TRADERS ANONYMOUS: STFU Everyone! - I'm trying to watch a football game for God's sake!

STFU Everyone! - I'm trying to watch a football game for God's sake!

I'm going to dispense with the big intro here because everyone knows that the subject matter is...

Since nobody on the internet seem to be football fans, and instead seem to who have nothing better to do than think of ways to blame Sarah Palin or Goerge Bush for everything... I'm going to assign you some afternoon reading...

The the 'core' of the Ritholtz and his merry band of socialists argument seems to be the wording that Sara Palin has used recently... "Take Aim" (as if there's some kind of covert subterfuge going on - that it's the CODE WORD that is suppose to flip a million Imperial Storm Trooper clones to fight against the Jedi Knights)...

Note: I'm not coming out in DEFENSE of Sarah Palin here, I'm just coming out AGAINST fucking idiots who use any opportunity they can conjure to "flame" (because, well, that's what "flaming" [insert TYPE of flamer here]'s do)...

Here are some of the ways "Take Aim" have been used by RIGHT WING ANARCHISTS in the past (you'd be surprised WHO is a right wing anarchist)...

Take Aim Against Cavities

http://www.retrojunk.com/details_commercial/1384/

A fucking toothpaste... Don't use toothpaste people... It's probably C-4 explosive meant to blow your mouth up...

Take Aim Against Bow Hunting

http://www2.turnto10.com/news/lifestyles/2010/sep/14/demonstrators-take-aim-against-bow-hunting-ar-231946/

Hey... I thought Ted Nugent was the Right Wing Jackass... Looks like the liberals are fixing to gun him down... Which proves the point... NEVER bring a bow and arrow to a gun fight...

Take Aim Against HPV

http://www.franklinsquare.org/body.cfm?id=559582

Human PAP virus... I thought liberals were hippie losers from the 60's... all about "free love" & shit... No so much anymore... "CLAP" your hands togetha if i can get a witness!...

Take Aim Against Drunk Driving

http://minnesota.cbslocal.com/2010/09/27/students-take-aim-against-drunk-driving/

Those fucking Minnesota jerks! Communists who don't want you to drink & drive... If you don't blow a 2.0 everytime you get behind the wheel, they'll be around to gun you down... Whose riding shotgun?

Sierra Club Take Aim Against EPA (Sierra Club)

http://www.chron.com/disp/story.mpl/metropolitan/7033721.html

Never associated sarah Palin with "tree huggers" did you?

Take Aim Against Cyber Bullying

http://www.examiner.com/crime-in-long-island/take-aim-against-cyber-bullying

Maybe that dude in Arizona thought the judge was a cyber bully... Maybe someone started a blog, and the blog "czars" said he couldn't comment or post what he felt in his heart... he felt he was being "bullied" and took aim... I suppose it could happen... Not in MY world though where people are allowed to air out their thoughts (and release their "pent up" anger with their minds instead of their guns - and not be FORCED into linear thought)...

Take Aim Against Cruelty to Circus Animals

http://www.lohud.com/article/20090218/COLUMNIST/902180347/Harrison-couple-take-aim-against-cruelty-to-circus-animals

I'm wondering where the "puppy lovers" (the "dog blog") comes down on this... Dilemmas Dillemas Dilemmas...

Take Aim Against Lung Cancer

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/20699448

Go ahead... Light up! But then no wait... Quit, and go on the attack... Then KILL all the smokers and steal all their cigarettes...

Yoga Takes Aim Against Wrinkles

http://www.latimes.com/features/health/medicine/la-ig-beauty9-2008nov09,0,4065713.story

So you thought the LuluLemon crowd were little fairy pacifists didn't you? Little did you know that they were all card carrying members of the Sarah Palin fan club...

Greens Take Aim Against Oil Shale

http://greenhellblog.com/2009/03/19/greens-take-aim-against-oil-shale/

If you can't beat em (the drill drill drillers)... Kill em!

Take Aim Against Financial Crimes

http://www.fa-mag.com/fa-news/6172-prosecutors-and-regulators-take-aim-against-financial-crimes.html

Don't worry about punishment... You'd have the bankers on your side... They know very well to sidestep the law...

Take Aim Against Public Corruption

http://www.pittsburghlive.com/x/pittsburghtrib/s_472894.html

If you're a liberal, and think the "take aim" phrase is dangerous, I guess you'd be against any movement to curb public corruption...

Kentucky Basketball Takes Aim at 2,000 Wins

http://www.ukathletics.com/sports/m-baskbl/spec-rel/122009aaa.html

I'm guessing that kentucky basketball will now 'forfeit' all its games from here to eternity because of the mess that sarah Palin has created...

High Schools Takes Aim at State Championship

http://www.times-herald.com/Sports/Vikings-take-aim-at-state-playoffs-against-Dutchtown--1369965

Oh yeah... And it's gonna 'bleed' (no pun intended) all the way down to the high school level...

Take Aim (Action) Against Illegal Medicines

http://www.stopillegalmedicines.com/

I thought you liberals all wanted universal healthcare... I guess you're all just Big Pharma supporters...

IRS Takes Aim Against Tax Cheaters

http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/nationworld/2001897378_taxcheats07.html

Don't "take aim" against tax cheaters... The liberals would prefer you to "cheat away at will"...

Democrats Take Aim Against De-Regulation

http://www.dailykos.net/archives/000099.html

It must be confusing to wake up every morning...

Unions Take Aim Against the Services Directive...

http://www.epsu.org/a/1736

Ditto

Bankruptcy Attorneys Take Aim Against MERS

http://www.txbankruptcyblog.com/2010/05/articles/chapter-7-bankruptcy/the-war-on-error-bankruptcy-attorneys-take-aim-against-mers/

They d rather have you "out of your house for no reason" than to "take aim" against any injustice...

Take Aim Against High Blood Pressure

http://www.highbeam.com/doc/1G1-84350133.html

Eat all the fried food you want... If you went the Sarah Palin route and didn't "take aim"... well, I shudder to think!

Environmentalists Take Aim Against water Management Plan

http://www.naplesnews.com/news/2006/jan/18/conservationists_squaring_against_collier_county_p/

Polluted Water for Everyone!

Red Sox Take Aim at 4th Straight against the Twins

http://www.thebostonchannel.com/r/13263879/detail.html

Jeez, it must be hard if you have your allegiance tied between these two towns and ballclubs... You probably wake up every morning with a gun in each hand pointed at your head wondering which trigger to pull...

French Unions Take Aim Against Sarkozy

http://www.csmonitor.com/World/Europe/2010/1013/As-French-strikes-continue-unions-take-aim-at-Sarkozy

Those 'cheese eating surrender monkey communists'... And I always thought Sarah Palin got her inspiration from Moose...

Firefighters Take Aim Against Blaze

http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/object/comments?f=/g/a/2007/06/24/baypixweek.DTL&object=%2Fc%2Fpictures%2F2007%2F06%2F22%2Fba_tifire_137_mac.jpg

Liberals!... "Burning down the house" (since 1776)...

Sexy Models Take Aim in Photos

http://www.bigstockphoto.com/image-6424288/stock-photo-sexy-model-take-aim

This is CV's version of taking aim... Oh no! That doesn't make me a Palin supporter does it?

Londoners Take Aim Against Slowpokes

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704164004575547701061890026.html

We learned everything we know from the Brits... I think the Brits need to take it easy here... After all, they were all raised on The Benny Hill Show... They ought to give slowpokes a moment to compile their travel pictures to entertain the two people on the planet who are interested in what the fuck they have to say...

And the "piece de la restance"... For all you who are worried about Sarah Palin... (Well, CV doesn't even have to leave his own back yard to find this)...

Joe Manchin (D. WV) I'll Take Aim Against Cap & Trade

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Joe_Manchin

http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=130888515

Peeps... Perhaps Sarah Palin just watched too much Charlies Angels, or James Bond movies... Chill out and go back to your bird stories... And leave me with "my" birds (the Ravens)...

211 comments:

«Oldest ‹Older 1 – 200 of 211 Newer› Newest»

Andy T said...: On the earlier thread, Ben had this to say to both Ahab and myself:

"That said, surely the two of you recognize that our words can and DO have tremendous impact on others and that those that are in a position where millions of people around the world hear them, and listen to them, may want to consider carefully what they say, which was the point of my Palin rant above."

I agree. I remember reading and hearing about the Palin ads back at the time and thought they were, at least, in poor taste. That said, anyone who is NOT insane knows that she wasn't suggesting that these people actually be killed.

The gun thing is her "schtick" as it were. It appeals to her "base."

This kids was clear whacked out.

I think BR posting on it and ASSIGNING blame, as if she was the only person on the planet to ever use elevated rhetoric, was a JACKASS move.; January 9, 2011 at 1:01 PM
Andy T said...: The other thing I'd like to point out...

The left wing/progressive/socialist are extremely rabid and hateful of "elites" or bankers that have been bailed out.

You need to read some of Mannwich's comments someday on this matter: He uses phrases like warfare and pillaged in regard to that situation. I actually think Mannwich is more level-headed than the most radical people out there--he has a job, home, etc...

But, when you read his stuff, you might think he was "on the edge" of taking out a banker or someone he might consider an "elite" who has waged WAR on him and his people.

It's pretty scary stuff all around.

The point is that groups on the far right and the far left actually have a lot in common.

The both feel the the Government, or "powers that be," ARE taking things AWAY from them and giving it to other people.

And, I don't disagree. The actions of the last few years have seen the government reallocate the WEALTH of this country to various select groups. It's actually the middle class in the country that is getting the SHAFT. And, there is societal tension....

I really just wonder what the reaction would have been if some bankrupted middle class homeowner, who just had his home "taken away" by Bank America, shot several BofA executives?

I wonder what the reaction would have been?
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
For the recod, I don't own a Gun. I'm not an NRA guy. I'm not a Tea-Party person. I'm not a fan of Sarah Palin--I've said that several times in the past. This looks like the work of single person who was "checked out" mentally.; January 9, 2011 at 1:12 PM
Andy T said...: The Joe Manchin ad is a perfect of example of "schtick." It appeals to the people of W.Virgina whose votes/support he was seeking....; January 9, 2011 at 1:18 PM
works in a Govt basement somewhere to be named later said...: Here's a problem, and, it's only going to get worse...

