CV's 'definitive' 2011 NFL Picks

A month ago, I gave you my "pre" PRE-SEASON NFL Picks for 2011...

Much has transpired in the pre-season (& in camps), including signings, holdouts, acquisitions, injuries & basically all the things that are supposed to happen to turn each quest into a drunken three legged race on stilts... Here is link to the original post (which I published just a few days after the strike was settled)...


So, without further ado, I present my OFFICIAL NFL 2011 picks (divisional winners, wild card teams, playoff seedings, NFC & AFC Championship games (& locations)... & FINALLY... CV's pick to hoist the Lombardi trophy in Indianapolis next February...


NFC EAST
Philadelphia Eagles (11-5); #3 seed
A month ago, I had slotted in the Dallas Cowboys here, but that was before the Eagles acquired Nnamdi Asamogha, who is capable of shutting down half of the field for the 6 games that the Eagles will play against the Cowboys, Redskins, & Giants... Add in the fact that the Giants have lost 3 key CB's to season ending injuries, & you pretty much have a situation where everyone in this division will be playing 'catch-up'. There ought to be 2-3 weeks that Michael Vick can singlehandedly win you a victory in your FANTASY league, but that means N-O-T-H-I-N-G for the Eagles & probably doesn't help the Eagles get any nearer to the Super Bowl... It probably, though, gets them to an 11-5 season (& maybe a #3 seed in the NFC)...

NFC SOUTH
New Orleans Saints (13-3); #2 seed

The Saints are going to be my pick to eventually make it to Indianapolis, but that doesn't mean the road is going to be easy... Starting in Week 1 where they have to travel to Green Bay (& stand there & watch as the rabid fans have a Super Bowl winning party right in their face)... The Saints probably feel they were ONE STUPID PLAY from repeating as champs last year... The play was the Marshawn Lynch incredible touchdown run in Seattle where he broke more tackles than CV breaks dishes while listening to a speech delivery from the Teleprompter in Chief... If the Saints won that game (which they had in their grasp at one point), they would have likely knocked off the Bears the following week, which means the NFC Championship would have been played in the Superdome... Don't think they haven't replayed that a million times in their mind this past offseason... Week 1 is where it all starts... It's basically going to be a dress rehearsal... The WINNER of the Saints-Packers game in Lambeau is likely to end up hosting the NFC Championship game... Get your popcorn... What ought to also be interesting is that CV is going to predict that the two NFC wildcard spots come out of this same division... (#2 seed NFC)

NFC NORTH
Green Bay Packers (13-3); #1 seed

Probably the only scary thing the Packers face are blows to Aaron Rodgers head... 3 concussions in 2 years starts putting you in 'Steve Young-ville'... Even if that happens, Matt Flynn is a capable back-up & they even have Graham Harrell coming along fairly well... The 'Flynn' story is interesting because he's farther along, but he's also in the final year of his contract... The Packers may have to part ways with him or risk getting nothing (picks) in return... On paper, the only team in the NFC that can match-up with the Packers are the Saints... ON PAPER (he said)... (#1 seed, NFC)

NFC WEST
St. Louis Rams (8-8); #4 seed

The only reason I put (8-8) instead of (9-7) is because this division plays the AFC North (home of the Steelers & Ravens)... Now since I said that, the Rams will beat the Ravens & go (9-7)... You can bet on it...

I've changed the pick in this division (previously had the 'Cardinals' in this spot), just based on some voodoo... I'm a big believer in CYCLES... History repeating itself... Karma & all that... This year, the NFL "kicks-off" the season on the 10th anniversary of 9/11 (actually - the season starts 9/8 with a Thursday Night game of Saints vs. Packers - which as I've stated, is an OMEN of itself)... Notwithstnding...

I think you have to go BACK in time then to recall the NFL 10 years ago... The team to beat was the St. Louis Rams "The Greatest Show on Turf"... Oddly, the team to BEAT the heavily favored Rams in the next SuperBowl after 9/11 were Tom Brady & the New England Patriots (who, CV is going to project going 'all the way' here too)...

In any case, I'm going to predict a bunch of the same actors returning to the stage here... Also, quite oddly (or not)... The NFL has scheduled a game between the New York Giants & Washington Redskins for Sunday 9/11... It's not lost on this author, that Washington DC was rocked by an earthquake a few days ago, that actually cracked the capstone of the Washington Monument, & at present, there's a hurricane in the Atlantic that's barreling it's way towards New York...

Oh, by the way, the quake that rocked Washington... Obama's science advisors (czars) inform us that it happened along the "Bush Fault" line...

