Thursday, July 1, 2010

Morning Audibles 7.1.10

Sorry... I'm a little late this morning...


As expected, the Eurozone LTRO operation is turning into a nightmare... All CV can say is the FLASH CRASH I was predicting last week is turning into more of a controlled demolition...






Hey, aren't STATE budgets in the US due today also? I know, they're probably in the dumpster with the Federal Budget... Do they actually do anything in CONgress? Oh well, I guess the House passed FINREG overnight... Way to go Pelosi (rolls eyes)...





In any case, Mr. Market is basically saying... Keynesian experiment over... (So expect "double secret" QE2 to come along soon)... Boys - Get your PHD's out and ready to wave at us!

How do you think I'm gonna get along without you when you're gone? 
You took me for everything that I had and kicked me out on my own 
Are you happy? Are you satisfied? 
How long can you stand the heat? 
Out of the doorway the bullets rip... to the sound of the beat (Look out) 








306 comments:

  1. greenspan did say one thing that was interesting today:

    "thought is that the economy drives the stock market, I think it is in reverse"

    even the Fed admits it, but all the Fed worshippers do selective listening, along with selective research.

    ReplyDelete
  2. isn't the queen song saying Decide to Sell Marijuana backwards?

    double secret QE2...lol.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Ben,

    If you listened carefully he slipped and actually briefly said the reason he kept rates low was to enhance equities. While this was going on, he always denied that...

    ReplyDelete
  4. @McF

    No... I think it's saying "Another One Bites The Dust"

    ReplyDelete
  5. interesting Bruce, I missed that, but you are right, I do know that he denied that in the past.

    I'm just confident in saying these guys have no control and certainly don't have it "figured out"

    not even close.

    ReplyDelete
  6. expect "double secret" QE2 to come along soon

    no doubt- all hush hush-

    probably going on right now

    ReplyDelete
  7. @BinT

    So, was he trying to irrationally exhuberance himself?

    ReplyDelete
  8. C,

    Unless I'm losing it, I recall plugging that song into a keyboard playing it backwards and hearing that....maybe I was just high. lol.

    ReplyDelete
  9. @McF

    The simple fact that you were trying to play a song backwards speaks VOLUMES on your state of inebriation at that moment...

    ReplyDelete
  10. Wouldn't Stairway to Heaven backwards be "Stairway to Hell"?

    ReplyDelete
  11. good morning! laughing !! CV and Ben, neither of you ever sleeps.
    here is our "unexpected" this morning:

    Initial jobless claims unexpectedly increase to 472,000 in latest week, U.S. data show
    07/01/2010 08:32:22 AM

    ReplyDelete
  12. Or... YES WE CAN

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jqALdkTArqs

    ReplyDelete
  13. if you are sleeping you are probably missing something!

    ReplyDelete
  14. CV:

    AS Ben stated in shorthand with his UFB statement, I can't see why you'd have a generally discredited Fed boss on this late after Bernanke. It is water under the bridge, and most of us practically minded, non-PHD in economics types will always feel that extremely low rates were the reason for the housing bubble....(along with government policy, etc...)

    ReplyDelete
  15. that video is nuts....I gotta test it out with my recorder.

    ReplyDelete
  16. humans are nuts.. what a crazy video.

    ReplyDelete
  17. but certainly not freddie and fannie bruce

    as kanjorski said today, they weren't a problem really, and besides, it was republicans fault that happened anyway.

    or, you could just say they were like any other bank

    either way, all the excuses for the two are complete nonsense.

    ReplyDelete
  18. non-PHD in economics types will always feel that extremely low rates were the reason for the housing bubble.

    bruce- we're just babes in the woods- wide eyed and ignorant- trying to understand the world as best we can-

    I wish I had a Phd in economics

    ReplyDelete
  19. @Bruce(9:10) "extremely low rates were the reason for the housing bubble".

    Not just in the U.S., but on this EARTH!!! Everywhere, from China, India, to Africa. All that U$D borrowed at low rates fuelled the bubbles.

    Wall Street doing God's work! Or was it Greenie's doing.

    ReplyDelete
  20. @karen

    That's what I'm saying "humans are nuts"...

    A person could probably manipulate any sequence of anything and come up with a different meaning...

    STOP... OMG if I rearrange the words it becomes POTS!...

