). Holding above its 38.2% retrace (1721.30). Still above all SMA's. Daily 3LB reversal down (reversal is 1759.30). Still above monthly 3LB mid. Must have the precious.
EURUSDDoji day. Midpoint above EMA(10). Tested and held SMA(55). Tested and held its 50.0% minor retrace (1.3137). No daily 3LB changes (reversal is 1.3025).
JNKBearish short day. Midpoint above EMA(10). Still above all SMA's. Holding above its 61.8% retrace (38.86). No daily 3LB changes (reversal is 39.12).
10YR YIELDBullish GTFOOH day. Tested and held SMA(21). Midpoint below EMA(10). Tested and held its 0.0% retrace (18.96). Daily 3LB reversal up (reversal is 17.99).
WTIBullish short day. Tested and held SMA(233). Midpoint below EMA(10). Tested and held its 50.0% retrace (97.71). No dally 3LB changes (reversal is 98.86). Not confirming the monthly 3LB reversal down.
SILVERBearish short day. Holding above SMA(89). Midpoint above EMA(10). Holding above its 38.2% minor retrace (31.85). Daily 3LB reversal down (reversal is 34.17).
BKXBullish long day. Midpoint above EMA(10). Now above all SMA's. Tested and held its 50.0% retrace (43.76). New high on daily 3LB (reversal is 43.38).
HYG/LQDBearish short day. Tested and failed SMA(21). Midpoint below EMA(10). Tested and failed its 38.2% retrace (0.7808). No daily 3LB changes (reversal is 0.7908).
USDJPYBullish long day (yen selling?). Midpoint below EMA(10). Failing all SMA's. Tested and held its 38.2% retrace (76.475). No daily 3LB changes (reversal is 75.52).
EEMBullish short day. Midpoint above EMA(10). Holding above all SMA's. Tested and held its 61.8% retrace (43.48). New high on daily 3LB (reversal is 42.31).
COPPERBullish long day. Midpoint above EMA(10). Holding above all SMA's. Tested and held its 50.0% retrace (3.863). Daily 3LB reversal up (reversal is 3.781).
IT HAS BEGUN. YOU HAVE BEEN WARNED.
33 comments:
@Andy
The Franklins arrived today (& in tact)...
Thanks (love that clinking sound)
the bear is limp.....
not earth shattering, but... a read...
http://msn.foxsports.com/nfl/story/Super-Bowl-betting-New-England-Patriots-New-York-Giants-popular-with-gamblers-020112?gt1=39002
@Hof (from the other day ~ which I just read now)
what? really, are you looking for?
---
Good question...
Best answer is this...
When you endeavor to do something (& stick your neck out [reputation wise]), I think it's normal to think that if you're correct, you will receive some acknowledgement of that...
I've done that on many occasions (both in my life & on this blog)... I'd say that in my life, I've been fortunate enough to have received apt acknowledgements for insights & offerings...
In my experiences with this blog... Hardly anything at all (& frankly, often, the opposite)... I AGREE 100% that there ought to be a multitude of 'opinions' expressed... constantly... I AGREE 100% that my own contribution towards that is just another voice in the pile... But over time, things DO tend to become proven correct or incorrect...
In sports (which is my background)... There is (or ought to be) something called 'sportsmanship'... That is the moment, after the battle, that the two adversaries meet in the middle of the field & shake hands in acknowledgement of the battle just fought...
From my background, when you get 'stiffed' on that handshake, then there is something missing...
---
This isn't SPORTS... & this IS NOT a battlefield... I realize that...
But it's my best explanation as to why I sometimes appear to have a chip on my shoulder...
IOW ~ all... I... want... to... know... is:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e-Rnl7Orxdk
Can a Nigga Get a Table Dance
cv--
really?
I guess that's one way of putting it..
but, for me, personally, I tend to agree with your "Macro-"-'viewpoint'..
though, again, really?
if it is 'like that', I'll be supposin' that you may remain 'frustrated'..at best.. (:
AAIP
@Hof...
That was just something 'amusing' (as always)... You know... pepper it in a way to 'take the edge off'...
It's not all gloom & doom as it seems...
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eq-yoorI7lo
"do the move with the quirky jerk"
seems every other blog on the planet is saying something about the recent employment numbers, thought I would help feed the frenzy... chart ... then hike across the universe in the mid day sun.
sweet chart Q's
This may help as well...
http://www.economicpopulist.org/content/getting-it-wrong-bls-employment-report
Conclusion?
It's all a fucking circle jerk (because anyone with a motivation to cram ad hoc inputs, no matter how relevant they seem, into statistical models, can come up with any kind of chart they want)...
Weekly 3LB Update 2/3/12
@QQQQ
BTW... That WAS NOT an attempt to discredit your work... I just wanted to point out that just about any ad hoc set of data points can be used as input to come up with any conclusions that someone might want to convey...
I'll give you an example...
