Sunday Evening Post: Welcome to 2011

Good Evening All,

Hopefully everyone had a good and safe Holidays. While the "Season "is fun and enjoyable, it's nice to have it all over now. I'm ready to work again!

The first update of the year will be limited to the S&P500. For me, 2010 was a year of "waiting" on the S&P500. The larger wave count suggests, as it has all year, that this current rally is merely a "correction" in a larger pattern that will eventually take the markets much lower--the S&P500 at 850-900 is a higher probability outcome given the wave model.

The S&P 500 started 2010 at 1,115 and finished at 1,257, for a 13% gain. While a 13% gain seems "ok," it was actually a punk performance relative to various commodities and metals, which saw 15-180% gains. Here's a sampling of a few things you might find around your house:

Silver: Up 183%
Lumber: Up 49%
Copper: Up 33%
Gold: Up 33%
Oil: Up 15%

Throughout the year the S&P 500 was essentially range-bound between 1040 and 1220. There were a few decent moves intra-year that provided some opportunities. Indeed, in April we became extremely bearish the S&P500 at 1200 and caught the bulk of the move down to 1040. Though, we held at least 20% of our Max. Short position throughout the ensuing rally, thus eliminating some of that profit. All in all, we probably did as well as those that just bought and held at the beginning of the year.

I remain firmly convinced that the S&P 500 will experience a pronounced trend change which should occur within the first half of 2011. There is certainly room for the market to move a little higher into the 1290 area, but at 1,257 to begin 2011, most of the risk remains to the downside.

So, my official "high and low" for the S&P 500 for 2011, a silly thing to project for sure, will be:

HIGH: 1,291
LOW: 1,010

The market will trade lower than 1,000 sometime in the next two years, but the ultimate low will probably be a 2012 phenomenon.

Best Wishes to Everyone in 2011.

94 comments:

Jennifer said...

Thank you for the great charts, Andy. Happy New Year everyone!

Andy T said...

I spend about 5 minutes each day checking out the DSS/Thor blog, mostly to see what kind of progressivism I'll find. Usually, I see nothing of interest, but found this "nugget" from Denise/dss:

"http://www.fundmymutualfund.com/2008/12/new-york-times-how-india-avoided-crisis.html

No country nor system is perfect; certainly not India's. But this is an interesting view on how regulation actually works - and that human greed left to itself (to be it's own watchdog no less), will lead to bad outcomes. Contrary to dogma that has washed over the American psyche the past few decades - ironically those countries with the greatest lack of regulation are those being pole axed the hardest. Just coincidence I am sure. Both extremes (little regulation or massive regulation) generally lead to bad outcomes; certainly there must be happy mediums."

I love it with certain folks try to highlight, as a model, other countries in relation to this country.

I wonder if they realize that any such comparisons are somewhat silly and reveal a limited frame of reference.

Any comparisons of the U.S. to Sweden, India, Germany or Canada is basically comparing apples to oranges.

I encourage Denise/dss to move to India.

I have several friends from India who moved to the US and became citizens here. There was a reason for this....

Andy T said...

Here's my "Libertarian" nugget for the day.

Stop Helping Us Please

Remember when we passed that "credit reform" act and we annointed the chief Nanny Elizabeth Warren the head of some new beauracratic agency...

Well, it seems as though borrowing costs have gone up as a result and people have less access to credit now.

Oh well....

I'm sure we'll form some investigative body to get to the bottom of this--or, we might force banks to lend more money and lower rates. I'm sure that would work well.

Andy T said...

@Jennifer.

Thanks for reading!

the other side? said...

"Well, it seems as though borrowing costs have gone up as a result and people have less access to credit now.

Oh well...."

So, the problem is, to you, too few people with enough credit?

Could it be that credit was too cheap for too long? Could it still be too cheap? QE?

Andy T said...

Oh Well:

Define "cheap."

What credit do you think was "cheap" in the past? Was it the home mortgages that were backstopped by GSEs, et al? Was that the cheap credit? Do you have any idea how much of the consumer debt is home mortgages/Helocs vs. credit card debt? Hint: The credit card debt is VERY small compared the former.