    What does it all mean? What does it all mean? - lol

    ReplyDelete
  21. alright all I'm out for the day


    good luck today

    ReplyDelete
  22. Yall see the overnight low print in the ES?

    1016...

    Not bad for a pen, ruler, and some gann without a plan...

    ReplyDelete
  23. and anon is right at 9:19, it's global baby.

    ReplyDelete
  24. Bob Sugar says...

    "Because you're GLOBAL baby... W-O-R-L-D-W-I-D-E"

    ReplyDelete
  25. I am confused. How can futures go positive after such a bad jobs report and horrible numbers out of China?

    (totally sarcastic here - this should be interesting to see how CNBC/MW spin this)

    ReplyDelete
  26. Fed Made Taxpayers Junk-Bond Buyers Without Congress Knowing

    http://noir.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601109&sid=a6WbLuJFUkFw&pos=10

    ReplyDelete
  27. But it could just be the final test of about a 34 day long reverse H&S...

    ReplyDelete
  28. "mcHAPPY said...
    I am confused. How can futures go positive after such a bad jobs report and horrible numbers out of China?"

    It's simple, only so many peeps can lose jobs until there are no jobs left, we're close to the bottom so we can only go up from that point!?

    ReplyDelete
  29. poor uup! knocked right out of bed this morning.. took gld with it! it all makes so much sense (actually, it does cuz everything seems to be cueing off the euro.)

    ReplyDelete
  30. I actually think this is just the final test to see if the Euro can get resurrected...

    Fail this H&S here (which may take thru Monday to complete), and it may be rollover city...

    ReplyDelete
  31. and everyone KNOWS CV's theories on holiday weekends in the US (that are not holidays in Europe)...

    and what that does to FOREX & commodities...

    ReplyDelete
  32. Propping up the market for ISM. Hoping to get a squeeze in before the selloff commences.

    ReplyDelete
  33. I mean... The Euro hasn't even tested it's leading diagonal since mid-April...

    ReplyDelete
  34. @Amen

    Yeah me too... I was hoping for a little 103.90 on SPY to add a few shorts...

    We'll see if we get it...

    ReplyDelete
  35. wtf is wrong with EURUSD?

    Prashant

    ReplyDelete
  36. i love it when i get a headline gone wrong:

    U.S. stocks defy pressure of jobless-claims data to eke out early gains
    07/01/2010 09:48:40 AM

    ReplyDelete
  37. I was doing some longer term charts last night (24 year MONTHLY)...

    The FAILURE at 1131 (on a monthly basis) going way back sets up for an ominous H&S...

    It basically means the next support of that very long term pattern might be around 736...

    ReplyDelete
  38. Did someone get an early look at ISM?

    ReplyDelete
  39. McHappy,

    This seems to me to be a set up for another day like we've had the last 6 weeks or so..."strength" or what passes for strength in the morning...and when no buys flood the market in the afternoon, late afternoon weakness going into the bell. If I were a trader like you guys, I think you could have made enough with this trend over the last month to buy Warren Buffet and put him out to pasture!

    ReplyDelete
  40. ISM 56.2% vs exp 59.7%
    Pending Home Sales -30%

    BANZAI!!!

    ReplyDelete
  41. Pending Homes Sales Plunge 30 Percent in May

    no shit? Why is that a surprise to anyone?

    ReplyDelete
  42. All the news that is fit to print is horrible this morning:

    http://briefing.com/Investor/Public/Calendars/EconomicCalendar.htm

    ReplyDelete
  43. Someone gets an early look at all the data, right Ra?

    They're all leaked.

    ReplyDelete
  44. Ahab: it is unexpectedly not a surprise anymore. Except maybe to Krugman.

    ReplyDelete
  45. Warren Buffet and put him out to pasture!

    bruce- the dude rode the great credit induced bull market we had for the past 30 years

    ReplyDelete
  46. Where's all the money going?

    Total - All Money Market Funds

    6/25/08 $3,491,210M
    6/24/09 $3,713,332M
    6/23/10 $2,817,897M

    ReplyDelete
  47. Timmy to Bernocchio:

    Can we call it a double dip yet?

    Or are we still lying to everyone?

    ReplyDelete
  48. USTs just keep on rolling.

    Will hedge exposure.. eventually. May see a sell the kitchen sink on the rumour day here ahead of NFP, then a relief rally tomorrow.

