Out to Lunch 4.9.10 - Lather, Rinse, Repeat, Repeat

There's no getting around me saying this right now, so I'm just going to say it and get it over with (then, hopefully never talk about it again)... The futures are pointing, um, "North"... Of course that idea helps some and hurts others (depending on how you're positioned, I suppose)... CV keeps waking up and try to find SOMETHING, ANYTHING, that would shock equity markets back to their senses, but we seem to be stuck in an endless cycle of "Lather, Rinse, Repeat" (and frankly, there ain't much RINSING going on - as the case may be).
Here we are on ANOTHER Friday. This weeks "rinsing" came at the hand of MOMO Mondays, followed by some lukewarm bill & bond auctions, all under the cloud of Greek bailouts, and central bank chairmen flapping their gums. Yet here we are poised to end the week with the 6th straight WEEKLY green candle (& the 8th out of the last 9)... Such a string of weeks (6 straight) has not been achieved since the first six weeks off the March '09 lows... What makes it difficult for BEARS (if there are any), is that for almost the entire year they've been conditioned to see "short covering" on Fridays in anticipation of "Melt-Up Monday"... I'm DEFINITELY not making the case that it will happen again here, but there are Pavlov's, & there are dogs...
If you happen to be the latter, chances are that one day you envision yourself having this conversation with your friends, but today may not be that day.
Creepy that Pavlov bears a striking resemblance to Bernanke!
If you've been reading the comment section of this blog the past week, you might recall various "psychological" and/or "technical" numbers being tossed out... DOW 11,000, SPX 1200; plus some more technically oriented numbers like the 1220 range on the S&P... Keep in mind that even the HIGHER numbers are only around 3% away from where we are right now... Markets can move 3% INTRADAY on euphoria... They can also sell off to the same degrees on panic... It seems the RomAmericans like their Gladiator Games to be more spectacular as time progresses, so it appears that TPTB seem content to drive us headlong into what will end up being an increasingly more spectacular crash... Have fun while it lasts!... And you know what I say? Don't even bother to stow your tray table in the upright position for landing... Live life on the edge!... Do you really think stowing your tray table is all that important as the "wizard" engineers his SOFT LANDING?
Or, if all this bothers you? Just go check out to see what Tiger is doing.
Look! Tiger is in contention! Let the cussing & club throwing begin!

240 comments:

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McFearless said...

lol, this is too much. Ambac, gem that it is, up over 70% today. To infinity!!!

All have a great weekend, I can't stop laughing.

AmenRa said...

Karen

GS couldn't hold 180

karen said...

Hope you all don't mind if I leave in a HUFF again, today.. check back later, tho!

AmenRa said...

damn another 200 posts and blogger goes apeshit

mcHAPPY said...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pEzuC5UoM8g

Personally, I am upset with myself for missing this rally. So many expensive lessons but better to learn them during P2 than P4. Until then, I'll keep singing my song above. Have a great weekend folks.

Leftback said...

Lee Westwood birdied #11.

Mannwich said...

DOW 11K already the headline at the NYTIMES site. This will be discussed all weekend.

Up, up and awwaaaaaaaaaay, my beautifuull bA-lloooonnnnnnn!!!

AmenRa said...

test

CV said...

Jeez I put up TWO comment threads to avoid the "200" jinx & still went overboard...

I'm VOTING MYSELF OFF THE ISLAND!

karen said...

AR, I noted that about GS, of course.. but there is always next week.
Ben, you saw my earlier Ambac post, I take it.. there are so many UFBs out there now that I can't keep track of them all.

CV said...

@Amen

Can you do me a favor?

I should have sent you this by E-MAIL (but why not ask you here if you don't mind)...

If you're able to get your DAILY CANDLE WRAP written in time, could you change the "launch" time to 5:00PM EST?

Much obliged, if possible my friend :-)

CV

McFearless said...

For Manny:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5QYIlgRg9TY

karen said...

before you all quit for the day, look at the C candle.. is that a Lost episode or what?!

DL said...

Lotta comments today.

And every one deep, deep, deep.

McFearless said...

karen,

No I must have missed it, I pulled up the top gainers tab real quick and saw it I nearly fell off my chair. WTF? This is all so surreal.

CV said...

@karen

Huff or no huff... Put on the red dress and I'm sure you'll feel a whole helluva lot better :-)

karen said...

CV, if you give AR a raise, he might oblige!!

CV said...

@karen@McF

I was watching the "C" chart towards the end of the day...

I was thinking... "Now that chart wedge looks like the exact opposite of the FXP wedge"...

Seems to me, though, that they could play the Citi wedge out another day or two if they wanted...

CV said...