Population in the US is estimated to be 311,863,000

Total nonfarm employment is 130,712,000 and this includes Govt. employees.

181,151,000 are either working on farms, retired, unemployed or underage (maybe illegals too?)... could this be right?

Kind of looks like about 40% of the population is supporting 100% of the population... hmmm

Not to mention total nonfarm includes Govt employees and military which produce nothing IMO, calculate this into the figure and it would be far less than 40%... another hmmm; January 9, 2011 at 2:00 PM
ben22 said...: wild:

http://s3.amazonaws.com/data.tumblr.com/tumblr_leqa2qY1HY1qg80r6o1_1280.jpg?AWSAccessKeyId=0RYTHV9YYQ4W5Q3HQMG2&Expires=1294616910&Signature=AncUaGXAJAUVRl4fXIsl3mwgHRI%3D; January 9, 2011 at 2:06 PM
Andy T said...: @works in a Govt basement....

Indeed. That's the "tension" you feel out there....

Then, we get people who wants others to pay there "fair share"...without describing what "fair share" might mean.

I mean, "Geez Louise"....If < 40% of the workers are supporting everyone else...; January 9, 2011 at 2:39 PM
Andy T said...: @ben22.

Whoa. That some serious incoherent rambling there....The diction, the references...it's all pretty bizarre.; January 9, 2011 at 2:42 PM
cv said...: @Andy T (1:12)

"I don't own a Gun. I'm not an NRA guy. I'm not a Tea-Party person. I'm not a fan of Sarah Palin--I've said that several times in the past..."

---
Same goes for CV... None of the above...

I'm just a guy who likes watching football... And detests reading or listening to bullshit...

I admit I have to listen to and read the bullshit though, because it's important to understand what types you might have to deal with on any given day...

When you plant seeds... Of course you want to think that the fruits and vegetables will all just grow lush and ripe...

Alas... There are grubs, insects, molds, and blight which are part of the ecosystem...; January 9, 2011 at 2:43 PM
cv said...: Ravens are driving me NUTS here...

Not putting this game away and letting the Chiefs stay in it...; January 9, 2011 at 2:43 PM
ben22 said...: AT,

The way he is phrasing words is similar to what you find in mind control experiments, very sad.; January 9, 2011 at 2:56 PM
Anonymous said...: speaking of 'mind control', many of these types of 'dudes' have turned out, subsequently, to be (on SSRIs/under FBI 'control'/"similar") in, previous, well-known, circumstances..

this one is pretty classic example thereof..

http://search.yippy.com/search?input-form=clusty-simple&v%3Asources=webplus&v%3Aproject=clusty&query=Timothy+McVeigh+OKC+SPLC+FBI

ibid.; January 9, 2011 at 3:05 PM
Andy T said...: @cv. Ravens/Chiefs. I hope you didn't let your Ravens "bias" get in the way of money making....

"betting against a live home dog...."

ha.

I've been generally unimpressed with the Chiefs at times. Let's face it, they let a REALLY shitty Texan team come back and beat them....; January 9, 2011 at 3:10 PM
Anonymous said...: cv--

nice find on the Manchin/NRA/"Take Aim"-Ad

I let it fly over at TBP..

AAIP; January 9, 2011 at 3:16 PM
Anonymous said...: looks like the Ravens have this in the bag-

also- I owe CV an apology-

certain folks do deserve any and all derision "aimed" in their direction-

(lest I offend- please let me know if this is hate speech- or maybe I should get approval from thor or dss or some other "enlightened" individual before posting?); January 9, 2011 at 3:44 PM
AmenRa said...: KC: Gone fishin'; January 9, 2011 at 3:48 PM
Andy T said...: MEH: I like the way you got attacked over there for posting the Manchin ad....

Interesting stuff....

"But that's not the same thing...blah blah blah"

DeDude = DeLusional....that was funny....

Though, to be honest, I'm not actually laughing much today...Heard the mother of the 9yr old girl on Fox...pretty heart-breaking stuff. Couldn't even imagine it.; January 9, 2011 at 4:20 PM
Anonymous said...: Blaming Sarah Palin for this shooting is like me blaming Obama for me losing my job because last summer I went for a drive to visit all 57 states and never came back because I'm still looking for the last 7 + 1 states.

Now what would happen if this was in Target's parking lot? It would be their fault, but only after they said it was Bush's fault.

Plain and simple this guy was a lugnut and no where on his Myspace page or anywhere else for that matter did he mention Palin.; January 9, 2011 at 4:35 PM
Andy T said...: For all, here is a link to my latest weekly update: http://www.scribd.com/doc/46564488/Market-Discussion-9-Jan-11

It was short and sweet again. The 24 hour trip to the Cotton Bowl and this weekend's news has me a bit distracted.

Bottom Line: I think there are some really interesting trades finally setting up to be executed.

Good Luck.; January 9, 2011 at 5:08 PM
cv said...: AAIP (3:16)

Thanks for that... REALLY... THANKS!

That was my STFU showstopper... Look, not that I'm interested in taking this anywhere beyond where it's been taken already...

For the record: I'm appalled AND SADDENED by the events (as any "caring" person might be)... I live in this country... I love this country... I don't want to leave it... I DID THAT ALREADY (for 12 years)... Not because I wanted to get away, but because there was a business opportunity... which worked out well (for both parties)...

In the end... Although I experienced rich and diverse cultures abroad (and have also been "working" in 45 other countries in my career)... I could NEVER WAIT to get back on American soil...

I love this country... WARTS & all...

The WORST thing about Americans is... TOURISTS (Americans in other Countries)...

Want to become a REAL American?...

You can start by staying at home and working on your own problems (not "you" MEH, but I'm talking about American Idiots in general)...

I guarantee you that the news that the blogosphere is all alight about this weekend, will hardly reach the vast majority of human ears...

And even to the ears it reaches... The response will be...

Que? (or some other version of WTF)...

Jeez... At least when I'm rooting for the Ravens or the Packers, I know nobody is "dying" over it... (or, at least HUMOR me into believing that's true)...; January 9, 2011 at 6:04 PM
cv said...: @Andy T (3:10)

"betting against a live home dog"...

I hear you... But you have to know (because you're particularly ADEPT at taking what could be described as a "system" [EW], and creating tweaks thru experience)... I THINK THAT'S PERFECTLY ACCEPTABLE (and probably SMART)... Ask Glen Neely...

Anyway... The CHIEFS as "live home dogs" didn't pass the "SMELL TEST" for CV... I made it clear that it was an ANOMALY that I would "not only" go against my own theorem in that case, but lay MULTIPLE UNITS on it (and gave the context of the SPORTSBOOK BOARD to substantiate my claim)...

THIS SHOULD MAKE CV A "HANDICAPPING GOD" (if you review all my game comments [and BCS comments - going back to LSU-Texas A&M this weekend

And since CV IS NOW A GOD... It means that you should FADE AT WILL my picks next weekend!... :-); January 9, 2011 at 6:19 PM
cv said...: Did you see that last TD by the "Dog Killers"???

It was "Bush's Fault" (Jerod)...

I humbly resign my blog... I've been WRONG all along!; January 9, 2011 at 6:23 PM
wunsacon said...: Guys,

I've read some good arguments distancing Palin/Beck/Bachmann fans from the radical yesterday. But, ask yourselves these questions, too:

- Who shows up with rifles to political rallies?

- Who shows up with signs saying "This time we're unarmed -- but we'll be back"?

- Who held a rally where you could shoot a target depicting your political opponent with an M-16?

- Who's on the radio for hours each day telling listeners that left-wingers are traitors?

- Who advocates assassinating Assange?

- Who distributes leaflets near abortion clinics, leaflets that show a person's hand holding a handgun?

- Who told me I was a traitor for (verbally and in voting) opposing George Bush's invasion of Iraq? (They shoot traitors, don't they?)

Taken alone, one might say "big deal" about Palin's and Beck's rhetoric. But, these events are not happening in isolation. Together, they send this message: right-wingers might start killing left-wingers if right-wingers don't get their way.

Do I picture CV or Andy T going postal as a result? No. Of course, the nuts are the first (and hopefully only) people to start shooting. But, right-wing pundits should think more about the fact that *some* of their listeners *are* nuts. I do wish some members of the right-wing tone down their implied (if not explicit) threats of violence.; January 9, 2011 at 6:33 PM
wunsacon said...: Do some left-wingers engage in political violence? Yes. But, where do they get their inspiration? You don't hear left-wing pundits calling for blood. There is no equivalence here.

E.g., DailyKos used the term "bulls eye" but did not use a graphic. Go see the page for yourself to decide for yourself how "threatening" that was. Compare that to Palin "We found the targets...you prescribe the solution" printed on (one version of) her "district target" flyer.; January 9, 2011 at 6:36 PM
Anonymous said...: cv--

certainly, no problem, as I said, it was a Great find~
~~

"...Following the principle of Occam's Razor, and assuming this is not a cruel hoax* (the link to Jared is only a week old), an interesting possibility suggests itself!

Loughner and Giffords knew each other. Jared Loughner twice worked for Gabrielle Giffords' campaign!

Gabrielle Gifford subscribes to Jared Loughner's YouTube channel, effectively linking her public YouTube channel to his YouTube channel. Why? Loughner's YouTube channel doesn't have much in it, and what is there might create some unpleasant concerns in the minds of Giffords' constituents. And Giffords only subscribed to one other channel, meaning this was not something she normally did as a matter of course.

One thing we can know from the subscription from Gabrielle Giffords' subscribing to Jared Loughner's YouTube channel; they were close, closer than the usual candidate/volunteer, close enough that Jared Loughner shared his YouTube channel with Gabrielle Gifford, and Gabrielle Gifford thought it important enough to link her own YouTube channel to.

So here is the "what if?" What if Jared Loughner misread Gabrielle Giffords' level of interest in him? What if he thought there was more than there really was? And what if, in the post-campaign season when Gabrielle Giffords had no more reason to spend any time with him, Jared Loughner felt jilted and betrayed?..."

