Friday, August 5, 2011

Morning Corner 8.5.11

ES (weekly info)
-no change (below mid)
trend=no
direction=down (1 bar)
low= 1263.75
rev= 1354.25; mid= 1309.00

The 61.8% retrace happens to line up with the lows from 11/16/10-121/10. That's the next level of support if the 50.0% retrace fails to hold. It's below all SMA's. It's below its daily, weekly and monthly 3LB mids. Standing on the edge of the cliff and not realizing it has started to crumble away.



CSCO (weekly info)
-no change (above mid)
trend=no
direction=up (1 bar)
high= 16.48
rev= 14.93; mid= 15.71

After a few weeks of "happy, happy, joy, joy" the weakness has returned. With a vengeance. It never made it to the 38.2% minor retrace and is now trading below its weekly 3LB reversal price. It's back below all SMA's and its 0.0% retrace. The lows from 11/08 & 2/09 are the next levels of support.




****I'm having problems posting comments on blogger.com today but can post blogs. Go figure.***

69 comments:

  1. cross-post

    Anonymous said...
    http://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=CTL&ty=c&ta=1&p=d

    anyway, this is what I was thinking of, when I was 'asking'/'telling'..

    "I wonder how much Cock is going to get cut off from CTL"

    crudely, it's a play on the "Yield-Ho"-'phenomenon'..

    here,
    16-Mar-11 Upgrade Stifel Nicolaus Hold → Buy $44

    does anyone know where "Stifel Nicolaus", even, came from ?

    AAIP

    August 5, 2011 6:50 AM

    ReplyDelete
  2. Gotta love Ozzie Guillen...

    http://sports.yahoo.com/video/player/news/Graham_Bensinger_InDepth/26116817#news/Graham_Bensinger_InDepth/26116817

    ReplyDelete
  3. http://www.zerohedge.com/contributed/going-dow-n

    some of those are pretty funny..

    ibid.

    ReplyDelete
  4. its so funny, the mad dash of guests being paraded onto CNBC to talk about forward earnings, as if the reality isn't that even if they knew exactly what earnings would be at year end they have no clue at all what multiple the market will assign to it

    these guys spout off over and over again how "cheap" stocks are as if there was never a time stocks fell to low single digit p/e's......please

    and to be sure, I never thought they'd be able to find someone that knew less than the three stooges in the morning about markets but they've found their man in Andrew Ross Sorkin.....what a total clown this guy is

    couple him with jeremey siegal this morning, it's an idiot hoagie.

    ReplyDelete
  5. also, apparently every single market participant in the world is about to allocate their capital based on whatever this job number is going to be

    that's how it goes folks, data comes out, every single market participant gets the news at exactly the same time, they carefully go through all the data, double check it, compare to all historical levels, carefully assess the meaning of it all and allocate accordingly

    bwahahahahahahaha..........NOT

    ooooh, ooh, look, Diane Swank from Miserable Financial, this should be hilarious

    she always "hope's she's wrong"

    and she is about 99% of the time

    Mark Zandi......lol

    ReplyDelete
  6. CrackieMac,

    right, that flippin' Swonk y Zandi tag-team duo...

    like, wtf?

    do 'people', really, take those two "Seriously"?

    and, like they're answering a Call, from Central Casting, those two, seemingly, are always 'trotted out' at "times like these" ...

    "Farce", barely, begins to scratch the Surface of the *Reality..

    2. A ludicrous, empty show; a mockery: The fixed election was a farce.
    http://www.thefreedictionary.com/farce

    also, you know, with the 'CrackieMac'-thing, just, funnin' ~

    AAIP

    ReplyDelete
  7. oh yeah, the CrackieMac is funny.....no worries

    and yes, these two are always here for the big jobs number, and they always do the same thing, whatever the last number was they extrapolate it

    the expressions on the faces after each report is usually worth sitting through it all

    meanwhile ARS continues to ask everyone "is it like Lehman, is it like Lehman"

    because you know......read his stupid book

    ReplyDelete
  8. ARS is missing the "E"

    dude is, total, Tool

    "his" Book, and the Movie made 'from it'--to say nothing of his own presentation of himself--are all the Proof one would need to understand it..

    AAIP

    ReplyDelete
  9. I probably wouldn't find ARS even half as annoying if he would let just one person complete a thought

    it's not an interview when you just keep interrupting mid statement, every statement

    it's more about.....it just turns into him talking and what is coming out is total nonsense

    he doesn't even know how to look at futures/fair value and figure out where the open would be

    shouldn't that be part of the deal if you are going to anchor in the morning, you have to actually know SOMETHING about the market.....