Next.

AmenRa said...

Nice charts Andy. This first week will test bears. They are going to sell the belief that all is well with much fanfare. There was a monthly 3LB reversal up so this bullish run may last a little longer than I would like.

Andy T said...

Watched the whole St Louis/Seahawk game.

Pretty much the first time I've seen an entire game by either team.

My next three player "pick ups" would be WR if I were the Rams. They need some guys who can get open AND catch the ball.

Anonymous said...

AT,


no kidding, talk about 'dropped passes'..


AAIP

btw, here's to a Healthy & Happy '011, y'all..

wunsacon said...

>> comparing apples to oranges.

Andy, how many important comparisons in life are between "apples" and "apples" alone? I'm sure you compare such things as "stocks to bonds" and "apples to oranges". Comparisons between countries are valid, too.

If you'd like to say instead that "comparing countries is as much an art as it is a science", then I agree with that statement.


>> I encourage Denise/dss to move to India.

C'mon, man. That's the kind of thing neocons say when you're not in favor of their wars.

Seriously, if I like something another country does better than us (e.g., Swedish bank crisis management), you're telling me to move to Sweden?

>> I have several friends from India who moved to the US and became citizens here. There was a reason for this....

Better opportunities for them personally, right?

I had a friend who moved back...

Bruce in Tennessee said...

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-01-03/underemployed-at-17-reflects-small-business-rebound-with-more-part-timers.html

Underemployed at 17% Reflects Small Business Rebound With More Part-Timers


"Meanwhile, underemployment was 17 percent in November, up from 8.8 percent when the recession began in December 2007 and near the 17.4 percent peak in October 2009. This comprises people without jobs and those who have given up looking, as well as those who want full-time employment but settle for part-time."

...Probably the elderly trying not to sell all their seed corn.

Anonymous said...

The Lamb Chop Boom
January 3rd, 2011

Via: Foreign Policy:

Forget gold and oil. Investors looking to beat the recession in the next decade might want to consider hitting the open range and starting a sheep farm. In 2010, Australian rams began selling for more than $100 a head for the first time in history as dwindling stocks sent mutton prices soaring. The U.N. Food and Agriculture Organization is forecasting a 300,000-ton shortage in the global lamb supply over the next five years. That’s bad news for the growing number of consumers in the Middle East and Asia with a taste for lamb, but a windfall for long-struggling farmers in Australia and New Zealand, the world’s two largest sheep producers...
http://cryptogon.com/?p=19621

note, you'll see more of these types of Stories..

AAIP

Anonymous said...

Gorgon Stare
January 3rd, 2011

Via: Washington Post:

In ancient times, Gorgon was a mythical Greek creature whose unblinking eyes turned to stone those who beheld them. In modern times, Gorgon may be one of the military’s most valuable new tools.

This winter, the Air Force is set to deploy to Afghanistan what it says is a revolutionary airborne surveillance system called Gorgon Stare, which will be able to transmit live video images of physical movement across an entire town.

The system, made up of nine video cameras mounted on a remotely piloted aircraft, can transmit live images to soldiers on the ground or to analysts tracking enemy movements. It can send up to 65 different images to different users; by contrast, Air Force drones today shoot video from a single camera over a “soda straw” area the size of a building or two.

With the new tool, analysts will no longer have to guess where to point the camera, said Maj. Gen. James O. Poss, the Air Force’s assistant deputy chief of staff for intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance. “Gorgon Stare will be looking at a whole city, so there will be no way for the adversary to know what we’re looking at, and we can see everything.”...
http://cryptogon.com/?p=19616

sadly, we're going to seeing these, here, Stateside, as we have with 'earlier' Drone tech, before all too long..