+; January 9, 2011 at 7:03 PM
Anonymous said...: "...What if Jared continued to pursue Giffords until Giffords finally got fed up trying to calm him down and told him to get lost? I know it reads like a soap opera, but we do have a murder that fits the description of a crime of passion, involving two people with a demonstrated close relationship.

And if it should be revealed that we are dealing with a classic case of unrequited lover and infatuation gone deadly, all those political operatives like the Democrats, the gun grabbers, Southern Poverty Law Center, etc. trying to spin this tragedy to benefit their agendas are going to wind up looking like horses' rear ends!

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

*UPDATE: The possibility that someone has broken into Gifford's YouTube page is undeniable. If the link to Jared is something added after the shooting by a malicious hacker, and setting aside the cruelty and insensitivity of such an action, it means that someone intends to obfuscate the real facts in the case by putting out deliberate disinformation; a classic sign of a cover-up in operation, and that anything seen on anybody's YouTube page, including Jared's, should not be taken at face value."
http://www.youtube.com/user/giffords2

from:
http://whatreallyhappened.com/; January 9, 2011 at 7:05 PM
cv said...: C'MON PHILLY (Andy Reid)

You're down by 11 points in the 4th quarter inside the opponents 20 yard line...

It's 4th and inches... It's a single elimination PLAYOFF game...

Do you TRUST your ALL WORLD QUARTERBACK - "BFF's" with Barack Obama because of his dog killing skills to get you the half yard for a first down and SAVE your season???

He's the GREATEST DOG KILLER IN HISTORY - says the "DOG KILLER PARDONER IN CHIEF"... Surely he can gain a half a yard!!!!

Nope... Send in David Akers for the FG attempt...

Missed right! (shoulda aimed farther left)... See what happens...

Damn! Hate when that happens...; January 9, 2011 at 7:06 PM
Anonymous said...: commentary on
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE7082UY20110109

follows, here: "So, Giffords was shot from behind. If she was running away, then she was not the first target. If she had been the intended target, wouldn't Jared have approached her from the front, if for no other reason than to make sure he had the right woman in his sights? Or to let her know who the agent of her impending death was?

Was someone else shot before Giffords? Like the judge? And if so, is this the reason that the video we presume was being made of her public appearance not been made public?"
http://whatreallyhappened.com/

which, is an interesting potentiality(that she wasn't the (primary) target)

ibid.; January 9, 2011 at 7:09 PM
Anonymous said...: cv--

Andy Reid blows..

He's the main reason that I can't be bothered 'rooting' for Philadelphia..

He's been pulling that S*** for Years...

They should have got rid of him, before McNabb..

AAIP; January 9, 2011 at 7:11 PM
Anonymous said...: more commentary from www.whatreallyhappened.com

"Anyone besides me notice that the media's focus is entirely on the wounded congresswoman while ignoring all the dead people? As of this writing, Loughner hasn't said whether it was the judge or the Congresswoman who was the intended target. The judge did have enemies, mostly from his supporting of illegal immigrants suing homeowners who shot at them.

I wondered about this until Eric Cantor put a hold on Congress and the ADL started screaming about anti-Semitics being behind the attack. That is when the light went on. Congresswoman Giffords is Jewish!

Remember back when Columbia crashed? The media lionized Israel's passenger on the shuttle (same man who had flown the raid that bombed Iraq's power station) to the exclusion of all the other crew members. It was almost sickening to see the US media making a hero out of Ilian Ramon and treating the other victims of the Columbia disaster as if they were background scenery only.