NFC WILDCARDS
Atlanta Falcons (10-6) #5 seed
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (10-6) #6 seed

 
The #6 seed travels to play the #3 seed (which would make the Bucs travel to Philadelphia)... This fits into my 'karma' theme... Individuals & teams have to face past demons (whether they be EXACT or just rhyme)... There IS history here... When the Buccaneers won the Superbowl after the 2002 season, the road went right through Philadelphia... Philly's QB was Donovan McNabb (probably the most promising of a handful of African American QB's in the NFL at the time)... Of course, now in Philly you have the media crawling all over Mike Vick (who, rather unceremoniously 'replaced' McNabb... well when details are eventually forgotten, that's how it will be remembered anyway... So the media wants it's reformed black superstar (which it either 'thinks' it has in Vick, OR, they're just setting him up for a fall later on)... But NOBODY talks about the Buccaneers talented young African American QB Josh Freeman (who by CV's accounts - is more talented than Vick)... As always with the media... "If it bleeds, it leads"
 
In any case, there are even deeper roots to the whole 'potential' story... One would be that the only African American QB to ever win a SuperBowl was Doug Williams, who, while he won the Superbowl with the Washington Redskins, was known mostly for his many years as the QB for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers...
 
Anyway, we'll see what happens... But I like the Buccaneers moving on (over the Eagles), & the Rams re-kindle the fire from 10 years ago (the 9/11 era)... The Greatest Show on Turf... & knock off the Falcons...

NFC DIVISIONAL
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (#6) at Green Bay Packers (#1)
St. Louis Rams (#4) at New Orleans Saints (#2)

The BUC stops (literally) in Lambeau Field... & the Saints make short work of the Rams in the Louisiana Superdome (where - ironically - "The Greatest Show on Turf" Rams team met their waterloo vs. the New England Patriots in the first Superbowl post 9/11)... Is anything "rhyming" for anyone yet?

NFC CHAMPIONSHIP
New Orleans Saints vs. Green Bay Packers


This probably should have been 'last years' NFC Championship but the date was postponed due to Marshawn Lynch's dog eating Drew Brees' lunch... The main thing here will be whether this game will be in Lambeau Field or the Superdome... Last year it would have been in the Superdome, & if the Saints can't take care of business in week 1 of the NFL season, then they deserve to be forced to prove themselves on the frozen tundra... Where I think, they will, in fact, prevail...

Remember the last time the Packers 'failed' to reach the Superbowl by blowing a championship game on their home turf? Yup, that's right, it was for the honor of going to meet the undefeated Patriots...
 


AFC EAST
New England Patriots (15-1); #1 seed

Don't even bother to question me on this... The Patriots are going to be all but unbeatable this year... They'll lose one game (probably to the Jets)... The AFC road to the Superbowl will lead right through Foxboro... The Patriots mainly needed a pass rush & run stoppage the last two years (& they still won 14 games last year)... Unless you're the Baltimore Ravens or the New York Jets, you can't beat them in Foxboro... & they're going to have some 'mojo' on their side to boot (with the passing of Robert Kraft's wife & this whole 10 year anniversary of 9/11 thing)... Remember, the flights of the jets that struck the WTC towers originated in Boston...

It's all too weird...
AFC SOUTH
Indianapolis Colts (10-6); #3 seed

Last time Peyton Manning started the season slowly (as is the case this year), the Colts went 10-6 & barely made the playoffs... I'm predicting the same here... I'm VERY tempted to slot in the Houston Texans here (especially since week 1 features the Colts vs. Texans - where Houston will be fully healthy & the Colts still trying to find footing)... I think Houston will get off to the good start, but classicly fold by losing some head scratching games in mid season...

More 9/11 irony... In the last Superbowl BEFORE 9/11... The Baltimore Ravens defeated the NEW YORK GIANTS... The Giants were quarterbacked by... drumroll... Kerry Collins (who may end up being called into service in week one here for the Colts)...

Somehow... I think the Colts make it thru... Only to later face the Steelers in the playoffs so that there can be another one of those Jerome Bettis/Mike Vanerjaght laugh fests...
AFC NORTH
Baltimore Ravens (11-5); #2 seed

The Ravens aren't immune to having to deal with their own karma... Joe Flacco has NEVER beat Ben Rothleisberger in a head 2 head match-up (0-6)... The Ravens have beat the Steelers twice in the Flacco era, but both times were when Big Ben was out of the lineup...

Again... WEEK 1 of the NFL season will probably tell the story of who wins this division & who ends up going on the road as a wildcard team... I'm going to say the Ravens finally "do it"... Part of that is just the mojo that the 1st week of the season (& thus the Ravens - Steelers game) will be played on 9/11, the 10 year anniversary... The Ravens were the last team to win the SuperBowl before 9/11...