.ibid

Bruce in Tennessee said...

http://www.hussmanfunds.com/

"We enter 2011 at a point where investors have pushed risk assets to a speculative extreme, on the belief that the Fed has provided a "backstop" against losses. While there's no assurance that we won't see a further extension of this over the short-term, we've found more often than not that speculative setups in the financial markets are followed by a striking degree of subsequent resolution in the opposite direction."

..Hussman has become Mish without the caffeine...

Anonymous said...

I've, always, found it curious that this Event gets so little 'play' in the US..

"In the Dakar 2011 rally Russian Kamaz team driver Vladimir Chagin is still in the lead, completing the 222 km of the day’s stage in 2h44 min 22 sec, 4 min 41 sec ahead of Czech driver Alès Loprais on a Tatra. Chagin’s teammates Firdaus Kabirov and Eduard Nikolaev are in third and fourth place in the race.

In the motorbikes’ department Cyril Despres of France leads the pack, with Spain’s Carlos Sainz dominating the car field.

Nine-time Dakar winners, Russia’s Kamaz Master team won the Argentine race twice in 2009 and 2010..."
http://english.ruvr.ru/2011/01/03/38606605.html

AAIP

AmenRa said...

Happy New Year everyone.

SPX futures $10 over FV (damn).

Silver over $31 (Blythe getting checked into psych ward).

Crude over $92 (doesn't that mean another $100mm reduction in GDP?).

EURUSD down, DXY up, ES up. New correlations?

A fixed income analyst to be named later said...

Correlations are off today, it's MuFu Q1 Monday, the biggest influx of free money for the year. You think anyone was short ahead of that liquidity injection? Treasury yields are higher as the EoY safety plays are being taken off this morning.

JOHN E didn't select "Treasury bonds" for his new 401k contributions. He never does... the difference this year is he didn't select "muni bonds".

A Quant said...

MGUF. GGUF. JBTFD. POMO.
QE øπ¥∑œåß∂∆Ω √∫$ dt

A fixed income analyst to be named later said...

Heading out for coffee until the JOHNNY HOUR is over. Actually this is kind of a JOHNNY DAY as he is the dominant influence for once, via the mutual fund managers putting his cash to work.

Big HF managers are watching, on a beach in the Caribbean or having a snooze.

A fixed income analyst to be named later said...

I wonder what the first thing will be that gets sold, when the selling starts? I would have to pick one of the commodities, it could be anything. I suppose we should all keep an eye on copper.

After all, it's "the metal with the PhD in economics..."

karen said...

good morning.. ibm breakout.. and look at GS.. am going to be incredulous if this rally follows thru tomorrow but i am a broken record.

Giles Straightarrow said...

Here at GS we have a new game show.

MILLION DOLLAR DROP.
You put your 401k in and the money drops into our bonus pool.

I am ready to activate the suction device, Lloyd...

Lord Blankfiend said...

Not yet, Giles. Not yet. We must HARVEST efficiently. It might be fun to let some shorts establish positions. Then we could generate a squeeze before we suck the whole thing down.

Bruce in Tennessee said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
AmenRa said...

The SPX shot above weekly pivot R! & R2 in the first ten minutes and now is above R3. This makes no sense.

karen said...

food for thought from OptionRadar Joe Kunkle,
Man, the large trades in options continue to play this market like this move is just the beginning...$$

CV said...

Hi y'all

I've kinda had the flu for the past few days, so I'm not very active on these boards...


I'll be in & out all day...

CV

karen said...

The Qs took out the 2007 high.. as did the $ndx.. JBTFD, if there ever is one.

A fixed income analyst to be named later said...

the large trades in options continue to play this market like this move is just the beginning

Too many people are playing this as a normal recovery. We are in ZIRP. Strong data is bad. Weak data are good. Up is down. Down is up.

karen said...

STigltz: Meanwhile, US efforts to stimulate its economy through the Federal Reserve’s policy of “quantitative easing” may backfire. After all, in globalized financial markets, money looks for the best prospects around the world, and these prospects are in Asia, not the US. So the money won’t go where it’s needed, and much of it will wind up where it’s not wanted – causing further increases in asset and commodity prices, especially in emerging markets.

http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/stiglitz132/English

A fixed income analyst to be named later said...