    Bill Gross sees this as a good environment for HY debt and I think in the short term that is a good trade.

    ReplyDelete
  49. Buffet was long when it was good to be long. Now it isn't and he already admitted in the tech bubble when he wasn't in techs that he only was a one trick pony. Very good at his one trick, but he's on a different stage today, and the applause is running out.

    ReplyDelete
  50. Closer look at ISM:

    PMI 56.2 from 59.7
    EMPLOYMENT 57.8 from 59.8
    NEW ORD 58.5 from 65.7
    PRODUCTION 61.4 from 66.6
    EXPORTS 56.0 from 62.0
    PRICES 57.0 from 77.5

    Please make an orderly line to the exit. This is not a drill.

    ReplyDelete
  51. PRICES 57 = you're on the D-train, baby.
    If this isn't your train, then it's tough noogies.

    ReplyDelete
  52. If Bucky turns up sharply, commodities are in a world of hurt.
    Oil and gold are already off with DXY down big. Silver looks vulnerable.

    ReplyDelete
  53. "Do you take AMERICAN EXPRESS BLACK?"

    "No... but cash would be fine"

    ReplyDelete
  54. Construction spending was $841.9 billion in May 2010, 0.2 percent below April 2010 and 8.0 percent below May 2009.

    ReplyDelete
  55. BinT,

    That is my problem. I didn't ride this one. I missed minute 1 of minor 1 as well so here is hoping I get my sh*t together for minute 3!

    ReplyDelete
  56. 2.90 10y and 3.86 30y yields. Can't believe what I am seeing...

    I think my low yield 10y prediction for 2010 was 2.75%.
    Likely will lower that...

    Yo, Morgan Stanley. 5.5% 10y? Are you out of business yet?

    ReplyDelete
  57. Current low
    10yr 2.892
    30yr 3.843

    VIX 35.37 and rising

    K-A-T-H-E-R-I-N-E!!! K-A-T-H-E-R-I-N-E!!!

    ReplyDelete
  58. you're on the D-train, baby.

    only someone w/ a PhD can understand these matters-

    hopefully one of the Fed economists can explain it so we can understand

    ReplyDelete
  59. Welcome back, LB... missed ya.

    ReplyDelete
  60. Must be that time of the month for Blogger...

    ReplyDelete
  61. may be better for DL to go long near 1020... just saying

    ReplyDelete
  62. Thanks for the warm welcome on my return, blog creatures.

    I missed you too.... 3.85% on the 30y... TLT running wild.
    This has elements of a short squeeze in the long bond.

    ReplyDelete
  63. Pending Homes Sales Plunge 30 Percent in May

    "Housing has officially bottomed".

    - Jim Cramer, June 16, 2009

    ReplyDelete
  64. Canadian market closed today. Holiday.

    ReplyDelete
  65. Anyone have an ES support level above 1000?

    I'm short... but could we really go that far this morning?

    Ra?

    ReplyDelete
  66. It's like a pachinko machine

    ReplyDelete
  67. Cramer edit-

    "Housing has officially bottomed- for now- and by the way- when I told you to sell everything- I was joking"

    June/16/2009

    ReplyDelete
  68. CV. Thinking about covering all my shorts here@spx1010. what say U?
    DP

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  69. adjusting stops in waterfalls is tough... just keeping up with them is tough.

    ReplyDelete
  70. LOL, CV, why do you even listen to that baffoon!

    ReplyDelete
  71. CV, thinking about covering all my shorts here@1010, What u say? DP

    ReplyDelete
  72. Chief Martin Brody says (to Bernocchio)...

    "We're gonna need a bigger printing press"

    ReplyDelete
  73. @Amen, BP green?

    ReplyDelete
  74. sorry for double post...
    DP

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  75. Anon

    The most beat up get squeezed on days like today.

    ReplyDelete
  76. French castle defender says (to Cramer)

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M5WuHhVRZcY

    ReplyDelete
  77. @DP

    unsure?
    at least take 1/2
    lock in sum profits
    don't be a pig

    ReplyDelete
  78. @Amen

    BP =

    Beyond Petroleum?
    Beyond Plankton?
    Beaten to a Pulp?

    ReplyDelete
  79. BP-

    still bucking the trend

    ReplyDelete
  80. The market better hold 1000 or it's off to the races.

    Also the MSM likes to use ISM Employment as a proxy for NFP. Except today. LMAO.