This week, I was watching ESPN, & they were trying to convey this idea that the NY Giants (who accumulated 55 sacks during the regular season), only managed 4 sacks vs. teams that ran 2 TE sets...
55 vs. 4... WOW, that sounds like a huge dropoff in production! Right?
On first impression you go "Wow ~ the Patriots run a 2 TE set" (Gronkowski & Hernandez, who are both used prominently in the passing game)...
But then... Me (being the "johnny gut feel" that I am said to myself "Wait a minute, I watch a lot of NFL & I RARELY see 2 TE sets"... So I looked up the Giants schedule and lo & behold they only played 2 teams with 2 TE sets (Pats & 49ers)... The 49ers run with Vernon Davis & Delanie Walker... In any case, in those two games (reg season), the Giants got to Tom Brady twice & Alex Smith twice (then, got to Alex Smith 3x in the NFC Championship game)...
What's more are that there are hidden variables in data sets... The Giants played the 49ers TWICE on the road & the 49ers are a 'run first' team (less opportunities for sacks both because of time of possession & down & distance variables because the 49ers don't often find themselves in 3rd & long [when most sacks occur])...
In any case, even if you IGNORE the hidden variables (that show up on no statistical chart), the Giants had roughly 3.6 sacks per game vs. normal set offenses & 2.4 vs. Brady & Smith... An intelligent person (accounting for the 'style' of the SF offense) might rightfully round that out to 1 sack per game...
It's statistically INSIGNIFICANT... It amounts to, perhaps, one FAILED first down a game (assuming it happens on 3rd down & long, which is usually the case)... In some cases, depending on field position, it may thwart a TD drive and force a FG... But it is what it is...
Oddly, it was a FAILED sack that cost the Patriots the SuperBowl (vs. the Giants in 2008)... The Patriots only called ONE BLITZ PACKAGE the entire game, which happened to be the play, in the final minute, that Eli Manning threw to Plaxico Burress for the winning TD...
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ey4VdWauoYQ
The blitz forced 5'9" Ellis Hobbs to have to cover the 6'5" Burress man to man... Hobbs 'slipped' on the play...
Anyway... That's the STATISTICAL lesson for the evening...
It comes down to EXECUTION... Don't get me wrong... I'm as fond of stats as the next person (but MOSTLY to point out errors or BIASES in other peoples interpretations of them)...
cv--
yes, We should remember the ol' Saw: "There are Lies, Damn Lies, and Statistics.."
~~
though, I will say, I haven't seen more than ~3 minutes of 'Network/ESPN'-"Coverage" of "XLVI"..and, ~feel all the better for it..~
btw, "Good Point" (you make, above)
(hope that's 'lapdance', enough, for ya.. :)
AAIP
"Can a Nigga Get a Table Dance"
that's pretty damn funny
@AAIP
You made my day!
BTW...
Could the $SPX go to (around) 1474???
Could it? Could it?
(Hint: Look at weekly candles)
cv--
re: ~1474..
here:
http://finviz.com/futures_charts.ashx?t=ES&p=w1
obviously, 'we' would have to get past the '011 'Highs', then looks like a lot of 'work'--to, and through ~1420..
but, not, necessary 'seeing' the ~1474..
what catches your eye, about that #/'area'?
AAIP
cv-
I see a gap near 1474. I talked to "18" and he said key numbers near are 1487 and 1456. He also told me that we'll prolly trade sideways/down starting soon until May-Jun then up we go.
Hey guys.
Just got back from Napa's "Cab Release" parties a few hours ago. Just got back in time to watch the second half of the Super Bowl.
Pretty good one.
Not surprised to see Eli win another one in the 4th quarter. That dude is clutch as shit....
I really loved taking the 3 pins and G-men on this game...
Made up for my earlier losses to CV...he he he....
Will update the SP500 tomorrow afternoon...
No economic issues in Yountville, CA....
I really loved taking the 3 pins and G-men on this game...
x2
and, you got back from Cali in one piece, always a + ~
ibid.
Pretty good game...
I'm glad you won Andy... Congrats!
Everybody had their chance to win, but Eli & the Giants came thru...
vegas got 'killed'
@AAIP
The reason I mentioned 1474 (or thereabouts ~ because I was really only eyeballing it)...
You'd have to look at a WEEKLY $SPX chart (going all the way back to 2009) & including the 200MA...
It sure looks like 2 things...
1. the 200MA was resistance, then it became support
2. on top of the 200MA (now), it looks like a H&S (a little tilted), may be forming...
More or less, the 'shoulder part' stretches from around 1150 to 1350 (left shoulder complete working on HEAD now)...
so... 1350-1150 * 1.618 + 1150 = 1474
kind of like that...
More idiotic things have happened... (like me sticking with the Pats in the Superbowl)...
Interesting game....the group I watched with thought Madonna looked pretty old..she had problems with the dance number especially getting up and down, like on the bleacher props...