We are apparently seeing the same again today. A wounded Congresswoman takes the center stage, while the people actually killed are relegated to the status of a footnote!..."
~~~
interesting, I wonder if we will, ever, hear from that Laughner character...

ibid.; January 9, 2011 at 9:15 PM
Andy T said...: @wunsacon 6.33:

"Do I picture CV or Andy T going postal as a result? No. Of course, the nuts are the first (and hopefully only) people to start shooting. But, right-wing pundits should think more about the fact that *some* of their listeners *are* nuts. I do wish some members of the right-wing tone down their implied (if not explicit) threats of violence."

I'll only take minor offense to that statement Wunsacon. But, just to set the record straight:

Just because someone doesn't agree with liberal/progressive/socialists DOES NOT make them a right winger!

I've never EVER listened to Rush Limbaugh in my entire life. I've probably watched a LUMP SUM of 20 minutes of Glen Beck--and that was mostly to laugh at him.

Those folks are money maker hucksters whose role it is to appeal to right wing/conservative people.

When I see people carrying guns to rally, my first impressions would be they are:

a) redneck conservatives;
b) really pissed off about something.

That's my honest answer. I have that bias in me. I was raised in a very liberal/union household in California. My mother is a College Professor of English within the California educational system. I've a few degrees myself, so I'm one of those "educated" snobs who has a bias to "look down" on such "red-neckery."

So, that sort of crowd turns me off...

That said, the "educated liberals" (I'm specifically thinking of Hilary Clinton-types) turn me off to the same degree. They have a general mis-trust of people and a belief that all we need "is just a little more government" to help "right the ills" of this society.

So, both ends of the political spectrum really turn me off for various specific reasons.

And, both ends of the spectrum, can be dangerous in their own particular ways....

Please Wunsa, don't ever lump me in with the "right wing" Tea Party/Palin crowd ever again...

Thanks in advance, AT.; January 9, 2011 at 9:36 PM
Andy T said...: "Investigators found a letter from the congresswoman in a safe at the house where Loughner lived with his parents, thanking him for attending a similar 2007 event, a federal agent's affidavit states." (CNN)

So, basically this guy had been following this Congressman and attending her rallies since at least 2007?

As anon. mentioned above: "And if it should be revealed that we are dealing with a classic case of unrequited lover and infatuation gone deadly, all those political operatives like the Democrats, the gun grabbers, Southern Poverty Law Center, etc. trying to spin this tragedy to benefit their agendas are going to wind up looking like horses' rear ends!"

Indeed. That's why I was really surprised that a lawyerly/facts-based/quant guy like Barry posted what he did yday before knowing any of the details.

I have a feeling he might end up looking like a real Jack-ass.; January 9, 2011 at 9:46 PM
David Gergen said...: BR and his denizens, Please Read This; January 9, 2011 at 10:24 PM
wunsacon said...: Sorry, Andy. I thought about how that sounded after I wrote it.

I was just trying to cite random examples of people who might criticize the Left but aren't going to go postal just because of a "charged atmosphere".; January 9, 2011 at 10:58 PM
I-Man said...: Well, how do you feel about dreadnecks?; January 9, 2011 at 10:58 PM
wunsacon said...: I-Man, are you asking me? What's a dreadneck?

This?
http://www.urbandictionary.com/define.php?term=Dreadneck; January 9, 2011 at 11:07 PM
Anonymous said...: I-Man,

I actually like most people...especially dreadnecks.
Ha!

-AT; January 9, 2011 at 11:34 PM
CV said...: @I-Man

I only hate dreadneck who are STEELER (and Penguin) fans :-)...; January 10, 2011 at 5:53 AM
CV said...: In the CRIMINAL COMPLAINT against Loughner..

5) "On January 8, 2011, a search warrant was executed at 7741 N. Soledad Avenue in Tucson, Arizona where LOUGHNER resides. Some of the evidence seized from that location included a letter in a safe, addressed to "Mr. Jared Loughney" at 7741 N. Soledad Avenue, from Congresswoman Giffords on Congressional stationary, dated August 30, 2007, thanking him for attending a "Congress on your Corner" event at the Foothills Mall in Tucson. Also recovered in the safe was an envelope with handwriting on the envelope stating "I planned ahead" and "My assassination" and the name "Giffords" along with what appears to be LOUGHNER's signature."

---

My question is... Who'd ever HEARD of Sarah Palin in August 2007??? Jeez - In August of 2007, Cramer was ranting "They know nothing" (the Fed), and the Bernank was telling everyone that subprime was contained...

Palin had barely moved into the governors igloo in Alaska at that point (Dec 2006)...

I'm sure there's a logical explanation for why Sarah Palin is responsible for all of this (in the minds of retards)...; January 10, 2011 at 6:46 AM
CV said...: @wunsa

Do I picture CV or Andy T going postal as a result? No. Of course, the nuts are the first (and hopefully only) people to start shooting. But, right-wing pundits should think more about the fact that *some* of their listeners *are* nuts. I do wish some members of the right-wing tone down their implied (if not explicit) threats of violence.

---

OK... Let me 'fancy' you with my own hypothesis...

Now that WUNSACON has 'planted the seed' of hypothesis (by linking Andy T and CV in the same sentence with "going postal")...

Well - Don't you think you've set a dangerous precedent there? What if all the other readers misinterpret what you said??? You yourself needed a "do over" (and felt the need to further explain to Andy what your intentions were)...

See what I mean?

THE PROBLEM IS... And this is the point that I constantly HAMMER HOME... Is that there are (and always will be) 'worms in the apple', 'flys in the ointment', 'monkeys in the wrench'...

The ridiculous thing is that all these bleeding liberals think they can 'sanitize' that type of behavior through laws, or regulations... When something bad happens, it's an excuse to layer on EVEN MORE laws and regulations...

And...Of course... To parcel off and DIVIDE (because it is the act of a "sanitizer" to do so)...

For someone like myself... I only start to get ruffled when people start to infringe on my freedom... There's no reason for me ever to go postal because I don't see life as being this perfect thing...

I don't see people all joing hands and singing kumbaya... It's never happened in the past, and it never will... Probably the day that ever happens will be the day that humankind perishes... Ecosystems evolve through fighting (from plants, to animals, to insects)...

But if Keith Olberman and Rachel Maddow want to waste their time trying to tell me how I should live... FINE... There's always the "off" button on my TV...; January 10, 2011 at 7:07 AM
Bruce in Tennessee said...: But this guy was an aetheist, favorite books were the Communist Manifesto and Das Kapital. And so on.

How big a net do right wing nuts have to cast to include this guy?; January 10, 2011 at 7:16 AM
Bruce in Tennessee said...: The guy was simply a paranoid schizophrenic. End of discussion. Mental illness doesn't deserve a political label.; January 10, 2011 at 7:21 AM
CV said...: Here... I'm changing my avatar to reflect wunsa's opinion of me... :-); January 10, 2011 at 7:24 AM
CV said...: @BinT

"Mental illness doesn't deserve a political label..."

---

"Mental illness DECRIBES those who find something political in everything they don't like"

There... fixed it!; January 10, 2011 at 7:26 AM
CV said...: @BinT

He read Mein Kampf too... And Giffords is Jewish...

Who the hell knows?; January 10, 2011 at 7:27 AM
CV said...: http://www.zerohedge.com/article/silver-bears-are-back-round-three-explaining-two-key-recent-developments-world-silver; January 10, 2011 at 7:41 AM
Bruce in Tennessee said...: CV:

When Sirhan Sirhan shot Bobby Kennedy, we didn't get into any political labels. Or his brother's killing, or Martin Luther King. Yes, there were ideas about conspiracy, but up until recently we didn't think that A PERSON'S POLITICAL VIEWS MIGHT BE WHAT MADE THEM MENTALLY ILL.

I think that is basically the point I wish to make.

...Today's theme: Debt takes no holidays...the news continues to show that massive debt has just been ignored in 2010...not addressed.; January 10, 2011 at 7:44 AM
Bruce in Tennessee said...: Holy Catfood, Batman, Hussman is quoting von Mises today!

...He's out of the closet!

http://www.hussmanfunds.com/

"Ludwig von Mises wrote in 1931, "Credit expansion cannot increase the supply of real goods. It merely brings about a rearrangement. It diverts capital investment away from the course prescribed by the state of economic wealth and market conditions."; January 10, 2011 at 7:51 AM
Bruce in Tennessee said...: How do we explain the killing of Lennon or the shooting of Reagan or Charles Manson's crimes?

...It is simple mental illness, no more....I suppose some would advocate "evil" as in Manson...I don't agree with that line of thinking, but I'm just me.; January 10, 2011 at 7:54 AM
CV said...: @BinT

I'm still trying to get to the bottom of Who shot JR Ewing?; January 10, 2011 at 7:56 AM
CV said...: @Bruce

Ha! Manson... The Manson "clanners" were a bunch of hippies who thought the COMMUNE life was the way to go...

The whole movement basically ended after everyone had had sex with everyone else and then all the infighting began...

Many of todays "liberals" are just a bunch of people trying to re-live the 60's... (With a modern day touch)...

Too many bong hits...; January 10, 2011 at 7:59 AM
Bruce in Tennessee said...: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-01-10/eclectica-s-hendry-turns-greece-chaos-profit-into-bet-that-china-will-fail.html

Eclectica's Hendry Turns Greece Chaos Profit Into Bet That China Will Fail; January 10, 2011 at 8:01 AM
CV said...: So nowadays you get a bunch of tired old hags starting up blogsites because their "secret wish" was to have been Gloria Steinam in another life...; January 10, 2011 at 8:02 AM
Vinny said...: http://www.businessinsider.com/sarah-palins-intrade-odds-dive-in-immediate-wake-of-arizona-tragedy-2011-1

It's Palin's fault, capitalism proves it.; January 10, 2011 at 8:04 AM
Anonymous said...: The guy was simply a paranoid schizophrenic. End of discussion. Mental illness doesn't deserve a political label.

bingo!

but lets blame it on Beck and Palin and Fox news and the GOP-

just because we don't like them and disagree with their views-

they better find some Palin posters or Palin memorabilia somewhere on this guy or I'm going to be pissed; January 10, 2011 at 8:18 AM
I only read the articles said...: Playboy agrees to Hefner buyout offer; January 10, 2011 at 8:45 AM
Bruce in Tennessee said...: It is snowing like a SOB today...and the radio says all the snowplows have been diverted to the interstates to keep them open. The state police are doing immediate towing for cars that are in the interstate ditch..and we may get 8 more inches tonight. The salt mine will be a lonely place today.; January 10, 2011 at 8:57 AM
Bruce in Tennessee said...: AND MY DRIVEWAY LOOKS LIKE THIS, LEFTY. A NEIGHBOR'S FARM.; January 10, 2011 at 9:04 AM
Anonymous said...: Radio?... not many peeps listen to the radio anymore...; January 10, 2011 at 9:06 AM
Bruce in Tennessee said...: I've found if I watch video on the way to work, it pisses of the state police...; January 10, 2011 at 9:07 AM
Bruce in Tennessee said...: Peeps are turning up...back later...; January 10, 2011 at 9:08 AM
Jennifer said...: From Bob Hoye's Institutional Advisors:

Independent of our Momentum Peak Forecaster, we see other reasons for a correction in the
equity markets. The S&P is up 26% from its summer lows, having made a mild correction back
to the 50-day moving average as we approached the end of November. When comparing other
