CV's PICKS - 2010 YTD Totals (all "ATS" [against the spread - wager totals include the vig lost])
2010 NCAA Picks (aggregate): 65-43-4
2010 NCAA (unit picks differential): +3
NCAA 2010 Wager Total: (+$35)* (cv wins the "kissing your sister" trophy)
CV's NCAA 2010 Bowl Season (Picks) - Results:
New Mexico Bowl (UTEP) - Correct
Humanitarian Bowl (N. Illinois) - Correct
New Orleans Bowl (Troy) - Correct
St. Petersburg Bowl (Louisville) - Push
Las Vegas Bowl (Boise State) - Correct
Pointsettia Bowl (SDSU) - Correct
Hawaii Bowl (Hawaii) -
Total (incl. vig): (+$500)
New Mexico Bowl (UTEP) - Correct
Humanitarian Bowl (N. Illinois) - Correct
New Orleans Bowl (Troy) - Correct
St. Petersburg Bowl (Louisville) - Push
Las Vegas Bowl (Boise State) - Correct
Pointsettia Bowl (SDSU) - Correct
Hawaii Bowl (Hawaii) -
Total (incl. vig): (+$500)
---
2010 NFL Picks (aggregate): 112-87-5
2010 NFL (unit picks differential): +32
NFL 2010 Wager Total: (+3,280)
This week in da bowls...
Last week was essentially the end of the regular season for NCAA (with the exception of the lower division schools - which, while entertaining, you'd have to be in full degenerate retard mode to lay $$ on)...
In this moment, the student athletes are busy
Saturday, December 18
New Mexico Bowl
should be known as "New Mexico Bowl"
UTEP Miners vs. BYU Cougars (2:00 EST)
Line: BYU by 13.5
CV has to go with the "Cougars" here... it's hard to turn down a nice "Cougar"... Besides, I was watching TV last night and there's a new show (modeled after AXE Men, called "Alaska Gold" - where a bunch of hacks rent some equipment and try to mine some gold out of the earth up in the Klondike's... Sounds a bit like ringing the bell at the top to me... BYU is going with a freshman QB here, but I'm going with that COUGAR EXPERIENCE (in these situations), if you know what I mean... COUGARS for (1 unit)... Correct
uDrove Humanitarian Bowl
should be known as "anything but "Duel Bowl""
N. Illinois Huskies vs. Fresno St. Bulldogs (5:30 EST)
Line: N. Illinois by 1.5
Remember that movie "Duel" (by Steven Spielberg)?... It was like, his senior project at USC film school... Great movie!... Dennis Weaver (aka "McCloud") gets chased all over the California high desert by a crazed truck driver in a smoky diesel truck...
Well - this game ought to be nothing like that because it has "Humanitarian" in the name... I'll go with NORTHERN ILLINOIS here over Fresno State simply out of geographical association (because in the end, the truck in "Duel" end up going off a cliff in a massive fireball, somewhere outside of Fresno)... Sorry I spoiled the ending... (1 unit)... Correct
Well - this game ought to be nothing like that because it has "Humanitarian" in the name... I'll go with NORTHERN ILLINOIS here over Fresno State simply out of geographical association (because in the end, the truck in "Duel" end up going off a cliff in a massive fireball, somewhere outside of Fresno)... Sorry I spoiled the ending... (1 unit)... Correct
R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
aka "stand in line to get a job as a trucker bowl"
Ohio Bobcats vs. Troy State Trojans (9:00 EST)
Line: Troy St. by 2
Ummm... Let's see... We have some "pussies" here, and some member protecting prophylactics... Gotta take the prophylactics simply on a "who's giving it to who" basis here... TROY for (1 unit)... Correct
(refer back to this post for "pre-game" picks as the games come online next week)
Tuesday, December 21
Beef O'Brady's Bowl St. Petersburg Bowl
aka "The anti Chick Fil-a-Bowl (and shouldn't this be held in St. Patrick? or Limerick?)"
Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Louisville Cardinals (8:00 EST)
Line: Louisville by 3
CV took Louisville CARDS for (1 unit)... Push
Wednesday, December 22 (8:00 EST)
MAACO Bowl Las Vegas
aka The "Earl Schieb - I'll paint any car any color for $99 Bowl" (which gets to pretend it's the Fiesta Bowl) - Boise State rewarded them here by making an appearance, so MAACO agreed to paint their field blue for free
Utah Utes vs. Boise St. Broncos
Line: Boise State by 16.5
CV likes... BOISE STATE for (1 unit)...
Current Action: 73% Boise State/27% Utah
Thursday, December 23
San Diego County Credit Union Poinsettia Bowl
aka the "I thought you weren't supposed to use "county" & "credit" in the same sentence Bowl"
Navy Midshipmen vs. San Diego St. Aztecs (8:00 EST)
Line: SDSU by 3
CV takes SDSU for (1 unit)
Friday, December 24
Sheraton Hawaii Bowl
aka "The named after a Japanese hotel chain called "SHELTON" Bowl"
Hawaii Warriors vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanes (8:00 EST)
Line: Hawaii by 10
I hate that this line has moved down from 13 (public money being on Hawaii)... But I'll stick with the Hawaii pick for (1 unit)...