Today is an anomaly. Stocks up, dollar up, for one big reason. Fund flows. We will revert to our regularly scheduled ONE TRADE tomorrow.

After the next breakdown, we may actually see a regime change where the dollar and stocks can rise together. But that involves reinstatement of the yen carry trade, and for that to happen we will have to see the US economy clearly surging past Japan.

BTW, I read a number of reports over the weekend by commentators urging people to sell long duration bond positions and buy short duration bonds. But if we were really in a true recovery then the last place you would want to be is the front end. Absurd, really.

A fixed income analyst to be named later said...

Stiglitz is saying that the US is EXPORTING inflation to China and India, while IMPORTING deflation in the form of cheap goods and labor.

A fixed income analyst to be named later said...

Good day for SPREAD PRODUCT in fixed income so far.
HY outperforming IG quite easily.

Munis are flat, mortgages are down.

Anonymous said...

Many dividend stocks not involved at all in this rally. This looks exactly like all of the holiday silly rally days.

REE 17.52 +1.46 (+ 9.09%)

I think that says it all.

karen said...

"I like what my charts tell me, but remain skeptical about gold's ability to go higher and worried that it could go much, much lower. Last year, I was wrong about this call, but way better than right on my investment recommendation, which was (and is) to hold equal stake in the ProShares Ultra Short Gold (GLL - News) and the ProShares Ultra Silver (AGQ - News); that pairing strategy delivered an 57% gain by Dec. 20, compared with a gain of just 26% for the iShares Comex Gold ETF (IAU 13.88, -0.02, -0.13%) or the S&P 500 Index's (^GSPC - News) 15% gain."

http://finance.yahoo.com/banking-budgeting/article/111714/2011s-hook-line-and-a-sinker

Anonymous said...

Rare Earth ETF Rises 5%; Molycorp Up 10%at Barrons.com(Mon 10:36AM EST)[$$] A Flying Startat TheStreet.com(Mon 10:06AM EST)New Year Brings New Money, Fresh Upgradesat CNBC(Mon 9:32AM EST)[$$] A Swell of Upward Pressureat TheStreet.com(Mon 9:20AM EST)Wall Street Warms to China Storyat The Wall Street Journal(Sun, Jan 2)Tech's Mineral Infrastructure - Time to Emulate China's Rare Earth Policiesat Forbes(Sat, Jan 1)

http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=MCP&reco=1

11:24AM EST: 57.40 +7.50 (15.03%) MCP

AVALON RARE 7.3642 +1.1242 +18.59
http://www.ino.com/

AAIP

karen said...

CreateCapital Scott Bleier
Holy shit. almost 20 handles in the first 2 hours--and on no volume. And the NDX! Lights are on, nobody's home. run em till they crash

karen said...

http://geraldcelentechannel.blogspot.com/2011/01/donald-trump-rich-are-leaving-country.html

karen said...

BergenCapital Mike Bergen
RT @hblodget: Facebook now worth more than all US airlines combined http://read.bi/g85YTA

Anonymous said...

11:29AM EST: 24.49 -0.13 (0.53%)

http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=MO&ql=1

MO, this thing has been treading water, has been, to me, fully priced @~25..

let that thing 'run off' the Books in 4Q '010..had been a faithful 'Buy/Write'--from the ~15-Range..

AAIP

karen said...

tradefast-
@optionmonster re $AAPL - goldman telling clients to "buy feb $330 calls for 4% ahead of catalysts"

Anonymous said...

lot of mumble from the mainstream which includes the phrase "I see no reason...." in relation to any rally ending. Surely they could come up with even 1 reason that the rally could end, but I guess they "see none"

some stats for zombies:

$SPY started a new year with >+1% gain 6 times. Here are its next 3-week returns: -1.4%, -2.0%, -2.6%, -0.1%, -10.6%, -3.1%.$$


Bear stat du jour: $SPY >+0.5% to start a new year when near a 3mo high 5 times: '97, '00, '02, '05 & '10. 4 of 'em gave back Dec gains.