@karen@Amen

OK then... AMEN RA... I hereby DOUBLE your salary...

Hell, I'm feeling generous... "I'll TRIPLE IT"...

You know... WTF... "Amen, you just write in the integer of your choice, I'll multiply that number by your current salary"...

CV is is a PHILANTHROPIST EXTRAORDINAIRE!

karen said...

CV, the yellow dress I do have on is coming off for the beach! I may put the red on for Monday's open, however.. would be most becoming with slit wrists... laughing. (now please don't report that!)

Leftback said...

"Lotta comments today.
And every one deep, deep, deep."

LOL.... Quality humour there.

I just read Barry's posts today and the comments. Quite a lot of Bear taunting. It must be hard for those who were short at the LB Lows and refused to change their philosophy. It's bad enough for those of us who called the rally but then bailed on it too early. Of course a lot of the taunters are Permabulls who are back to being 25% underwater or so...

It's really getting very hubristic over there. Not that Barry hasn't been correct but the people who are following him now (COGNOS et al.) are not thinking about The Big Picture any more, it's just stocks stocks stocks, market going up forever.

Thinking about the QE, ZIRP and the FX, bond and commodity markets has helped to anchor my mind through this.

If you are Bernanke then you needed to launch a rally that was LARGE enough and lasts LONG enough to make people feel like it was a new BULL MARKET and to make BEARS question their sanity. But really, unwind the Fed's balance sheet, stop the QE, and where are we?

Another week of being a Giant Insect.

McFearless said...

LB,

yeah, very good post at 4:32. I'm upset with myself I didn't stay long, longer.

My confidence and ego took a hit in January/Feb but I'm not giving up on the overall thesis, everyone gets humbled by the market at one point or another.

Oh well, that's how you learn....

My wife just told me I can't hang out at the site though if karen's dresses are flying off.

CV said...

@karen

Hon... (a "Bal-Mer", MD expression)... You won't be going down alone...

If we're GOING DOWN? We're all GOING DOWN TOGETHER!

Hell, we have ahab... A good Navy man won't "give up the ship" (and my aunt's brother, not MY uncle, but, I suppose my "uncle in law" was the Secretary of the Navy dammit!)...

Leftback said...

LB is staying at the site all night if Karen's dresses are flying off.

I posted at TBP. More or less the same thing as here.

CV said...

@McF

Tell your wife to "get with the program" :-)

I'll give her Elin's phone number...

Nic said...

Well that wasn't the close we wanted, I walked dogs, couldn't watch.
Details of possible Greek bailout being leaked don't sound good:
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSBRM00215320100409
"an amount to shock the market so the speculators get burned and Greece doesn't use it" haha I would not bet on the Greece not using it bit, Greece is no Hungary.

Gold looks to close above the 61.8fib of the drop from 1225 so we could break this neckline and go higher.

Time for the weekend and more sleep.

karen said...

BR's post today reminded me C's Prince saying, "As long as the music is playing, you've got to get up and dance." Hubris, anyone? Besides, he is the marketing arm of the group.. what really goes on/went on at Fusion is for subscribers and participants to know.

AmenRa said...

CV

No problem.

SPX weekly 3LB reversal now 1159.90.

CV said...

@LB

Sometimes you're the windshield...

Sometimes you're the bug...

(and sometimes you're Lloyd Blankfein, standing on a corner with a squeegee and a pail of dirty water with a gapped tooth grin on his face)...

CV said...

...got a quarter?

DL said...

McFearless @ 4:38

Is your wife upset about the dresses, or that you didn't "stay long longer"...?

CV said...

@Amen

Thanks AMEN!

Save everyone the misery of any more comments from CV on this thread!

CV said...

@DL

Too personal there...

RED CARD!

Nic said...

Good post LB, I have definitely questioned my sanity a few times or had it handed to me in return for my stoploss.

DL said...

CV @ 4:52

It's O.K.

He's just a guy.

I-Man said...

Leftback, I was just reading those posts I self.

I kinda miss BR, he seems to be more like the old days. I really enjoyed the psychological post, the forbes interview, and of course, the comments.

I admit, its been a long time since I read anything non Think Tank over there.

karen said...

DL, Hilarious!! CV, he gets a Red Star not a Red Card!

CV said...

@karen

Truly spoken from perspective...

From a BRO (that's a RED CARD)... From "the fairer sex" (that's a RED STAR)...

Nice to have diversity! :-)

CV said...

NEW THREAD UP

New launch time for AMEN RA's DAILY CANDLE WRAP... 5:00PM EST

You all BETTER be happy... I had to QUADRUPLE his salary to get the deal done!

McFearless said...

DL,

lol, is there an option C? hahaha.

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