advances from a corrective low exceeding 25% in 18 weeks (common as we pass into the third
year in the US presidential cycle) we find that a downside move of 5% or more is the next
regular event (1930, ’32, ’33, ’35, ’38, ’42, ’61, ’63, ’67, ’72, ’75, ’76, ’80, ’83, ’85, ’87, ’91,
’96, ’99 and 2003). The strong seasonal period from mid December through the first week has
come to an end. We will look for another test of the 50-day moving average and the 20-day
Bollinger Band with an RSI(14) below 45 soon.; January 10, 2011 at 9:24 AM
Jennifer said...: My patient is doing rather poorly. Having spent significant time at the ER watching the IV fluid replacement, I'm not in good trading shape today. Best of luck everyone.; January 10, 2011 at 9:26 AM
karen said...: good morning.. i agree.. and sorry about "the patient," Jennifer..

non-heathens.. I wanted better than .16 up.. perhaps I should have been more specific.. d*mn pipeline leak didn't help my crude short either.; January 10, 2011 at 9:31 AM
Barry Ritholtz said...: "they better find some Palin posters or Palin memorabilia somewhere on this guy or I'm going to be pissed"

Yeah, if you don't find something like that, I'm going to end up looking pretty fucking stupid.

It'll look like I just posted some inflammatory crap at a really poor moment in time.; January 10, 2011 at 9:42 AM
A fixed income analyst to be named later said...: Can't be short crude with the weather in the East like this. We are going to have another very cold week. The time will come. Plenty of HFs are trying to push this to $100.

Will be busy but watching bonds today.; January 10, 2011 at 9:43 AM
A fixed income analyst to be named later said...: POMO is 10s today. Expect strength there only, and weakness later in Ts.

I thought the Jets and Packers games were fascinating defensive battles and a prime example of being able to run the ball and control the clock. The Seahawks game was two very bad defensive teams..; January 10, 2011 at 9:47 AM
A fixed income analyst to be named later said...: My comment on the weekend is that crazy people and guns don't mix. We need to rethink the need for almost anyone in an urban area to have a firearm. It's not very compelling.; January 10, 2011 at 9:48 AM
karen said...: snow conditions mean less gasoline consumption in my mind.. not that supply and demand matter. anyway, that leak will get fixed and then the oil will flow again.. agree that some are trying to push crude back to $100, however. $gaso chart got toppy..; January 10, 2011 at 9:51 AM
karen said...: aussie down again.. spx had to catch up.. soon we will find the floor in gold : ); January 10, 2011 at 9:52 AM
Bruce in Tennessee said...: AFIATBNL:

I think this guy had been treated "some" for mental illness anyway. I don't think anyone who carries the diagnosis of paranoia should EVER be allowed to own a firearm. But this may be to anti-PC to ever come to fruition..; January 10, 2011 at 9:57 AM
Bruce in Tennessee said...: to or too, it matters not...

my typing skills are a thing of beauty..; January 10, 2011 at 9:58 AM
Anonymous said...: Agreed, Bruce, nice driveway, btw.; January 10, 2011 at 10:00 AM
karen said...: "The central bank bought $1.7 trillion of mortgage debt and Treasuries through March 2010 as it sought to pull the U.S. out of the worst recession since the 1930s. On Nov. 3, the Federal Open Market Committee decided to buy $600 billion of Treasuries through June in a policy known as QE2 for a second round of quantitative easing." Yup, no wonder Brownstein likes the Fed..

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-01-10/yellen-speech-may-offer-proxy-for-planned-unwinding-of-fed-qe.html

and Ben, my son's comment about that interview.. "What an idiot." or something like that..

Oh, from the same article: "Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Janet Yellen presented a possible timeline of about seven years before the Fed’s balance sheet is restored to normal levels, while saying the central bank’s asset purchases will end up creating 3 million jobs by 2012."

Shall we do the math on that again!!!; January 10, 2011 at 10:04 AM
A fixed income analyst to be named later said...: T trading at P/E of 7 and a yield of 6. The loss of I-Phone business is being priced in to VZ and out of T. Might be a good day to take a punt on T. DF trading above 10, we bought it with a 7 handle. Sweet.; January 10, 2011 at 10:07 AM
A fixed income analyst to be named later said...: British banker bonii backlash.

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-01-10/miliband-calls-on-osborne-to-bring-back-u-k-bank-bonus-tax.html; January 10, 2011 at 10:10 AM
Anonymous said...: DF selling off. Maybe Tepper is out now... ROR.; January 10, 2011 at 10:14 AM
karen said...: Is that your hay, Bruce? Picture perfect, sighing..; January 10, 2011 at 10:19 AM
wunsacon said...: >> Here... I'm changing my avatar to reflect wunsa's opinion of me... :-)

Oh, crap! I've reaally done it this time!

>> Well - Don't you think you've set a dangerous precedent there?

No.

>> The ridiculous thing is that all these bleeding liberals think they can 'sanitize' that type of behavior through laws

I'm not in favor of new laws, because I can't imagine a wording that wouldn't do more harm than good. I just wish elements on the Right would *willingly* tone down the implied threats. De-charge the atmosphere.; January 10, 2011 at 10:19 AM
Bruce in Tennessee said...: Not my hay, but it was cut from my farm...; January 10, 2011 at 10:24 AM
Anonymous said...: gotta roll out- real work to do-

Go Palin! (lol- she could be hit by a bus as far as I care)-

but the leaps of logic kill me- everyone at TBP I am certain thinks I am some kind of gun toting far right Republican (but why should I care?)

and I don't even own a gun! But I would have also debated anyone who claimed that environmentalists were responsible for the dude who took hostages at the Discovery channel (supposedly because there was not enough Global Warming coverage)-

crazy is crazy-

all have a _________day- fill in the blank with your favorite adjective!

Maybe I am becoming a "lucid dreamer" concerned w/ grammer?

ror; January 10, 2011 at 10:33 AM
Anonymous said...: lastly- before I roll out-

fixed income analyst's post at 9:48 reminds me of an "All in the Family" episode-

meathead tells Archie that guns should be restricted because there were too money gun deaths and Archie says would you rather have them be killed with knives?

(too funny!)

meathead then says- "that's some convoluted logic you are using"

and Archie says- "Exactly- that's the kind of straight thinking I'm talking about?

ror

later . . .; January 10, 2011 at 10:44 AM
Matthew said...: Don't stress over Mr. RitzCracker's posts. I stopped reading his blog several years ago and I am not missing a thing. He made a serious transition from posting useful analysis to writing:

1. Hit pieces on free markets and anyone who believes that free markets might allocate capital better than bureaucrats
2. Laudatory editorials about Democrats
3. Maundering elitist dribble
4. Boastful pieces about his incredible hindsight

So, I stopped reading his crap and I don't miss a thing. I'm glad that he started a blog a long time ago and effectively caused all of us to come together, but his crap is too much for me. It sounds like his crap is too much for most of you too.

=========

As for my morning thoughts:

It is always sad when people violently disrupt our communities. But, let's not be quick to blame guns or anyone other than the perpetrator. He could have easily done as much damage with some bottles of alcohol, rags, and a lighter; or a car; or a brick.

We need to come to grips with the simple reality that risk can never be totally eliminated from society. We have to fight the impulse (which we all have) to start pointing fingers in frustration and wildly/aimlessly enacting poor policy that effectively increases the damage of an incident by negatively impacting a free society, broadly.

=======

The move in credit spreads looks like a breather to me. I am not reacting to the moves today. Dividend stocks are still rock solid today if they are not getting sold in a basket (i.e., not large caps). I still think that dividend stocks, consumer non-cyclicals, and cash are the best positions right now (albeit, the staples have come to be valued a little richly over the past three months).; January 10, 2011 at 10:51 AM
Anonymous said...: Crude Oil 89.33 +1.30 +1.47
Natural Gas 4.364 -0.038 -0.86
Corn 602.5 +7.5 +1.26
Soybeans 1373.5 +8.5 +0.62
30yr Bond 121.25000 +0.28125 +0.23
10yr Note 120.671875 +0.859375 +0.71
NY Gold 1371.4 +2.5 +0.18
NY Silver 29.055 +0.384 +1.34
http://www.ino.com/

STRAYER EDUCA 117.990 -35.250 -23.24
EDUCATION MGM 13.91 -2.71 -15.34
DEVRY 40.55 -7.00 -14.13
(AP:NEW YORK) Shares of for-profit universities and training schools tumbled Monday after Strayer Education Inc. said new student enrollments for its winter term slid a steep 20 percent.

That's a marked change from last year, when new student sign-ups at Strayer jumped 16 percent during the winter term. They dipped just 2 percent during the most recent fall term. Strayer said that if the trends of its winter term continue throughout 2011, total student enrollment will be down 5 percent this year, resulting in earnings per share of $7.50 to $7.70. That's well below the $10.46 per share expected by analysts surveyed by FactSet.

The decline at Strayer, which the company's CEO attributed primarily to recent scrutiny by public policy commentators and media of the for-profit education industry, is likely going to drag down investor expectations for the rest of the sector, said UBS analyst Ariel Sokol.

Analysts, surprised by the significant drop in Strayer's enrollments, slashed earnings estimates and their ratings on the stock. Baird analyst Amy Junker cut her earnings estimate for 2011 to $8.15 per share from $11.38 per share. Sterne Agee analyst Arvind Bhatia cut his rating to "Sell" from "Neutral."...
http://news.ino.com/headlines/?newsid=6897576737572713

AAIP; January 10, 2011 at 10:59 AM
Anonymous said...: (AP:BEIJING) China has banned logging in its largest forest reserve area for 10 years in a bid to combat climate change.

The official Xinhua News agency reported Monday that logging will be prohibited until 2020 in the Great and Lesser Hinggan Mountains in the northeast.

The ban is part of a forest protection program by the National Development and Reform Commission and State Forestry Administration.

China is trying to increase the size of its forests by 99 million acres (40 million hectares) to help reduce greenhouse gases blamed for global warming.

The forest reserve in the Hinggan mountains spreads out over 166,000 square miles (430,000 square kilometers) across Heilongjiang province and into neighboring Inner Mongolia.
http://news.ino.com/headlines/?newsid=689757673748480

could help to explain recent Lumber strength..

ibid.; January 10, 2011 at 11:02 AM
Anonymous said...: fix.inc.analyst2BNL,

you like selling a 1:1 combo of these T Feb Puts

27.00 T110219P00027000 0.30 0.09 0.26 0.27 334 17,607
28.00 T110219P00028000 0.50 0.10 0.50 0.51 919 4,759

for a synthetic 27.50 Strike Net ~27.10?
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/op?s=T&m=2011-02

AAIP; January 10, 2011 at 11:09 AM
CV said...: @Vinny (8:04)

http://www.businessinsider.com/sarah-palins-intrade-odds-dive-in-immediate-wake-of-arizona-tragedy-2011-1

It's Palin's fault, capitalism proves it.

---

What it PROVES is that the public is ever ready to plunk their hard earned cash down on a losing bet...

You should have read my Saturday article on the Saints & Colts...

The public was ALL OVER the Saints & Colts as "SURE THINGS"... Instead - it was CV who was at the cashiers window at the end of the day...

Then - The public was so shellshocked that they'd lost all their money on Saturday, that on Sunday they STOPPED supporting the favored Ravens, and the momentum team Packers...

Lost again!

So much for "odds"; January 10, 2011 at 11:13 AM