...Maybe she can do the AARP yearly meetings from here on..
funny how the sp500 is just hovering near that key resistance level...not really reversing at all....just treading water....
not exactly bearish.
CNBC Topic: "Does Sugar Need Regulation?"
WTF?!?
from TBP..
http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2012/02/an-adult-approach-i-investing-in-a-vulgar-age/
good article by Q & B..
ibid.
also, still, can't believe the NYG, actually, won that Game..
for some 'Reason' I thought (cv--?), for sure, that it was going to be 'set up' for the Pats..(for Myra Kraft?)..
past that, was happy to see Coughlin 'on the podium'...Belichick has, to me, the appeal of 'last Week's Fish'...
AT,
like this:(?)
US scientists want higher taxes, regulation to control 'toxic ...new windowpreviewshow in cloudsflag as inappropriate
SUGAR is a poison and its sale should be as tightly regulated as cigarettes and alcohol, scientists say.
www.adelaidenow.com.au/.../story-e6frea6u-1226261226884 - [cache] - Additional Sources
Scientists call for sugar regulation - News1130new windowpreviewshow in cloudsflag as inappropriate
VANCOUVER (NEWS1130) - A report published in the journal Nature is calling for more regulation when it comes to sugar. Several US scientists are...
www.news1130.com/news/local/article/326261--scientists-call-for-sugar-regulation
from:
http://search.yippy.com/search?input-form=clusty-simple&v%3Asources=webplus-ns-aaf&v%3Aproject=clusty&query=Sugar+Regulation
AAIP
if so, coming 'foodstuffs' Inflation to be masked by 'Good for You'-Calorie Restriction/Regulation Propaganda..
@AAIP
Both teams had their chances to win the game...
I couldn't believe Wes Welker dropped that back shoulder pass on the 2nd to the last drive... That one play would have changed everything...
On Madonna...
All I know is that when you get Madonna, you know, at least, you're going to get something creative...
If you look at her 'performance', oddly enough, you're looking at the wrong thing... I'm going to point out all the fantastic elements that were stuffed into a 15 minute show...
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PyfdoZldrS4
- whether you like it or not, a LEGION of Roman slaves towing barges on ropes, as an into, visually, was epic...
- That 'graphical mat' (or whatever it was that was spread out over 60 yards of football field) projecting images was breathtaking at times on HDTV... (I especially liked the collage of moving VOGUE magazine covers at one point - then later of the football field roll-up, & when "Like A Prayer" started, the floating galaxy look)...
- Small little touches (like the harp) & that dude on the tightrope were clever...
- The 'drumline' band that came in at one point was VERY GOOD...
- She kept it up to date (audience demographics wise) by using hugely popular contemporary artists like LMFAO, Pitbull, M.I.A. & Nicki Minaj...
While most, probably rightfully so, like to criticize 'lip sync' jobs (as this mostly was)... I've said many times on this blog before that she has no lungs... I really didn't expect much different...
~~~~
People can criticize all they want, but that was a hell of a lot of thought, effort, & technology packed into 15 minutes...
But I'm sure all the CRITICS out there could come up with something better in their own massively creative minds over morning pancakes...
"..that back shoulder pass.."
that's putting it 'mildly', that Pass was (way) 'behind him'..
Collingsworth (He makes that Catch 100 times out of 100) to the contrary, if WW had made that catch, it would have been 'racked' as 'High-light'-Reel Special..
~~
"But I'm sure all the CRITICS out there could come up with something better in their own massively creative minds over morning pancakes..."
no doubt..
as soon as I heard that 'Madonna' was the "Half-Time"-Show performer..
I thought ~"that's 'Cool', she always puts on a decent show.."
and, she did ~ :)
AAIP
@AAIP
I heard that comment from Collinsworth...
I think BOTH of you are right... YES... It would have been highlight reel... But I still think Welker should have made that catch...
It wasn't any more difficult than the one David Tyree made 4 years ago (or the one that Manningham made later in the game)... Hell ~ it wasn't even harder than the interception that the LB made on the pass to Gronkowski earlier...
Welker needs to make that catch...
I came across this REMIX of 'Vogue'...
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=brJbsgiUINY
Which is none other to say that if you look at the anthology of clips (which pretty much are little 'clippettes' of all her work & span the career of Madonna ~ she's PAID HER DUES artistically over the long span of time)...
Whatever she does, she should never start a BLOG... Her career & contributions would be reduced to ashes in ZERO TIME FLAT by the first joker who came along that happened to have an opinion or was more of a "Lawrence Welk" or "Porter Wagoner" fan )...
http://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=NFLX
~129 1/4
http://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=GMCR&ty=c&ta=1&p=d
~69.02
http://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=S&ty=c&ta=1&p=d
~2.46
this puppy looked like it 'washed-out', last week, ~2.12 ..
http://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=MNST
change from HANS
still "Truckin'"..
~105.39
AAIP
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