Giles Straightarrow said...

"goldman telling clients to "buy feb $330 calls"

We love to offload stuff early in January.

CV said...

CV's first 3 thoughts of 2011...

1. We live in a Banana Republic
2. Yes - we have no bananas
3. Seem to be a lot of "banana peels" lying around though...

Andy T said...

wunsacon@1.00AM

Agree with most of that. I was definitely being more snarky than real when I recommended dss move to India.

None of Indian folks I know would move back....
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
In re: the article cited about how fantastic the Indian central bank is....

It seems to me that the "system" there was more dependent on having a single/solitaire wise/strong person in charge.

Congrats to them for having a really good person at the helm. We have had periods of good and strong leadership in our history as well.

Whoop-di-do.

Such is the way of things....

I don't think there was anything to "learn" from their experience that we didn't already know....

Anonymous said...

still given the above, and despite AT's warning, I do think we are going to still see 1,300 first.

-b22

karen said...

http://www.businessinsider.com/texas-state-budget-crisis-2011-1

i had no idea about this..

Anonymous said...

karen,

Trump in '12

AAIP

He, and Andy Grove, are correct. We need a 'bi-lateral' Trade War..as opposed to sitting back and being systematically plundered by Merchantilists under a supposed 'Free Trade'-regime..

A fixed income analyst to be named later said...

POMO POMO POMO !!!

Today was mainly 10y Ts. Next Monday is a repeat.
Tomorrow is TIPS.
Wednesday is long bonds.
Thursday is 5-7y
Friday 3-5y

You can probably short TLT some time between lunch and into the close on Wednesday.

A fixed income analyst to be named later said...

Factory orders tomorrow at 10am. A "Goldilocks" number means the rally continues tomorrow.

ADP waiting in the wings, 8.15am Wednesday. Remember that the market will look very closely at this private number for strength in the economy, with the proviso that government jobs may well be down again.

Andy T said...

@Karen,

I wouldn't worry about Texas and it's budget. At a minimum, I can guarantee you we won't be asking for a bailout...heh, heh, heh.

A fixed income analyst to be named later said...

We know that inflation is a problem in China and that the Shanghai index is already leading us down. What is interesting is the hot money has also kindled inflation in Australia, and the Aussie stock market is a lot weaker than the commodity boom might lead you to believe. Canary in the coal mine...

http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2011/01/australia-heads-for-economic-crunch.html

BTW, many local Canadian and Aussie housing markets are starting to experience a virtual dead stop in sales. This occurred in California, Florida and Nevada and preceded the crash.

Anonymous said...

Interesting that we have such low volume. That means a number of large players are not participating today.

Paul Tudor Jones said...

I'm busy taking the lights down. See you tomorrow.

Anonymous said...

we are really getting stretched in some respects here team

stay ninja

-b22

CV said...

@b22

Stretched???

No... son... Let me explain to you why stocks are up...

Stocks Move Higher on Economic Optimism

http://www.thestreet.com/story/10958581/1/stock-market-story-jan-3.html?puc=_mdb_html_pla2&cm_ven=EMAIL_mdb_html

There you have it... "Economic Optimism"...

The article was written by: By Shanthi Bharatwaj... Not sure, but it sounds "Indian" to me...

Now if we only adopt their policies (per above)... Then I think all out problems would be solved... Add DOW 36,000 to that, and I think we'd all attain nirvana!

Now, I'm off to eat a bowl of vegetable biryani...

Ta-ta

Colin said...

Mystery FI Trader,

I have been wondering myself how to play the RE collapse in commodity-dollar land. Havent found a particularly ripe REIT out there exposed to the residential side however. Has anyone seen anything for resi RE or RMBS is Canada/Australia?

Anonymous said...

Shanthi Bharatwaj...

is probably 23 years old, was born in New Jersey, attended Princeton where she studied "the economy" under the disciples of the Ben Bernank. She resides in Hoboken and shops at Victoria's Secret.

karen said...