WEEK 15 NFL PICKS
Full game write-ups & fantasy football notes will be posted throughout the day and before Sunday kickoff
THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
San Francisco 49ers at San Diego Chargers
Line: Chargers by 9.5
CV took CHARGERS for (0 units) - ($0) - Correct
SUNDAY EARLY GAMES
Kansas City Chiefs at St. Louis Rams (1:00 EST)
Line: Rams by 1
Ladies & gents... I apologize for not being able to do 'fuller' write-ups this weekend... I usually take the time on Sunday mornings to compile this, but something came up... Hopefully, I'll be back online by the 4PM games and can fill that out some... I'm mostly just going to give you my selection & unit picks here... RAMS for (1 unit)...
Houston Texans at Tennessee Flaming Thumbtacks (1:00 EST)
Line: Thumbtacks by 1.5
TEXANS for (1 unit)
Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts (1:00 EST)
Line: Colts by 5
JAGS for 1 unit
Arizona Cardinals at Carolina Panthers (1:00 EST)
Line: Panthers by 2.5
CARDINALS for 2 units
Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals (1:00 EST)
Line: Bengals by 1
BROWNS for 4 units
Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins (1:00 EST)
Line: Dolphins by 5.5
BILLS for 1 unit
Philadelphia Dog Killers at New York Football Giants (1:00 EST)
Line: Giants by 3
DOG KILLERS for 1 unit
Washington Redskins at Dallas Cowboys (1:00 EST)
Line: Cowboys by 7
REDSKINS for 2 units
Detroit Lions at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1:00 EST)
Line: Bucs by 5.5
LIONS for 1 unit
New Orleans Saints at Baltimore Ravens (1:00 EST)
Line: Ravens by 1.5
RAVENS for 1 unit
LATE GAMES
Atlanta Falcons at Seattle Seahawks (4:05 EST)
Line: Falcons by 6
CV is leaning towards ZERO unit play on SEAHAWKS
J-E-T-S Jets, Jets, Jets at Pittsburgh Steelers (4:15 EST)
Line: Steelers by 5.5
CV is leaning towards high unit play on JETS
Denver Broncos at Oakland Raiders (4:15 EST)
Line: Raiders by 7
CV is leaning towards low unit play on BRONCOS
SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
Green Bay Packers at New England Patriots (8:25 EST)
Line: Patriots by 14
CV is leaning towards medium unit play on PACKERS
MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings (8:35 EST)
Line: Bears by 2.5
CV is leaning towards low unit play on BEARS
20 comments:
rex grossman playing over McNabb this week
nice.....
sexy rexy bitchez! :-)
Nice picks this year in College Football, nonetheless. That's a 60+% against the spread. Good stuff
My picks are all home teams, I'll probably be 12-3 or better
My picks are those teams expected to win.
www.modeloonline.net
>> rex grossman playing over McNabb this week
I don't understand that decision at all.
Then again, I haven't bothered to listen to the coach's reasoning...
I've been getting a lot of comments about games and 'picks' lately (not necessarily in this forum - but out and around)...
Since I've got a little NFL bankroll to work with here (see top of page), I think I'm going to 'spend' a little to quiet a myth...
That is... IT"S NEVER EASY to win in the NFL (and it's even harder to consistently come out on the correct side of point spreads)...
This weekends games give the perfect opportunity to take advantage of CERTAIN ideas... (because it features a lot of home favorites...
So I'm going to do a 'half unit' flyer ($50) on simply the MONEY LINE on a select batch of home favorites... The MONEY LINE is where the team has to simply win outright (no covering point spreads)... In single games, you're 'laying odds' against this, but you can PARLAY results together to form a positive odds payout (assuming all the parlay results come in)...
OK... so here's my BLIND criteria...
- Has to be HOME TEAM
- Has to be favored by AT LEAST 3 (because less than 3 points means you're a 'false favorite' because the line normally moves 3 points to the home team)
Here's the parlay (for .5 units)
RAMS (-3) + COLTS (-5) + DOLPHINS (-5) + GIANTS (-3) + BUCS (-4.5) + COWBOYS (-7) + STEELERS (-4.5) + RAIDERS (-7.5) + PATRIOTS (-14)...
I just put the pointspreads up so as to show they meet the criteria (all are HOME TEAMS)...
So... CV is 'blowing' $50 on the notion that all those teams will simply WIN... (I'll look up and compute the expected payout a little later - as I said - I'm busy this morning...
Now... What I'm going to do is "modify" that criteria a little (I'll toss out the games that don't look good to me - and keep the ones I like the best)... I'll but .5 units on this...