karen said...: well, lumber is down 2.5% or so today.. looks like a dbl top.. but i say that about everything.. thanks for bringing that to our attention, mark!; January 10, 2011 at 11:14 AM
Bruce in Tennessee said...: Everyone is keeping their date with the salt mine today....I am flabbergasted. I almost didn't come in...; January 10, 2011 at 11:15 AM
CV said...: @karen

"d*mn pipeline leak didn't help my crude short either..."

---

CV really liked AAIP's post yesterday about "Occams Razor"...

The Occams Razor on the BP pipeline burst is that JPM paid someone to sabotage the pipeline so as to create a headline & get a squeeze on crude up to $110...; January 10, 2011 at 11:17 AM
CV said...: @LB (9:47)

Pretty good analysis there... by someone who wathes the "other" type of football... :-); January 10, 2011 at 11:19 AM
karen said...: i am so out of it today i forgot to look at AIG and GovMo.. nice candles there.; January 10, 2011 at 11:21 AM
A fixed income analyst to be named later said...: We only PRETEND to be an annoying arrogant British prick....

(No comments, please); January 10, 2011 at 11:21 AM
Anonymous said...: LUMBER (RANDO 313.5 -9.3 -3.12
LUMBER (RANDO 295.0 -10.0 -3.08
http://www.ino.com/

karen~

de nada.; January 10, 2011 at 11:24 AM
CV said...: @Matthew (10:51)

Nice elaboration of thoughts there...

For the record... I hope that RitzCracker and those others at the "dog blog" keep the hits coming...

Otherwise I don't know where I'd go for my COMEDY SKITS...

This blog would get dull (even to me) if I had to talk football all the time...; January 10, 2011 at 11:25 AM
Anonymous said...: We knew it was pretend on the prick part.; January 10, 2011 at 11:29 AM
karen said...: Chet.. i went to one of Carolyn's exercise classes yesterday morning (not pilates) and, oh boy, can i feel it today.. funny how yard work and cleaning doesn't quite cut it.. The point is, however, she is amazing.. puts all the younger girls to shame! I'm going to drop in every Sunday morning.. only $15.. she used to teach farther away and somehow failed to tell me she moved to closer gym.; January 10, 2011 at 11:31 AM
CV said...: Newt Gingrich Pushing Bill To Allow States To File Bankruptcy Allowing Them To Renege On Pension And Benefit Obligations

http://www.zerohedge.com/article/newt-gingrich-pushing-bill-allow-states-file-bankruptcy-allowing-them-renege-pension-and-ben

---

Wonder if a headline like this will cause Ritzy's favorite son Franklin411 to change his line of work from "schoolteacher" to "Taxi Driver" (DeNiro)...

ror; January 10, 2011 at 11:31 AM
Anonymous said...: EUR/USD 1.2938 +0.0033 +0.26%
USD/JPY 82.72 -0.40 -0.49%
GBP/USD 1.5560 +0.0017 +0.11%
5-Year Treasury 1.928 -0.028 -1.43%
10-Year Treasury 3.295 -0.033 -0.99%
30-Year Treasury 4.466 -0.024 -0.53%
http://finviz.com

are we, really, going to see ~4.60-4.80% on the Long End?

AAIP; January 10, 2011 at 11:33 AM
CV said...: @karen

Well that's good...

Always nice to shake things up a little...

And just think... It models "The American Way" (Rearranging the deck chairs on the Titanic)... :-); January 10, 2011 at 11:33 AM
Jennifer said...: anyone having data feed problems this morning? I've been following DECK only to discover that my stockcharts.com data is off by about 10 minutes worth.; January 10, 2011 at 11:35 AM
A fixed income analyst to be named later said...: are we, really, going to see ~4.60-4.80% on the Long End?

We wish we knew the answer to this question. But we feel that the QE2 WIZARDRY of the BEN BERNANK has put some FLATION into the PPI PIPELINE. A HOT number for PPI would then elicit a FLEE THE BONDS media frenzy and produce an excellent ENTRY on a DEATH OF TREASURIES meme. That is our model for the time being. Not enough pain yet.; January 10, 2011 at 11:39 AM
Anonymous said...: good insight into the 'Hearts' of all Statists..

(AP:GENEVA) A Swiss village has found a drastic way to compel dog holders to pay their pet's annual tax: cough up, or the dog gets it.

Reconvilier _ population 2,245 humans, 280 dogs _ plans to put fido on notice if its owner doesn't pay the annual $50 tax.

Local official Pierre-Alain Nemitz says the move is part of an effort to reclaim hundreds of thousands of dollars in unpaid taxes.

He says a law from 1904 allows the village to kill dogs if its owner does not pay the canine charge.

Nemitz told the AP on Monday that authorities have received death threats since news of the plan got out.

"This isn't about a mass execution of dogs," Nemitz said. "It's meant to put pressure on people who don't cooperate."
http://news.ino.com/headlines/?newsid=689757674657780

ibid.; January 10, 2011 at 11:42 AM
Anonymous said...: A fixed income analyst to be named later,

I'm thinking that we may not get the Full 'Death of Treasuries' work-over, this go 'round..

those higher Mtg. rates are killing off a lot of 'Housing Activity'..

also, if the PDs received the appropriate 3AM 'Wake-Up'-Call, at the end of October, their 'levered positions' have, probably, fattened them up, enough, to be able give up a few bps, here..

remains to be seen..

AAIP; January 10, 2011 at 11:46 AM
karen said...: http://www.zerohedge.com/article/charles-nenner-technical-analyst-stars-gives-2011-forecast

The wily Dutchman sees an 18 month bear market in bonds that we all should be trading around. Ten year yields will balloon up from the current 3.40% to 4.20% and the 30 year may see as high as 5.30%. Then in 2013, he thinks we will see another dip in the economy, a resurgence of deflation, and a huge rally in bonds that will take ten year yields all the way back down to the 2010 low of 2.0%.; January 10, 2011 at 11:48 AM
karen said...: Nenner’s copper target (CU) is $4.82 by the middle of April, up 9.5% from today’s $4.40 . Other commodities have already seen most of their run. Regarding oil, he sees a short term top around $92, and wants to buy it back and the end of January around $85.50. His multiple year view has it going all the way up to $200, hence his pick of ExxonMobile (XOM) as a favorite equity play. Of the independent oil producers, Charles like Occidental Petroleum (OXY), which he thinks has another 10% left in it.; January 10, 2011 at 11:49 AM
Anonymous said...: http://quotes.ino.com/chart/index.html?s=CBOT_ZB.H11.E&t=&a=&w=&v=d12

ascending wedge/higher lows off the ~119-area..

AAIP; January 10, 2011 at 11:50 AM
CV said...: @AAIP

"This isn't about a mass execution of dogs," Nemitz said. "It's meant to put pressure on people who don't cooperate."

Glad they cleared that up for us...

It's all becoming clear to me now... The REASON The "Dog Killer Pardoner in Chief"wants to become palsey walsey with Michael Vick is that he's contemplating appointing him to a CZAR post just like that...

You know... To get those taxes collected... For YOUR OWN GOOD of course... I know Ritzy & pals would agree...; January 10, 2011 at 11:53 AM
Jennifer said...: That sure creates a lot of ill will for less thank $15,000. How badly do they need the money? Did some bad dog crap on the mayor's yard or what?; January 10, 2011 at 11:55 AM
CV said...: "Nenner’s copper target (CU) is $4.82 by the middle of April, up 9.5% from today’s $4.40..."

Nickles bitchez!; January 10, 2011 at 11:57 AM
karen said...: http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2011/01/australias-tulip-mania-about-to-crash.html; January 10, 2011 at 11:58 AM
CV said...: @Jennifer (11:55)

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UyXzwtIlZyg; January 10, 2011 at 11:59 AM
karen said...: This is very very sweet.. http://www.wimp.com/babyhummingbird/; January 10, 2011 at 12:07 PM
karen said...: It’s Good To Be The Fed…
By Jamie Coleman || January 10,

The Fed will make a $78.4 bln payment to the Treasury from its 2010 profits.
If you are going to run the world’s biggest hedge fund, may as well make it profitable.
Well done, Ben!; January 10, 2011 at 12:08 PM
CV said...: This is going to be tough...

Obama to lead moment of silence after shooting

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-01-10/obama-to-lead-moment-of-silence-after-shooting.html?t=SVM-OK&pos=4

I mean, what does someone do when the word "SILENCE" comes on the teleprompter?...

It may be his most "vexing" day in office!; January 10, 2011 at 12:09 PM
karen said...: http://www.forexlive.com/158106/all/its-coming-i-swear-it-is

The divergence between weekly jobless claims and the US unemployment rate are at historic wides…Gotta close at some point, hopefully with the unemployment rate falling to match claims rather than the other way around… Here is Bloomberg’s chart of the day…; January 10, 2011 at 12:11 PM
karen said...: AA after the close today..; January 10, 2011 at 12:13 PM
Bruce in Tennessee said...: Old news but without Tepper these guys would have been dumper city!

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Hedge-funds-offered-weak-rb-1489963310.html?x=0&.v=1

NEW YORK/LONDON (Reuters) - Hedge funds often claim to offer strong returns that are not correlated with broader markets, but in 2010 many failed on both of those counts.

That failure came in large part because hedge funds cannot make as many bets with borrowed money, analysts said.

Hedge funds on average returned just 4.52 percent this year to December 28, according to Hedge Fund Research's HFRX index.

That is short of the FTSE 100's (FTSE:^FTSE - News) 10.5 percent jump or the Standard & Poor's 500 Index (^SPX - News) 12.7 percent rise.

...as for 2011...just bundle up.; January 10, 2011 at 12:16 PM
karen said...: $bkx sitting on 13ema..; January 10, 2011 at 12:20 PM
karen said...: http://www.aleablog.com/federal-reserve-profits/; January 10, 2011 at 12:24 PM
karen said...: oops.. see GovS..; January 10, 2011 at 12:25 PM
karen said...: http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2011/01/10/the-legal-issues-in-the-goldman-facebook-deal/; January 10, 2011 at 12:27 PM
Jennifer said...: CV -- careful there...my kids are all lobbying me for a puppy...but 1) we have a 3 year old whirling dervish instead, 2) we have a cat, 3) I'm allergic (to the cat too, but that's another story, and 4)I will be the one walking the damn thing at 5 am when its 10 below, so NO!; January 10, 2011 at 12:29 PM
CV said...: @Jenn

when it's 10 below... The dogs walk you... Get with the program :-)

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h46JzGrSD7M; January 10, 2011 at 12:46 PM
A fixed income analyst to be named later said...: Interesting take on regulatory arb and the banks:

http://finance.yahoo.com/banking-budgeting/article/111782/keeping-the-heat-on-banks;_ylt=AmpBpdxBziSpSGa.DfX8DZy7YWsA;_ylu=X3oDMTE1b2FldGwzBHBvcwM4BHNlYwN0b3BTdG9yaWVzBHNsawNmb3JiYW5rc25vZWE-?mod=bb-budgeting&sec=topStories&pos=4&asset=&ccode=; January 10, 2011 at 12:48 PM
Bruce in Tennessee said...: http://www.mercurynews.com/breaking-news/ci_17056188?nclick_check=1

Jerry Brown's dire warnings about state budget to come true

"A critical component to Brown's budget will be his plan to shift significant responsibilities -- and revenue raising authority -- to local governments. Steinberg has been a proponent of so-called realignment, and will shepherd the plan through the Legislature."

...Kicking el can down to the local level, eh? I can see no problems with this..should put a sprightly step into each mayor's morning walk to the office...

The budget to be released today.; January 10, 2011 at 12:50 PM
Anonymous said...: For the bears...

"School"

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rvwzCobcxTw; January 10, 2011 at 1:01 PM
A fixed income analyst to be named later said...: More weakness expected in TLT this week going into the auctions. Expect to see this spill over into MBB and MUB. Buying opportunities ahead in those areas and in equities that trade MBS and CMBS, such as CIM and NLY. One pattern that repeats reliably is a sell-off of equities on long bond auction days until the yield reaches attractive levels (typically these days are W, Th). So we have this week targeted for some JBTFD.; January 10, 2011 at 1:04 PM