$wlsh NOT anywhere near 2007 highs.. $tran trying (tho it peaked in 2008)

A fixed income analyst to be named later said...

The Australian banks seem like the best bet, or the Australian shopping mall leverage artists, but watch out for government arb. Remember how ruthlessly the CRE component of the US economy was backstopped...

The lesson of the 2008 crash is when it goes, it all goes, even the good stocks, but the small caps go hardest on forced selling.

Another way of looking at this is any slowdown in China or any kind of crash in Australia means that you wouldn't want to be holding a shedload of small Aussie mining stocks. Perhaps that answers your question best.

A fixed income analyst to be named later said...

Another way to play Aussie collapse would be to be long their long duration govvies once they have tightened too far (probably already there) and short the AUD to hedge currency risk, as a collapse would lead to another carry unwind against USD and JPY.

Colin said...

I'd have to agree, I have been starting to track a basket of small-caps and banks in Australia just to get an eye for the price action. I think the general play may be that this is a contributing factor for the China/commodity slowdown globally, but that may be reaching.

karen said...

ufb flooding in queensland:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q6t7U2-wmdg&feature=player_embedded

Anonymous said...

it's just happening slowly is all:

http://www.app.com/article/20110102/NEWS/101020354/1004/NEWS01?source=nletter-news

karen said...

Ashraf Laidi
2 yrs ago, Aussie soared on drought. Today it rallies on floods. But check out $AUDCAD inability to takeout those highs.

karen said...

speaking of candos.. i just called local WFC to see if they will exchange my loonies for dollars.. i know they do currency exchange.. just not sure if they do in reverse and for my quanity.. LOL.. they hate to hand out dollars.. i know that much.. a friend of mine tried to take out $10k and was denied.. i think she had to make a special request. anyway, specialist is out so I have to call back after 12:30 PT.

A fixed income analyst to be named later said...

They have to exchange your currency. It's fun to see the look on their faces when you produce millions of yen... LOL.

That reminds me.. I need to do go get Bucky.

It's quiet, too quiet. See you all tomorrow.

CV said...

@karen

withdraw request "denied"?

WTF?

karen said...

http://www.foxnews.com/scitech/2011/01/02/dead-birds-fall-ark-sky/

karen said...

AGQ reversed..

karen said...

oh, so did JJC.. JBTFD.

AmenRa said...

The Ben "JBTFD" Bernank has spoken...

AmenRa said...

CV

Many banks don't keep that much actual cash on hand. They only increase it on days that they know they'll have many customers.

New Fangled Computer Virus said...

Cvienne - Sorry to hear you are under the weather, I hope you were not taking your computer places it shouldn't and contracted one of those computer viruses cuz they can be nasty.

Actually I had the flu the last couple weeks, normally the flu takes 7 to 10 to run it's course, this one seemed to last about two weeks.

Take it easy and watch those AWSOME SEAHAWKS!!!!


Bahahahaha They are the best of the worst, I did not know whether to laugh or cry when they won.

Mangy Mutt

AmenRa said...

Karen

Get worried if there is a plague of locusts...

AmenRa said...

Mutt

A losing record yet they'll make the playoffs.

Anonymous said...

speaking of 'viruses'..

"The Simpsons" had great send-up a of 'Media-created Health Scare' that they called 'the Cat Flu'--it was 'the Purrfect Storm' (among other 'screens' behind Kent Brockman doing the 'News')
~~

Corn 620.50 -8.50 -1.36
Soybeans 1379.0 -24.0 -1.71
30yr Bond 121.50000 -0.62500 -0.51
10yr Note 120.109375 -0.328125 -0.27
NY Gold 1416.9 -4.5 -0.32
NY Silver 30.785 -0.152 -0.49
http://www.ino.com/

AAIP

karen said...

good KD post: This highlights a point that most of you have probably heard 25 times over the last 6 months, and which drives me crazy every time I hear it. Just because bonds are unattractive doesn't mean that stocks are attractive! Now, there's a caveat here, because most money managers aren't going to hold large cash positions (like GMO's 30% current cash position) - in fact, most pension funds and insurance companies probably can't legally hold even 1/3rd that much cash. (anyone know the exact details of their mandates?) Which of course, is precisely the problem: they chase returns because they have to buy something, and then when things blow up, they need to be bailed out. Rinse, repeat.