    ReplyDelete
  10. Yeah but...

    If you squint your eyes real hard... Swonky kinda sorta has a MILF thing going...

    & as for the rest of the 'Corvettes' on CNBC... Well - most would probably do a half decent job at washing your car...

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XiU3XkQziDk&feature=related

    ReplyDelete
  11. cv--

    that's the only thing that allows Swonk to 'Porchmonkey' at the 'Big House'( the "In-Crowd" hang )..

    that, and she, obviously, 'Swallows'--given the nonsense she re-(-iterates/-gurgitates)

    ibid.

    past that, cv--, I thought you were going 'Vakay' ?

    ReplyDelete
  12. Attractive mothers everywhere reject the notion that Diane Swonk could hang with us :-)

    ReplyDelete
  13. Labor force participation rate 63.9, change -0.2
    Employment population ratio 58.1, change -0.1
    Weekly hours 34.3, change 0
    U6 16.1, change -0.1
    B/D -18

    ReplyDelete
  14. @Jennifer

    "Attractive mothers everywhere reject the notion that Diane Swonk could hang with us :-)'

    Bwahahaha. I have to agree. I'd have to squint VERY hard to see it ....

    And/or be really drunk.

    ReplyDelete
  15. Bullishness didn't even make it 30 minutes. ROR

    ReplyDelete
  16. no way...swank is not a MILF

    I'm selling that

    looks like the 50 sma wasn't having it this morning....no soup for you bulls

    ReplyDelete
  17. to be clear..

    "swank is not a MILF"

    x2

    ibid.

    ReplyDelete
  18. from Ransquwak

    08-05 10:17: Market talk that S&P may downgrade US after market close today

    ReplyDelete
  19. oh, well, surely that will stop everyone buying treasuries then, right Mohammed?

    interest rates will most certainly go to the moon, I mean after all they were going to do that anyway once the Fed left the market

    uh huh.......

    ReplyDelete
  20. past that, cv--, I thought you were going 'Vakay' ?

    ---

    Vakay starts in 5...4...3...2...

    ReplyDelete
  21. 1158 was once a crucial level

    I can't wait for the bounce, I will short up to my eyes.....

    ReplyDelete
  22. "to be clear..

    "swank is not a MILF"


    ---

    To be CLEARER-ER... Swonk is not a MILF... But SWANK is...

    http://img.wallpapermenu.com/hilary-swank-wallpapers_7909_1024x768.jpg

    ReplyDelete
  23. If you ask me...

    At the moment, the most important thing in Clarence Beeks briefcase is not the crop report... Instead - it's the flight manifests & tower logs for KJAC...

    ReplyDelete
  24. Andy - you're coming to Chicago this weekend, right? Have a blast.

    ReplyDelete
  25. Todays SPX candle is not a reversal. But it's still early.

    ReplyDelete
  26. Hide the women and children. Lock the doors. Close the shades and stay quiet. Lock and load. This too shall pass. ROR.

    ReplyDelete
  27. McB,

    check this ..

    http://quotes.ino.com/chart/?s=NASDAQ_IPSU

    9.79 -13.40 (-57.78%)

    yo~!

    AAIP

    ReplyDelete
  28. 1168.03 is the 61.8% retrace. Market traded down to 1168.09. Guess the market remembers what happened yesterday with 1204.58 (50.0% retrace).

    ReplyDelete
  29. Major 18's 1174 breached then unbreached, may be short term bottom?

    AAIP, re: IPSU

    now back to looking for a job... grrr

    ReplyDelete
  30. ben22

    TICK low today -1424. Wow.

    ReplyDelete
  31. @AAIP

    holy shit, I had not seen that re: IPSU

    no joke and there are others here that can verify, I sold out of that several days ago for a nearly 25% profit

    thats what they call just in time

    the start was starting to look strange to me so i took it off telling a few clients that I'd look to get back in at some point....but not after that kind of move

    I got lucky basically....

    ReplyDelete
  32. the H&S target hit exactly and we bounced....how bout that, it did play out

    guys, just heard from a fairly reliable source within blackrock that the downgrade of the US IS going to happen after the close today

    they have warned the people that calculate NAV on their funds that they will not use 3 pm pricing today but 4 pm and also warned that they may need to take a 5% across the board haircut on most funds as a result

    stay tuned.....don't puke

    we'll know if this is at all legit in not so many hours

    ReplyDelete
  33. ben22

    I can almost guarantee that the MSM WILL NOT mention this development while the market is open.