Matthew said...: I think that Wednesday and Thursday are going to be animal house days in fixed income.

What happens when you get a 30-year auction following a hot PPI report due to latent oil effects? You get a tail on the issue unless the primary dealers get the leaked report and front run.; January 10, 2011 at 1:09 PM
karen said...: http://chart.ly/dq34whg

Dean Foods: What does David Tepper see in this underperformer?; January 10, 2011 at 1:09 PM
A fixed income analyst to be named later said...: Matthew is NOT LB, but they do appear to share brain waves. In fact they share that 1-3 month forecasting approach to the bond markets, and a belief there will be no hyperinflation or hyperdeflation during ZIRP.

The PPI may be "gamed" to control the reaction, but the BEN BERNANK might actually like a really hot one, so they can chase more JOHN E's out of bonds and into junk and stocks, so as to allow the banks to gain REAR ENTRY. I mean, re-entry.

This is FASCINATING. There is clearly anti-bank sentiment growing among local business communities. I am frankly surprised that no bankers have yet been "spray-painted", "egged" or other forms of non-violent public "naming and shaming".

http://www.wiredsonoma.com/profiles/blogs/sonoma-valley-bank-failuresold?xg_source=activity; January 10, 2011 at 1:18 PM
karen said...: http://ibankcoin.com/scott_bleier/2011/01/10/the-horror/; January 10, 2011 at 1:20 PM
Matthew said...: BTW: A fixed income analyst to be named later mentioned some of his divy equities last week and I noted that I own about three of them. There are two more that I figure I should mention in just for disclosure and in case anyone wants to look through:

#1: SO. I bought this one in June last year, so I have some nice cap gains on it, but it pays more than 4.5 percent and I expect the utilities space to be relatively stable in an otherwise choppy market. I don't know if you will see a significant dip in this, but if you do, it might present a good opportunity.

#2: VLCCF. This one is extremely volatile and I sucked out and caught it at the bottom of the May vomit in equities. I think it pays over 7 percent. This one is fun to gamble (read: trade) because of the vol. I wouldn't be the least bit surprised to see it pull back quite a bit to give a good entry for a trade (or hold on a keep the attractive payout).; January 10, 2011 at 1:23 PM
A fixed income analyst to be named later said...: DF has a gap to $15, and gaps get filled.

It is a simple no-frills business - milk, cheese, yoghurt and eggs, and unless the bond market blows up or milk is laced with polonium, it will make some money.; January 10, 2011 at 1:24 PM
Matthew said...: OK, I'm out of here.

CV: Did you post anything about the game tonight? Did I miss it?; January 10, 2011 at 1:26 PM
A fixed income analyst to be named later said...: AZN and LLY are very cheap and offer 5% dividends. Everyone thinks that the big pharma industry is in crisis but it isn't going away.

The big play in equities in 2011 will be the rotation out of overpriced recovery reflation trades, technology and materials/miners into dividend paying dull large cap. Pharma, telecoms, utilities, etc...; January 10, 2011 at 1:28 PM
Anonymous said...: http://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=SO&ty=c&ta=1&p=d

SO looks to be having a problem, price-wise..

AAIP; January 10, 2011 at 1:32 PM
Anonymous said...: http://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=LLY&ty=c&ta=0&p=w

RE: LLY

Is that Chart 'fugly' ?

AAIP; January 10, 2011 at 1:36 PM
Anonymous said...: A balanced view on firearms:

http://www.nytimes.com/2011/01/10/opinion/10collins.html?src=me&ref=general

Seriously, there are too many guns in America.
The British are not coming. Nor are the Russians.
We are all too scared.; January 10, 2011 at 1:38 PM
karen said...: the only gap i see in DF is the one that almost got filled today a few pennies shy.. i lost a tidy sum on an airline once thinking that the gap had to get filled and wanting every last penny, oh well!; January 10, 2011 at 1:38 PM
A fixed income analyst to be named later said...: LLY chart is fugly. We are not rushing in.

We like to put equiteaze on THE RADAR, for those days when it is ALL BEING THROWN OUT OF THE PRAM. Yields of 5-6% with low P/E, are, in general, NOICE.; January 10, 2011 at 1:39 PM
Anonymous said...: We do enjoy filling gaps, and can be very patient.

The big gap was the one that opened from $15 down to $9 or so in May 2010. We expect this stock to go quiet here and just range trade for a while, unless the Tepper effect is radioactive.; January 10, 2011 at 1:42 PM
A fixed income analyst to be named later said...: Hope Matthew is correct about a bond market shit-show this week. Our trade is coming along nicely here as money rolls out of Treasuries again and into higher-yielding assets.; January 10, 2011 at 1:44 PM
Anonymous said...: http://www.mediaite.com/tv/mark-penn-says-obama-needs-similar-event-to-oklahoma-city-to-reconnect-with-voters/

http://www.economicpolicyjournal.com/2011/01/how-obama-will-distort-shootings-by-one.html

http://tpmmuckraker.talkingpointsmemo.com/2011/01/unabomber_lawyer_will_represent_alleged_giffords_shooter_jared_lee_loughner.php?ref=fpa

from:

http://whatreallyhappened.com/; January 10, 2011 at 1:45 PM
A fixed income analyst to be named later said...: Yikes. Brent crude at $95. There is a lot more FLATION in the UK than here, it is going to be an unhappy year once the Tories start cutting the budget in earnest.

Seriously, the way the commodity market looks from Asia and Europe is quite different from here, our larger output gap makes us see slack demand and dollar carry trade whereas they see raging growth and hot money.; January 10, 2011 at 1:52 PM
karen said...: oh, i see that DF gap. it is empty between 14.53 and 12.64; January 10, 2011 at 2:00 PM
Strewth, mate said...: Bye bye, Aussie economic miracle:

http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2011/01/australias-tulip-mania-about-to-crash.html

China tightens, commodity crash, lowered demand for Aussie exports, Aussie stock crash, Aussie housing crash, Aussie banking crisis.

Aussies to enter ZIRP, RBA to begin QE... we can write the script.; January 10, 2011 at 2:02 PM
karen said...: gld still holding below its 50 ema..

gdx trend chart down but might find some support here??; January 10, 2011 at 2:05 PM
karen said...: wonder if after a consolidation period if GS and IBM will retake their breakouts? CAT seems to have hit a solid ceiling.. and oops on MCD.. holding my breath on AA : ); January 10, 2011 at 2:08 PM
Bruce in Tennessee said...: Oh, CV, how hard it is to remain as bastion of political correctedness (No, Leftback, that is bastion..)

http://www.nytimes.com/2011/01/10/business/media/10carr.html?ref=business

A Sacrifice to Appease NPR’s Gods

Ms. Schiller declined to comment to reporters on how Ms. Weiss’s departure came about. Ms. Weiss told The Times: “I resigned, that’s what I did. I’m just going to leave it at that.”

...and...

Make no mistake, NPR created a real problem with Mr. Williams’s firing. On “The O’Reilly Factor” on Nov. 20, Mr. Williams suggested that when he was traveling, seeing people in airports in what he called “Muslim garb” made him nervous. Ms. Weiss decided based on that statement, and a number of others, that NPR needed to terminate its contract with Mr. Williams. She called Ms. Schiller, who was traveling that day, and briefed her on the decision. Ms. Weiss subsequently called Mr. Williams and said his contract was being terminated.

...If I fire you because I don't like what you said and then I get fired myself, can I sue you for genderbiaspoliticalincorrectednessagediscriminationnonpaymentoftaxesbeinguglynotbathingpeeinginmypooltakingmytaxicallingmywifefatnotscoopingafteryourdogpoos...

or anything else?; January 10, 2011 at 2:11 PM
A fixed income analyst to be named later said...: Not playing AA. Playing the Treasury auctions.
It will be interesting to see how the AA charade plays out.; January 10, 2011 at 2:14 PM
CV said...: We're from JPM and we're here to help...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WohJ_YV4ZV0

This is what happens when the people find out the Banana Republic has no bananas...; January 10, 2011 at 2:18 PM
karen said...: two charts to consider: IFN, FXI; January 10, 2011 at 2:30 PM
CV said...: @Matthew

I have not put up anything on tonights BCS National Championship game...

I'm probably not going to do a detailed analysis on the "X"'s and "O"'s...

All that are needed are a few simple tips...

- Auburn Tigers were favored ny 3 points (with the early money supporting Auburn to the tune of 64%

- The line, today, moved down to AUBURN (-1.5)...

- So ask yourself "WHY" Vegas is giving you even more incentive to support Auburn...

Answer: For those in different time zones and are slow to wake up... VEGAS IS SUPPORTING THE OREGON DUCKS (in one of the biggest volume $$ games of the year)...

So do you want to be on the same side as the Blankfeins & Dimons (of sports wagering), or on the John E Public side?

I already know which I'd rather do...; January 10, 2011 at 2:30 PM
karen said...: i have no idea what this means..

http://www.housingwire.com/2011/01/10/fed-to-employ-cusip-aggregation-for-agency-mbs; January 10, 2011 at 2:33 PM
ben22 said...: based on the comments above Nenner changed his dates again.....

Bruce, you must be smiling right?; January 10, 2011 at 2:36 PM
ben22 said...: in skimming the comments it would appear after the weekend posts that roughly 75% of the posts have some reference to the wizard of the Fed in general.; January 10, 2011 at 2:38 PM
ben22 said...: the wizard or the Fed....that is; January 10, 2011 at 2:39 PM
CV said...: @Bruce (2:11)

If anybody TRULY wants to help the prospect of this country, they should...

- Spend the next 18 months (until about late summer 2012 - when the political national conventions convene before the next election) preparing food supplies, and all the basic necessities they'd need to survive for a year or two without their normal pay...

- Then, do something stupid to get fired from their job...

- Immediately file for unemployment benefits and SNAP...

- Take all their money out of banks...

- Vote Obama into office for another term...

- And not spend a single dime after that (except for what was truly necessary)...

That ought to be the most fun filled 4 years of your life you could ever think to spend...

And I'm pretty sure "change" would come as result of that...; January 10, 2011 at 2:39 PM
Bruce in Tennessee said...: Actually Ben, I don't know quite what to make of Nenner. Obviously bright, but the videos I've watched of him trouble me a little.

It is the same in medicine. The guy that makes the best doctor generally doesn't graduate in the top 10 or bottom 10, they are middle of the roaders....the top 10, although brilliant, sometimes are too intransigent based on infallability signals to have the proper empathy with patients..they can be too dismissive...

Nenner..I will continue to read his thoughts...but mix them with my own handy store of salt....; January 10, 2011 at 2:43 PM
AmenRa said...: No "Geddon" trades today. Morning selloff ended with the BTD crowd? AA has been trending up on the weekly 3LB and is now trading above its monthly 3LB reversal price.; January 10, 2011 at 2:46 PM
Bruce in Tennessee said...: CV:

I now work 4 days a week and no ER call.

This is paradise. With a capital P.; January 10, 2011 at 2:48 PM
CV said...: @Amen

Still working within that "triangle" that I put in last Friday's thread...

Hasn't broken out of it yet (and time hasn't expired)...; January 10, 2011 at 2:49 PM
CV said...: @Bruce

This is me letting my tounge hang out the side of my mouth P; January 10, 2011 at 2:50 PM
I-Man said...: Everyone should read the Jeff Cooper piece Karen linked the other day...

Key in on this part:

"It looks to me like there is a large seller around who lifts a leg at support so as not to break the market and when they cancel their sells and that leg is lifted, the market walks back up."