    ReplyDelete
  81. spy rsi below 30 now, 29.47 or so. important level..

    ReplyDelete
  82. $spx below 200 ma of 1014, $indu would match at 9500 (actually 9496) and $compq at 2000 (act. 1971)

    ReplyDelete
  83. @CV, your July 6th date for flash crash is early. Good call.

    What about BTE earning

    ReplyDelete
  84. Blogger - sign of that times, eh.

    ReplyDelete
  85. It's a "controlled detonation" flash crash...

    ReplyDelete
  86. Classic "sell the rumour" bear market Thursday...
    Tomorrow should be quiet, unless we break below SPX 1000.

    The Death Cross looms.

    ReplyDelete
  87. Just a quick note that TIPS and gold are off together.

    That is often a sign of distress, margin calls, liquidation, watch this.

    ReplyDelete
  88. Earnings?

    What do those matter? All books are cooked...

    It has no bearing on anything (except to be used as an EXCUSE for non-PhD's to explain to you why the market went up or down that day...

    ReplyDelete
  89. The market better hold 1000 or it's off to the races.

    Xtreme downhill?

    ReplyDelete
  90. Welcome back LB!
    Today is a bond yield story, USD can't rally with collapsing yields. USDJPY is the fx driver today.
    EUR and GBP will be shorts tomorrow

    ReplyDelete
  91. Correlations gone to hell in a handbasket ... tough day

    ReplyDelete
  92. LB

    The Death Cross may hit sooner than expected because the days leading to Flash Crash One are about to become part of the SMA(50) calculation.

    ReplyDelete
  93. Two Canadian Bank CEOs getting awarded "Order Of Canada" award today, Canada Day. Royal Bank and TD Bank CEOs. www.globeandmail.com/report-on-business/streetwise blog

    What bullshit! Bailout money.

    ReplyDelete
  94. @AmenRa (11:18)

    I was referring to that last week...

    We're boinking past 1220... The time to "kick save" anything was last week... Now it's a done deal...

    ReplyDelete
  95. Terry Jacks says...

    "We had joy we had fun we had seasons in the sun"

    ReplyDelete
  96. Eddie Munster says...

    "You talkin' to me Amen?"

    ReplyDelete
  97. DL, i have to ask, buying aapl? or waiting : )

    ReplyDelete
  98. Wes,

    That is a classic. All-time.

    Oil and gold, classic leveraged mark-ups. Wonder if Krugman still thinks crude is governed by "supply and demand"? Tool.

    ReplyDelete
  99. "So long, my friend, it's time to die.."

    Sharing total recall of music with CV is... scary.

    ReplyDelete
  100. Leveraged markets. LB is wondering how Cognos is doing...?

    ReplyDelete
  101. Usual melt up into the European close. Give it a few minutes after their close before the Wile E Coyote moment.

    ReplyDelete
  102. @ LB(11:29)

    Should see Steve Barry at TBP today.

    ReplyDelete
  103. "It's so hard to say goodbye to yesterday..."

    ReplyDelete
  104. >> Should see Steve Barry at TBP today.

    I love Steve Barry. With the rampant Fed job though, I feel like he was robbed.

    It's like rooting for someone on reality TV and then watching them not win the million dollar prize. (Of course, since I don't watch reality TV, I don't know why I use that analogy.)

    ReplyDelete
  105. New mantra

    MUST...HOLD...S&P...AT...1000...BEFORE...HOLIDAY

    ReplyDelete
  106. "You'd better run for your life if you can little girl"

    ReplyDelete
  107. Steve Barry should have taken the money and run.

    LB is not doing a thing until we see the last hour. Not the JOHNNY HOUR. The one that matters, the LLOYD HOUR.

    ReplyDelete
  108. BoJ on the bid in USDJPY to stop disorderly appreciation.
    Squeeze time

    ReplyDelete
  109. Steve Miller says...

    "Go on take the money & run"

    ReplyDelete
  110. BUCKY rally... now who is that bad for... ?
    Hi-ho Silver.... and Copper, the metal with the PhD...

    ReplyDelete
  111. Billy Jack is a detective down in Texas...

    You know he knows just exactly what the facts is...

    He ain't gonna let those two escape justice...

    He makes his living off of the people's taxes...