Well, for now, the (S&P) trend is higher. I wrote a post 13 months ago about momentum vs. mean reversion, and I am going to try again, even harder in 2011, to follow my own advice on that front. Don't fight the Fed, don't fight the tape, don't try to call the top. They say that stocks take the stairs up and the elevator down - watch out when that cable breaks. I do believe that the backdrop for a rough correction is still in place, since I don't think we solved the problems that caused our crisis in the first place, but I'm not short at the moment.
http://fridayinvegas.blogspot.com/2011/01/readings-and-signs.html

CV said...

10-6 Giants & 10-6 Bucs... No playoffs...

7-9 Seahawks... In playoffs (with a home game)... LOL

karen said...

the $cdw reached 110.17 in 2007.. maybe i'll hold mine a bit longer.

Jennifer said...

I lived in Hoboken for a while back in my younger single days. Along w/ Sinatra, its other claim to fame is more bars per capita than any other town (of course, the whole place is only something like 2 square miles, but there are a lot of bars) so that might factor into Shanthi Bharatwaj's analysis. Our school vaca goes for another week, and oldest's tonsils come out on Wednesday, so I guess I'll see you all next week. No crashy without me.

Anonymous said...

cv--

how about the Raiders going undefeated in their Division, and missing the Playoffs?

that's, almost, as bad..(?)

AAIP

karen said...

how about BAC?

Someone Had to Go said...

It was either the Rams or the Seahawks and in NO WAY do I think they earned the spot especially home field, but if they didn't go it would have been the Rams.

Now let's just watch them beat the Saints.

That would be sad.

Mutt

karen said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
karen said...

On Monday January 3, 2011, 2:19 pm EST
NEW YORK (Reuters) - The number of U.S. consumers who filed for bankruptcy protection rose 9 percent in 2010, and the number could increase in 2011 because of high debt loads and stagnant income growth, a report issued Monday shows.

The number of filings totaled just over 1.53 million in 2010, up from 1.41 million in 2009, according to the American Bankruptcy Institute, citing data from the National Bankruptcy Research Center.

karen said...

I did nothing today.. will see what tomorrow brings. Later everyone!

AmenRa said...

Is is Momo Monday or Momo Week at the beginning of the year?

Bruce in Tennessee said...

I am going to take my sweetie to see True Grit, I will give a review later.

(For those of you of English extraction, grits are a southern breakfast food. You are welcome, Leftback.)

BinT

Good Flick said...

BinT - I went and saw it last night.

It was stay home and watch the StinkHawks or watch True Grit - True Grit one out.

I think you will like it and look forward to your review of it.

Mangy Mutt

karen said...

a must watch topstep..

http://mrtopstep.com/2011/01/03/sp-500-says-happy-new-year-with-a-big-strong-2011-open/

karen said...

http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2011/01/03/buzz-tracker/

good stuff and a quick skim..

wunsacon said...

>> I was definitely being more snarky than real when I recommended dss move to India.

Doh. Sorry, for misinterpreting. Since you and DSS have clashed before, I thought you were "serious" in your recommendation to her.


>> I don't think there was anything to "learn" from their experience that we didn't already know....

Acknowledged.

I know next-to-nothing about India's political system or distribution of wealth that "former British colony" wouldn't explain. So, it's not like I'm about to whip out some index cards with "top 10 things about India"...

wunsacon said...

>> The number of U.S. consumers who filed for bankruptcy protection rose 9 percent in 2010

To paraphrase, Mrs. Helmsley: Bankruptcy is for the little people.

Big dogs receive enough "liquidity" to guarantee "solvency".

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