http://www.minyanville.com/businessmarkets/articles/jeffrey-cooper-daily-market-report-us/1/6/2011/id/32020?page=1; January 10, 2011 at 2:50 PM
Bruce in Tennessee said...: (Who is John Galt?)....

Who is Robert Feinblatt? Anyone know him? Is his as "important" as twswb?; January 10, 2011 at 2:51 PM
Bruce in Tennessee said...: "This is me letting my tounge hang out the side of my mouth P"

Be cautious of posts of this nature, CV. Lefty will be posting something "similar" to Karen....; January 10, 2011 at 2:54 PM
Jennifer said...: BinT -- congrats! Having spent some time in the ER recently, I'm envious. It was a fascinating slice of life...car wrecks, several old ladies who fell going to the bathroom in the middle of the night and hit their head, a couple of drunks, and my little dehydrated miserable darling.; January 10, 2011 at 2:54 PM
Bruce in Tennessee said...: "WASHINGTON (AP) -- Federal regulators have charged the co-founder of a New York hedge fund and three other individuals with insider trading, the latest action in what the government has called the biggest insider-trading case in U.S. history.

The Securities and Exchange Commission on Monday announced it filed a civil lawsuit against hedge fund Trivium Capital Management, its co-founder Robert Feinblatt and analyst Jeffrey Yokuty."; January 10, 2011 at 2:55 PM
Jennifer said...: who would think that my UGG Christmas purchases would propel DECK to such heights today?; January 10, 2011 at 2:55 PM
Bruce in Tennessee said...: Jennifer,

You are not nearly as happy for me as I is...no ER in 6 years. Heaven cannot be better than this.; January 10, 2011 at 2:56 PM
ben22 said...: "We need to rethink the need for almost anyone in an urban area to have a firearm. It's not very compelling."

1. Bearing arms isn't a neccesity for many people in the sticks either, we have grocery stores too, some of us know how to fish, but last I checked it is a right to bear arms so if I'm reading this correctly, re-write the constitution....? What exactly would the benefit be? That'd likely only serve to fuel the fringers even more.

2. I would imagine for all the people in NYC (or any urban area) that have been robbed at gunpoint, murdered by a gunmen, raped, etc. that they could offer a fairly compelling reason of why one may wish to own a gun for protection. As if making guns illegal is going to stop criminals from getting them.

If the idea is to let the government control all the guns, all I can say is be careful what you wish for, it's probably not the "change" you were originally thinking of.

I must live in my own universe because to me, if someone sets in motion the end of anothers life with a gun, or with the stroke of a pen....

I see no difference; January 10, 2011 at 2:57 PM
ben22 said...: Bruce,
2:43, interesting, thanks. I don't follow the guy to close, but he interests me, mainly because he's odd and has made some big and good calls, so I'm curious about him, of course I'm curious about nearly everyone.; January 10, 2011 at 3:03 PM
Bruce in Tennessee said...: Ben,

I concur. Sir Arthur Conan Doyle once mused about his writings and felt that although crime in urban areas made one feel uneasy, that in rural areas much crime was hidden from easy sight, and consequently unpunished and perhaps more heinous.

Frankly, although I realize the dangers, I own guns and I have a carry permit here for Tennessee. (Although I never carry a weapon into a public area, this was my wife's idea.) In these times, I wouldn't want the general public to not own weapons, because of the rot in the government. I don't think we'll ever rebel, but I think that the 60's thinking that the government will always have the citizen's best interest at heart are long gone.; January 10, 2011 at 3:05 PM
Anonymous said...: The problem with urban guns is they tend to go off in situations that are not the intended (self-defense against vicious career criminal) scenario. Just an observation that is hard to dispute. Guns hurt people.

Many American peeps have low IQ and are a bit "clumsy", "forgetful", "distracted", "get wasted and play Russian roulette" or "like, are totally a Stoner". They really shouldn't be driving cars, let alone have deadly weapons close to hand.

I don't like armed cops either, but one begets the other.; January 10, 2011 at 3:06 PM
Bruce in Tennessee said...: Early close, salt mine snow day.

Wheeeeeeeeeeee!; January 10, 2011 at 3:07 PM
ben22 said...: Dan's board full of dip buying confidence and a lot of "seers" of tops a few months out

prepare accordingly, I don't know a group that isn't more consistently wrong.

somebody has been making waves in the options pits the last week or so, some very complex trades coming in with big bearish implications

expy's in Feb and some in March.; January 10, 2011 at 3:10 PM
karen said...: AR, take a look at the $wlsh candle..

not as giddy as $tran.. (what's up with that one?!); January 10, 2011 at 3:15 PM
karen said...: no panic selling: http://www.stocktiming.com/Monday-DailyMarketUpdate.htm; January 10, 2011 at 3:18 PM
karen said...: at least i can look at AIG and not cover my eyes today..down 5.45%; January 10, 2011 at 3:21 PM
A fixed income analyst to be named later said...: Interesting discussion at Macro Man today about EVERYONE having expected a Jan correction so what about a MELT UP? Of course that would simply hasten the fall... in my post there I tried to focus on the things we can see: Treasuries, China/Aussie slowdown/crash, rather than US equities, where mainly I see rotation out of (miners, materials, industrials) to (telecoms, utilities, pharma). Growth to divvys. IWM and QQQQ to SPY and DIA, to put it another way.; January 10, 2011 at 3:21 PM
ben22 said...: Karen,

I'd like to point something out

when there are more new lows than highs it's referred to as panic selling

when there are more new highs than lows it's referred to as bullish

now, btfd; January 10, 2011 at 3:27 PM
Anonymous said...: Bangladesh has serious food inflation, and risks food riots, so they hiked interest rates and now they have INVESTOR RIOTS. Expect to see this translated to India and China before too long....

http://www.zerohedge.com/article/bangladesh-stock-market-plunges-again-local-investors-riot-second-time-month; January 10, 2011 at 3:27 PM
Anonymous said...: After the commodity bubble bursts, US equities will be a great buy, as we will be looking at a stronger dollar, low inflation and a non-deflating economy. But you can't hold SPY here b/c the miners, materials and drillers are all going to drag the index down.; January 10, 2011 at 3:30 PM
ben22 said...: read:

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-01-10/wall-street-dumps-most-treasuries-since-2004-as-dealers-betting-on-growth.html; January 10, 2011 at 3:32 PM
Anonymous said...: 10s30s is 118 bps. That is amazingly steep.
Watch the 10y get whacked tomorrow and/or Wednesday.; January 10, 2011 at 3:32 PM
Anonymous said...: Wall Street dumps most disinformation on bonds since 2009 as dealers drive down prices before retreating to the safety of US govies.; January 10, 2011 at 3:34 PM
Anonymous said...: is there a 'Sector' that is 'out of favor'?

this 'Market' looks richly value, to me, at present..

Oz going 'tits up' is, again, to me, a given..

this:
http://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=T&ty=c&ta=0&p=w

holding ~28 would be a +

looks good @ 26?

AAIP; January 10, 2011 at 3:35 PM
Andy T said...: Not that it matters much, but I don't mind strict gun laws. I don't mind "waiting" periods/thorough background checks/etc, and I don't mind certain weaponry being off limits altogether.

That's my bleeding heart liberal coming out...; January 10, 2011 at 3:40 PM
Anonymous said...: karen,

re: "...The central bank said aggregated CUSIPs are consolidated into larger pass-through securities, which is commonly used by investors but not on the scale the Fed is set to undertake.

The change will lower the number of individual CUSIPs held by the Fed in its system open market account and subsequently reduce costs and "operational challenges associated with managing the MBS portfolio."

The Fed holds nearly $1 trillion of MBS with more than 44,000 individual agency MBS CUSIPs. This aggregation process is expected to cut that number to less than 10,000, according to the central bank..."

allows the FedRes to ball-up that G*rbage into a bigger wad of S*** to facilitate 'Trading'..

AAIP; January 10, 2011 at 3:40 PM
AmenRa said...: They want to aggregate CUSIPs so ZH can't call them out for buying back the most recent auction...; January 10, 2011 at 3:46 PM
karen said...: Breaking News
Judge sentences ex-House Majority Leader Tom DeLay to 3 years in prison in money laundering scheme - AP; January 10, 2011 at 3:47 PM
A fixed income analyst to be named later said...: Aggregating CUSIPs is kind of like "bundling" MBS or "securitizing" them into "tranches", to "aid transparency"....

OK, ROR.... what Mark said....; January 10, 2011 at 3:59 PM
Anonymous said...: That sentence was "DELAYED".

ROR. I kill me....; January 10, 2011 at 3:59 PM
Anonymous said...: No Bond Report today, it was like watching paint dry.
See you all tomorrow...; January 10, 2011 at 4:04 PM
karen said...: BergenCapital Mike Bergen
$AA ALCOA SEES GLOBAL ALUMINIUM DEMAND DOUBLING BY 2020; January 10, 2011 at 4:06 PM
CV said...: Gotta go peeps...

For the record... CV is taking Oregon Ducks (+1.5) last time I checked, we'll see if it changes before game time... (5 units)...

Dialing it up here...

I'm taking the +7 units I had over the weekend...

+1 Seahawks
+2 Jets
+3 Ravens
+1 Packers

Sticking 2 units in my pocket and playing with the houses money on the other 5...

Good luck to me :-); January 10, 2011 at 4:06 PM
ben22 said...: "The change will lower the number of individual CUSIPs held by the Fed in its system open market account and subsequently reduce costs and "operational challenges associated with managing the MBS portfolio."

um, ok.

I see this much like pooling subprime, this way when some of the paper goes bad it'll only be a small select few that are willing to read and discover where it's going bad which will likely require thousands of pages for each tranche of aggregated CUSIPS to figure out what is going on, and then also they can keep a higher credit quality rating on the pools of CUSIPS while virtually nobody catches on to the fact that a AAA tranche might be 1/3 dog shit.; January 10, 2011 at 4:07 PM
karen said...: ben, at 4:07.. that is more or less what i was thinking.. diluting the toxicity..; January 10, 2011 at 4:10 PM
ben22 said...: I'd love to see some data on what background checks and extended wait periods before gun ownership have done to reduce gun crime.

people change, that seems to be one constant.; January 10, 2011 at 4:11 PM
ben22 said...: and if you can't find the individual CUSIPS then it'll be that much harder to perform any analysis on single issues

a lot of the early subprime shorts didn't even really know what they were betting against, more or less they just had a larger vision, but they couldn't see all the details either.; January 10, 2011 at 4:12 PM

«Oldest ‹Older 1 – 200 of 211 Newer› Newest»

Disclosure/Warning

This blog should not be interpreted as investment advice of any kind. The authors are NOT representing themselves CTAs or CFAs or Investment/Trading Advisor of any kind. The authors may or may not trade in the markets discussed. The authors may hold positions opposite of what may by inferred by this blog.The information contained in this blog is taken from sources the authors believes to be reliable, but it is not guaranteed by the authors as to the accuracy or completeness thereof and is presented here for information purposes only. Commodity trading involves risk and is not for everyone.

TRADERS ANONYMOUS

STFU Everyone! - I'm trying to watch a football game for God's sake!

211 comments:

Post a Comment

Disclosure/Warning

Fictional Character Quote of the Day:

About this Blog

Blog Archive

Search This Blog

AT's Wave Symbology