    ReplyDelete
  112. LB
    England lost because the coach banned butter. Sacrilege.
    http://thehealthyhomeeconomist.blogspot.com/2010/06/butter-banning-world-cup-team-gets-boot.html

    ReplyDelete
  113. This bounce has a soggy feel to it, it isn't going to hold.

    The SPX 1000 level will be defended like THE ALAMO. Bet on it.

    ReplyDelete
  114. We will defend Japan honor.

    ReplyDelete
  115. Bart Simpson says...

    "Nobody better lay a finger on my BUTTERFINGER"

    ReplyDelete
  116. Davy Crockett says...

    "You need me in there at SPX 1000 sir?"

    ReplyDelete
  117. The good news about deflation is that the government can save money on INK not having to print all those zeroes on everything...

    ReplyDelete
  118. I've heard of "inflation"... but what is this "deflation" you speak of?

    Never heard of that before...

    ReplyDelete
  119. i'm dying to know if cstr is going to close the huge gap from magic monday may 3.. it seems to be trying.

    ReplyDelete
  120. the upside down cup and handle on jcg is huge.. everything looks scary to me..

    ReplyDelete
  121. a quick note from stockcharts.. since this is in Murphys's 2004 book, "Intermarket Analysis", I feel I can copy and paste..

    The Kondratieff Wave (discovered in the 1920s by Nikolai Kondratieff, a Russian economist) is well known to most technical analysts and describes a "long cycle" of economic activity which lasts approximately 55 to 60 years.

    Gordon put the start of "Kondratieff Winter" in 2000. The 2004 book summarized Gordon's view as follows: "The main characteristic of the economic winter is deflation. Stock prices plunge (as do real estate values)...The two best defenses are cash and gold". Gordon refers to the long wave as a "lifetime cycle" because it happens only once in a lifetime (the last time being in the 1930s) and each generation is unprepared for its onset and unfamiliar with its solutions. I might add they don't see it coming either. What's worse, most of Wall Street doesn't seem to recognize that we're in the first truly deflationary environment since the 1930s. Once you understand it, most intermarket trends will make a lot more sense to you.

    ReplyDelete
  122. Hmm... knives or fingers?

    Sticking with the fingers for now.
    Not Goldfinger though, he is really having a bad day.

    ReplyDelete
  123. "Wall Street doesn't seem to recognize that we're in the first truly deflationary environment since the 1930s"

    Their business is entirely dependent on their not seeing this.

    ReplyDelete
  124. ps. i am eyeing gdx for a buy.. first piece at 47.50ish ? a buy range for me could be 48.50 down to 46.50 or so..

    ReplyDelete
  125. Karen, right on top of the base uptrend...

    http://dreadcapital.blogspot.com/2010/05/gdx-weekly-annotation-43010.html

    ReplyDelete
  126. another paragraph:

    DEFLATION SCENARIO... The Introduction to my 2004 intermarket book reviewed relationships that prevailed up to 1998 (which I had explained in my 1991 book on the same topic). One of the paragraphs containing the headline -- "Then Came 1998 and Things Changed" -- which explained that "deflation" played a key role from then on. A later paragraph (p. 52) entitled "The Deflation Scenario" explained that deflationary trends not seen since the 1930s were starting to take hold which would result in falling stocks and commodities with rising bond and gold prices. The biggest intermarket change was the major decoupling of bond and stock prices which has lasted until the present day. One sentence reads: "Market events of 1998 were a dramatic example of ... how bonds and stocks can decouple in a deflationary world". [Last Thursday's article on why falling bond yields were bad for stocks was based on that earlier deflationary theme]. Another explanation for deflationary trends over the last decade comes from Kondratieff Winter which was also described in the 2004 book

    ReplyDelete
  127. Anybody get the feeling that when Europe closes there's going to be a massive dumping of Eur-USD and US equities are going to get beat to a pulp?

    ReplyDelete
  128. >> a "long cycle" of economic activity which lasts approximately 55 to 60 years.

    Isn't there a Chinese saying about it taking 3 generations to build, spend, and then squander wealth?? Who should we blame more: (a) the 1st or 2nd generations for not teaching the 2nd or 3rd or (b) the 2nd or 3rd generation for not learning from their parents/grandparents?

    ReplyDelete
  129. I-Man.. exactly. you know how i like to KISS. and very nice chart, btw!

