AmenRa's Corner

A place where a skillful caddy always offers cool contemplation when it comes to your "stick" selection.




Creditcane™: Got jumped by Wall Street in a dark alley.


SPX
Bullish long day (confirmed bearish thrusting). Midpoint above EMA(10). Still above all SMA's. Holding above trend line (3/6/09-7/1/10). Held the 38.2% minor retrace (1314.25). No daily 3LB changes (reversal is 1353.22). QE2infinity.



DXY
Bearish long day. Midpoint below EMA(10). Tested and failed the 38.2% minor retrace (74.40). Now below all SMA's. Tested and failed its weekly 3LB mid. New low on daily 3LB (reversal is 75.99).



VIX
Bearish long day. Midpoint below EMA(10). Now below all SMA's. Failing its 38.2% retrace (20.28). Failed its 50.0% minor retrace (18.03). No daily 3LB changes (reversal is 21.32). Captured and returned to the "no fear" zone.



GOLD
Dark cloud cover day. Midpoint above EMA(10). Tested and failed its 0.0% retrace (1594.90). Still above all SMA's. No daily 3LB (reversal is 1585.50). Holding above upper trend line. Must have the precious.



EURCHF
Bullish long day. Midpoint below EMA(10). Holding its 0.0% retrace (1.1467). Tested and failed its 38.2% minor retrace (1.1726). Failing all SMA's. New high on daily 3LB (reversal is 1.1477).



JNK
Bullish long day. Midpoint above EMA(10). Now above all SMA's. Holding its 61.8% retrace (40.20). Held trend line (2/5/10-2/12/10). Daily 3LB reversal up (reversal is 39.86).



10YR YIELD
Bullish long day (confirmed bullish harami). Tested and held SMA(21). Midpoint above EMA(10). Held its 50.0% minor retrace (29.87). Still below the upper trend line. No daily 3LB changes (reversal is 31.97).



WTI
spinning top day. Tested and held SMA(55). Midpoint above EMA(10). Tested and held its 38.2% minor retrace (97.98). New high on dally 3LB (reversal is 95.78).



SILVER
Bearish long day. Still above all SMA's. Midpoint above EMA(10). Still above the upper trend line. Failing its 38.2% retrace (40.69). No daily 3LB changes(reversal is 38.15).



BKX
Bullish long day. Midpoint above EMA(10). Tested and held SMA(21). Held its 38.2% minor retrace (47.20). No daily 3LB changes (reversal is 48.32). Now trading above its weekly 3LB reversal price.



HYG/LQD
Bullish long day. Tested and held SMA(55) & SMA(233). Midpoint above EMA(10). Tested and failed its 50.0% retrace (0.8259). No daily 3LB changes (reversal is 0.8332).



EEM
Bullish long day. Midpoint above EMA(10). Tested and held SMA(55), SMA(89) & SMA(144). Tested and held its 50.0% retrace (47.33). No daily 3LB changes (reversal is 48.48).




IT HAS BEGUN. BE WARNED.

14 comments:

Andy T said...

Where's AT going this weekend?

Well, I get to fly to Reno, NV with the family. Our mother's both live in small community south of there....so, my family will be staying the next week while I just gamble with my mom this weekend.

So, once again, won't be able to give a Weekend update.

Though, to be honest, I don't see a ton of changes to anything I've been charting the past few weeks. Though, there might be some interesting short term trades on the S&P500. Will try to get a S&P out this evening.

cv said...

@Andy

Enjoy your trip... & be glad that you can do something to YOUR liking on your days off...

If you were a player for the world champion San Francisco Giants, you might be pretty miffed about the clowns they make you pose for foto-ops with on your days off...

Giants Complaining About White House Trip

http://www.thepostgame.com/blog/dish/201107/san-francisco-giants-not-all-excited-meet-president-obama

---

Then again, you'd have a kick ass world series bling ring - so you'd have that going for you...

Matthew said...

"Congratulations on winning the world series against the Atlanta Braves... Who fucked with my teleprompter again?"

cv said...

@Matt

Maybe Tim Lincecum could give him a few tips...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EJBlwUfIoDk

Then again (say what you will about politics, or whatever)... Some others don't have problems facing PRESSURE)...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nZnVL-ji0tg

ben22 said...

Gambling with the Mom AT....nice, have fun/safe trip.

It's already been said but I still think your expanding T is G-$$$

I exited SPY calls today, +40%, 10 day trade not the greatest entry, still hold Q calls, XRT calls, the PEP calls from today and a handful of names in healthcare space as well as some common stocks, also have some small short positions on. We'll see.

Retail appears super bullish right now....guess right at the moment I'm with John E....wonder if I'll get an invite to the BBQ.

ben22 said...

"We should pass the debt ceiling proposal to find out whats in it"

Did I do that right?

ben22 said...

Remember this chart?

http://bbs.cobrasmarketview.com/download/file.php?id=4938&mode=view

cv said...

"We should pass the debt ceiling proposal to find out whats in it"

---

don't be hasty...

when we get to 2013 & beyond (you know - the next time or three that we hit the debt ceiling)... then, that'll start sounding appropriate...

Meanwhile - I keep finding myself feeling SORRY for "Mr. Rogers/Howdy doody" (Prechter)... & how his 'grand-supercycle' counts keep having to be postponed on account of the WEATHER (of central banking cartels - who - as we all know - have nothing to do with anything)...

ben22 said...

CV,

rather than bullshit blaming the Fed for Prechter's poor counts how about we just say his analysis has been wrong. It's not like he didn't provide a million and one other reasons for his calls that could be pointed out now as having been incorrect, none of which had anything to do with the Fed.

Andy T said...

Wonder why it's so difficult for prognosticators/big time bloggers/technicians to just admit when they're wrong....or they just 'got it wrong.'

Must not be in the DNA of some....

Matthew said...

Tomorrow feels like one of those classic indecision days. People earned some nice returns on the long side and I expect the smarter ones to lock -some- of those profits away. I don't care who you are, you can't feel a ton of conviction going into this weekend (long or short). Just wait to see what happens early next week before you take your next punt.

This year is shaping up to be a perfect year 3 in the election cycle (see Jeremy Grantham's notes on this phenomenon).

Andy T said...

@10.47.

Agree with that Matthew...feels like choppy consolidation tomorrow....

Maybe a down day on Monday....then resume the march towards 1385-1400.

AmenRa said...

Since the SPX broke above its weekly 3LB mid on Tuesday (with authority) I figured the bears would hibernate and wait for another shot.

cv said...

rather than bullshit blaming the Fed for Prechter's poor counts how about we just say his analysis has been wrong

OK... I'll be your little bitch then & play that game (in the opposite direction)...

---

Ritholtz has been CORRECT, all along...

This is, IN FACT a 'typical recovery" (due to the fact that the Fed & ECB not having to do with anything)...

Boy - I feel so much better now that my thesis is grounded in reality...

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