COLTS + COWBOYS + RAMS
Huh? you say... OK... you can understand tossing out the Giants, but tossing out the Steelers, Pats, Raiders, Bucs, & Dolphins? Why?
Steelers - O-Line is still in shambles, Troy Polamalu, likely out... Big Ben still playing with broken nose & foot
Pats - going against Matt Flynn ought to be easy right? A lock!... Well, this same team lost to the Colt McCoy led Cleveland Browns... Is Green Bay better than Cleveland?
Raiders - beat the Broncos by 59 points earlier this year... Plus, Tim tebow will be starting... Answer: Tim Tebow will be starting... CV doesn't like 'wildcard' scenarios... Whether you like Tebow or not, he was a winner in college... Colt McCoy (also a winner in college), went into New Orleans and clobbered the Saints - then he added the Patriots to his resume... You just never know...
Bucs? - people don't realize how banged up the Tampa Bay defense is right now... Rasheem Morris has never covered a 3 point or higher (as favorite pointspread in his career)... So even if the Bucs don't have to cover a spread here, what's the difference in covering 3 points or winning the game... It could come down to a final drive (which gives either team an equal chance of winning)... Just saying
Dolphins - same as Bucs... Tony Sparano is 0-7 laying 4 points or more at home...
My point is... When you start talking about SURE THINGS, you'd better understand the definition of SURE...
FRANKLY - I ould come up with reasons to toss out the Rams - Colts - & Cowboys too... (but I needed 3 teams to make the parlay)
Now what CV is going to do is change things up a little... (I'll move some juice to MY SIDE) and do a similar MONEY LINE parlay - but get some unpopular teams in there - UPSET SPECIALS if you will)...
For .5 units... I'll take
RAMS + TEXANS + CARDINALS + BROWNS + RAVENS + FALCONS + JETS + BEARS
And as an 'exotic'... I'll take a 3 team teaser (1 unit each)...
RAVENS (+12.5) + EAGLES (+13) + PACKERS (+24)
TEXANS (+11.5) + EAGLES (+13) + RAVENS (+12.5)
FALCONS (+4) + JETS (+14.5) + PACKERS (+24)
FALCONS (+4) + JETS (+4) + BEARS (+2.5)
The idea with the above, is to create the scenarios you like, but NOT expose yourself too many times to one team (my MAX was two in that scenario)...
The other idea would be a total WHEEL... But that would be only be reserved when one or two of the teams you liked, you REALLY liked (because a WHEEL would essentially be a 5+ unit bet, which would be in "pick of the month" territory)...
Even on the weekend, we might like a fairy tale:
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-12-17/imf-approves-3-3-billion-for-greece-amid-impressive-fiscal-adjustment.html
IMF Approves $3.3 Billion for Greece Amid `Impressive' Fiscal Adjustment
"The International Monetary Fund said Greece’s rescue program has “continued to perform well” and it approved payment of another 2.5 billion euros ($3.3 billion), according to a statement released in Washington today.
....However, here is the BIG BUT:
"Greece’s economy has been struggling under the crisis, the fund said. Economic indicators point toward “continued” contraction, the IMF said in a staff report accompanying today’s announcement.
“The GDP contraction has been slightly deeper than initially expected,” the IMF said. “Bond spreads remain high owing to another round of Greek fiscal data revisions and financial turmoil in the Euro area periphery.”
The Greek economy is now expected to shrink 4.25 percent in 2010 and 3 percent in 2011, compared with previous forecasts of 4 percent and 2.5 percent respectively, the fund said.
“Short-term risks to the outlook remain skewed to the downside, but there is upside potential in the medium-term,” the IMF said. “The macroeconomic outlook has weakened slightly.”
...Too much money for fuel...it costs to build Molotov cocktails....
I'm looking for the Raiders to POUND denver today
tebow can paint
Oakland 34:13 under his eyes
totally unbiased viewpoint of course
cv-
better call Grandma...
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-12-18/kroger-recalls-cat-dog-food-in-19-states-due-to-toxin-risk.html
AAIP
WELL, I'm glad I buy my catfood at the 99c only store!
eagles!!!!!!!!!!!!
Philly @ NYJ
UnFuckingbelievable!
oops, giants, I fainted!
Tough day... (not PICK wise)... just 2 get to the computer...
Gotta make the afternoon solid...
SEAHAWKS pick (in thread)... (0 units)
JETS pick... = 4 units
BRONCOS pick... = (0 units)
Be back for GB-NE...
CV
eagles ufb!
Cv hasn't even begun to tally the various results...
b back later...
Wow, this post is nice, my younger sister is analyzing these
things, therefore I am going to convey her.
Have a look at my web site :: www.pacareerlink.state.pa.us
I know this site provides quality depending content and
extra data, is there any other website which presents these kinds
of things in quality?
Feel free to surf my webpage ; the truth teller show
Post a Comment