    ReplyDelete
  130. @wunsacon

    We should blame BUSH and call it a day :-)

    ReplyDelete
  131. Karen @ 11:25

    I almost never buy individual stocks anymore (just ETF's and futures).

    But if I WERE going to buy-and-hold an individual tech stock for six months, I think buying AAPL would be a reasonable bet.

    For one thing, iPhone sales should surge if it is really true that Verizon and others will be selling it (hell, I might get one).

    ReplyDelete
  132. >> We should blame BUSH and call it a day :-)

    Oh, CV. That's soooo Q1 2010. ;-)

    ReplyDelete
  133. CV, last night i left a comment to you unposted by sheer blogspot dumb luck.. i feel asleep in my dinner dress.. awoke around 1:30 AM to turn out lights and noted my laptop and comment. Thanked my lucky stars and got ready for bed properly !

    ReplyDelete
  134. Thursday, July 1, 2010
    Morning Audibles 7.1.10
    Sorry... I'm a little late this morning...


    ....You know, they have a test now for that...turns blue if you are, you know....

    ReplyDelete
  135. Off to salt mine (with open PHYS wounds)... Later, taters!

    ReplyDelete
  136. Karen,

    You do seem to KISS a lot. You must be very good at it !!

    ReplyDelete
  137. Bush is also responsible for the oil spill.

    It was his lax regulatory policies that caused it.

    ReplyDelete
  138. It will live for all time...

    ReplyDelete
  139. http://finance.yahoo.com/banking-budgeting/article/109972/valuations-at-mid-year?mod=bb-budgeting&sec=topStories&pos=7&asset=&ccode=

    Commentary: The market's P/E ratio is relatively high by historical standards

    ...Another reason I like Hussman.He's been saying this for months. Not this idiot Rip Van Winkle who slept through the first 6 months of the year, WHEN THE DOW WAS HIGHER, and now wakes up to tell you and me "STOCKS MAY BE OVERVALUED"...

    ....This is the type of tea leaves reading that makes me want to holler enough already.

    ReplyDelete
  140. @karen

    One can only wonder :-)

    ReplyDelete
  141. Oh, I do blame that Bush Administration for nearly EVERYTHING. 9/11 was the missed pass that could have been a game changer.

    ReplyDelete
  142. 12:38 PM ET 7/1/10 | Dow Jones
    Italy June Car Sales Fall 19.12% On Yr As Govt Incentive Ends

    MILAN (Dow Jones)--Italian new car registrations fell for the third consecutive month in June, down 19.12% to 170,625 units, government figures showed Thursday.

    The decline was due to the end of a government program that gave financial incentives to new car buyers.

    ReplyDelete
  143. i just checked twitter:

    fundmyfund (aka trader mark)
    $$I cannot wait to see $TSLA at $4 in 2013.
    9 minutes ago via we

    ReplyDelete
  144. so why are we melting up? i missed something : )

    ReplyDelete
  145. I'm sure all of you are eagerly awaiting the release of Bush's memoirs in November

    http://blogs.abcnews.com/thenote/2010/04/bush-memoir-set-for-december-release.html

    Autographed copies cost only $350.

    ReplyDelete
  146. "The decline was due to the end of a government program that gave financial incentives to new car buyers."

    whoocoodanoode?

    ReplyDelete
  147. "so why are we melting up? i missed something : )"

    It was gay Johnny (from the movie Airplane)...

    he was JUST KIDDING...

    ReplyDelete
  148. http://www.cnbc.com/id/37999266/

    MacDonald: Damage from Gulf Disaster Will Last Lifetime

    "This is what was said by oil industry apologists about Prince William Sound after the Exxon Valdez spill. It was untrue then and it will be untrue a year from now.

    Despite all the skimmers and sweepers, most of the oil sinks to the bottom or washes up on the shore and then sinks down in shallow layers below the sand, profoundly restructuring the ecosystem. The change cannot be undone in a lifetime."

    ...This is perzactly the way I look at this spill also. Forget "ecosystems" tripe, try the fact that the oil will linger near the shore or under the sand for years and years. Oyster beds...you better like the taste of WD-40...

    Unlike wunsacon, I now get to take the afternoon off from the salt mine. Later taters...

    ReplyDelete
  149. hilarious!! http://www.zerohedge.com/article/imeltup

    ReplyDelete
  150. Usual post-Europe close afternoon rally.
    Fails in the last hour. Bears in control again.