    ReplyDelete
  34. just double checked my dates on IPSU

    I bought on 7/6/11 and sold the last share I had or clients had on 8/3/11

    lucky lucky

    ReplyDelete
  35. McB,

    if I was their 'Broker', I'd send them that Chart of IPSU, just, 'so they know' .. ~

    AAIP

    ReplyDelete
  36. these huge intraday swings

    so 2008

    love it....

    ReplyDelete
  37. cv--,

    don't take this the 'wrong way', but why don't We hear about this..

    http://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=BAC

    along with the SB Winners, Derby Champs, and Prom Queen picks?

    ibid.

    ReplyDelete
  38. With everyone looking to short a bounce, will the bounce go higher than anyone expected, much like the fall?

    OR will there even be a bounce that lasts more than 15 minutes?

    ReplyDelete
  39. Trailing stops. Love'em or hate'em at your peril.

    ReplyDelete
  40. alright

    call the close, or upside projection on the bounce

    likely not over, lots of volume surge on 5 min bars leading into this

    ReplyDelete
  41. there seems to be a mad dash to draw comparisons for tops to 2007 and bottoms from 08/09

    heard both arguments several places today

    maybe be careful with that

    ReplyDelete
  42. Tim Knight had an interesting note at SOH on Fib time sequences....3 months ago he projected today as a short term bottom.

    ReplyDelete
  43. Now the rumor about the downgrade is on CNBC -- seems like it can't be true.

    ReplyDelete
  44. Ra,

    as of now I dont' think the chances are very good for it to happen but if we can close near the highs of the session there's another hammer that gets painted today....

    ReplyDelete
  45. ben22

    Sorry for the delay in me response. Blogger.com decided to get its panties in a bunch and owuldn't let me comment.

    The SPX is now forming a bullish harami. We've seen how those have played out recently. We're 40 handles of the lows. It's hard on the bears. But each and every musing from the ECB or Fed doesn't last as long as the last one.

    ReplyDelete
  46. no doubt Ra, no doubt

    ReplyDelete
  47. ben22

    re: todays close

    Below 1204 keeps 1168 in the picture.

    ReplyDelete
  48. All this talk about the EURUSD rallying yet it's still below its weekly 3LB mid. Pffttt.

    ReplyDelete
  49. some Faber:

    http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000037396

    though I have to totally disagree with one thing he says

    we do not have an "endless" ability to print money

    that's wrong imo

    ReplyDelete
  50. notice how an asswipe like Steve Liesman will make snide remarks to him to try and make him look crazy for the viewers

    "oh look, just another end of the world guy"

    of course, Faber has a documented track record

    Liesman is just a clown

    ReplyDelete
  51. oh, btw

    Swank and Zandi

    I just watched their video reaction, to the jobs number, which revealed once again a near 100% error for both of them

    it was so funny, as always

    ReplyDelete
  52. ben22

    Faber to Liesman (think Chappelle show): "I'm rich b&*#h!!!"

    ReplyDelete
  53. haha

    exactly

    of course, I'm betting Liesman makes bank working there, telling Lies, making stupid comments

    what a gig

    ReplyDelete
  54. starting fights with Santelli for the sake of starting fights with Santelli

    ReplyDelete
  55. Kernan $500k
    Burnett $750k
    Bartiromo $1M

    You get the picture.

    ReplyDelete
  56. Damn round numbers. SPX trying to hold 1200.

    ReplyDelete
  57. Yada yada yada. when it's all said and done we'll be trending down on the weekly 3LB at the close.

    ReplyDelete
  58. Ra,

    I think the hammer will draw out now into the close

    but we'll have to wait until Monday to see if its real

    which sucks, that feels far away at the moment

    ReplyDelete
  59. ben22

    Looking more like a long legged doji. Since it didn't gap lower at the open its reversal implications are reduced. If it had gapped we would be looking at a morning star.

    ReplyDelete
  60. Wasn't it in 2008 when the SPX made a 20 handle move lower in the last five minutes?

    ReplyDelete
  61. yeah...it didnt' take off there like I thought it was about to

    next week should be exciting

    plenty for people to think about over the weekend

    ReplyDelete
  62. well guys, one more meeting for me today and I'm peacing out

    everyone have a good weekend

    remember

    sip the frozen frou frou or risk the icee headache....

    ReplyDelete
  63. SPX failed to hold 1200 (the round number indicator). Expect shenanigans from the administration over the weekend. But that may get offset from an EU bank imploding.

    ReplyDelete
  64. I love the new meme from moronic liberals that they are subscribing to now

    "its the tea parties fault"

    hilarious

    ReplyDelete