    ReplyDelete
  151. DL, coincidentally, i just found this for us!

    "this guy says Apple has potential to fall to $115. While seemingly impossible as this is Teflon Stock #1, it is true that Apple was in the $70s during the panic of 2008. Someone remind me to put the whole portfolio into Apple if it gets below $120."

    http://www.fundmymutualfund.com/2010/07/this-guy-really-hates-apple-aapl-as.html

    ReplyDelete
  152. Just had to test a Gann... back to business.

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  153. LB

    I was just looking at the FTSE hours to see when the games would begin. 4:30 GMT close time. The melt up kicked off instantly. Jump you f'ers!

    ReplyDelete
  154. Karen @ 1:00

    Of course, if AAPL drops to $120 because the SPX has dropped to 800, there'll be lots of other places to put money to work.

    ReplyDelete
  155. @DL

    But 800 won't happen for, like, 6-7 years right?...

    We'll probably drop, like only .18 each day on the S&P until we get there...

    ReplyDelete
  156. Time for a tweet from Mr. TOPSTEP...

    ReplyDelete
  157. CV @ 1:11

    I didn't say it would take that long.

    I just didn't think it would happen in the next 18 months... but at the rate we're going, it could be a lot sooner.

    ReplyDelete
  158. Be warned.... I"m short.

    Both the DOW and SPX failed to get through yesterdays lows during that mini-melt up.

    ReplyDelete
  159. CV, he has said nothing since yesterday.. at that was that his 16 yo daughter would be working on the floor this summer.

    ReplyDelete
  160. someone say 18?

    1044 lost
    1026 still holding, prolly good support/resistance area into next week
    1008 never hit

    1008 breaks then 954 is next level 18 support

    one never knows

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  161. In the next 18 months, March '09 lows will look like a great point to get out for buy and holders.

    I really have no right to say anything though....

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  162. Jaycee Dugaard is getting $20 million from bankrupt CA?

    http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/38041101

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  163. Karen @ 1:19

    Isn't the state of CA still paying people to buy houses?

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  164. @Karen, J.C. - sad story. Good for her. I wouldn't want any kid to go through her ordeal.

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  165. @ 18

    Would you mind running those numbers on the es?

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  166. anon @1:27.. yes, one of those stories that makes you shake your head.. i read about it in great detail at the tie. however, i just wonder if the state takes out incompetence insurance on it's corrections officials.. our society is so weird!

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  167. topstep:

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6FKw0XuiVP0

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  168. "the fundamentals are having their way with the markets." ha ha quote of the day! and remember, i did say i didn't agree with danny yesterday.

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  169. wow, don't watch that 100 greatest movie insults video posted at TBP... it will make you feel bad.. i had to shut it down or i would start crying!

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  170. CV, are you in need of my services again this afternoon? laughing

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  171. Perhaps the two of you (CV & K) should explore the idea of a video hookup.

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  172. @I
    don't use on the ES to make my calcs, but after looking at the ES charts, I did see it bounce off 1008 Sep charts this morning. If using the close on my levels, it didn't break 1008. Using high/low then it would show it broke ES 1008.

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  173. just reduced! (now only 29.95)

    http://www.mcmoniglegroup.com/listing_detail.php?ID=1619&area=newport

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  174. well, this is over my head:

    nntaleb - Most feed their obsessions by getting rid of them.
    7 minutes ago via web

    Today's $vix sonar report:

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-Ez4j4mu_jQ

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  175. @18

    61.8% fib retrace 1008-1044 would be 1,030.24...

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  176. Morning, I mean, afternoon, all! What did I miss? Anything consequential? ;-)

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  177. DL per your 1:50, yesterday, I had a passerby yell over to my male friend and I at the beach to "GET A ROOM !" I laugh every time I think about it.

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  178. Jeff, thank you so for being gone ! I doubt I could have made the money I did if you were here from the beginning.. I do have more to sell tho so once you've had a look around, maybe you could leave for the last half hour?

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  179. this will never play out but look at the rev h&s in dto on a weekly chart starting last december..

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  180. Haha Karen I wish I had half as much fun as you

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  181. I may duck out again for a workout, karen. I'll let you know when, OK? ;-)

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  182. going to take a shot on the long side here...

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  183. CV... there's your 1030

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  184. @18

    per my (1:59)... It just tagged 1,030.29

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