AFC WEST
San Diego Chargers (9-7); #4 seed

Somebody has to win this division & I'm guessing that that team will NOT be named the "Chiefs", "Raiders", or "Broncos"... The Broncos are fully in re-build (with a new coach - John Fox)... The Raiders made a step forward last year, but have fallen back to their old ways by picking up Terelle Pryor (hoping he'll become the next, WHAT? Jamarcus Russell - who ate himself out of the league - on "skittles", no less)... The Chiefs had a creampuff schedule last year (which is how they managed to win 10 games)... With Charlie Weis gone to Gainesville, they'll be lucky to finish the season (8-8)...

So the Chargers win by default... I don't have much else to say about it (because they'll probably be a "one & done" in the playoffs)...

AFC WILDCARDS
New York Jets (11-5) #5 seed (on tiebreaker)
Pittsburgh Steelers (11-5) #6 seed


I just put it that way so as to ASSURE that history repeats itself... #5 seed would have to travel to San Diego, whilst #6 seed goes to Indy... If somehow, the Chargers end up with a better record than the Colts (which could happen), I'll swap these #5 & #6 around (in a way that it's the same two teams traveling to the same locations)...

The Chargers have a history of losing home playoff games to the Jets... Plus, the Colts (in Peyton Manning injury seasons), face the Steelers in the playoffs (& all hilarity ensues)...

AFC DIVISIONAL
Pittsburgh Steelers (#5) at Baltimore Ravens (#2)
New York Jets (#6) at New England Patriots (#1)

I suppose I'm going to have to retrofit my 'seedings' to make this a reality... It would mean the Chargers would have to be the #3 seed & the Colts the #4 seed (which would still mean the Jets play the Chargers; but as the #6 seed, while the Steelers still play the Colts as #5 seed)...

So... CORRECTION to above... Chargers final record goes to (10-6) & they get the higher seeding on a tie-breaker... There - fixed it...

Here you'd have all your karmic destinies playing out... The ONLY two teams which have managed to win playoff games in FOXBORO... In like... EVER... Have been the Jets & Ravens (which the Patriots would have to face in a row)... Meanwhile... Flacco would have to GET OVER the 'Big Ben' curse (& ironically - even if the Colts BEAT the Steelers the week before - the Ravens have another beast to slay - that of NEVER having beat the Colts [who were from Baltimore] in a playoff game)...

Don't you love this stuff? It's called "Slay all your demons before the Mayan calendar runs out in 2012".

AFC CHAMPIONSHIP
Baltimore Ravens at New England Patriots 

 I just don't see how anybody is going to stop the Patriots... Here you have the winners of the last SuperBowl prior to 9/11 vs. the first winners after... It's about as simple as it gets...


SUPERBOWL XLVI
(Indianapolis, Indiana - February 5, 2012)

New Orleans Saints (NFC) vs. New England Patriots (AFC) 


Everything old is NEW again (as in - 'New' Orleans & 'New' England) at the 'page turning' ceremony of the conclusion in the year of the end of the MAYAN calendar... Want more 'spookiness'?... The Patriots modern era dynasty basically got started in the first Super Bowl after 9/11 (which, as I've said before, is the day that the 2011 [TWO - Oh! - ELEVEN] gets underway)... The Patriots won that Super Bowl in the Louisiana Superdome (home of the New Orleans Saints)... Now, the SAINTS won the Super Bowl TWO years ago... This Super Bowl is being played in Indianapolis (home of the Indianapolis Colts - the team that the New Orleans Saints defeated in that Superbowl...

The next Super Bowl is number XLVI (number 46; 4+6=10; as in - 10 year anniversary of 9/11)... The quarterback for the New Orleans Saints, Drew Brees, wears jersey number "9"... The quarterback for the Patriots, Tom Brady, wears jersey number "12"... Super Bowl XLVI will be played in February 2012 (2/12)...

Oh... I before CV leaves you all (to get back to burying your noses in S&P charts)... Remember something CV casually mentioned above... Remember what I said about 2012 & the MAYAN calendar?

The New England Patriots might have a certain 'mojo' going this year... The passing of owner Bob Kraft's wife (only a month ago)...

Her name?

MYRA KRAFT


Patriots 27 - Saints 20

(the birthday & death days of Myra Kraft)

16 comments:

ben22 said...

I think the RB situation in Green Bay is pretty interesting

Ryan Grant was fairly productive before last season, now he may not even be the starter

I realize they are a passing team but.....

cv said...

Ryan Grant is pedestrian...

ben22 said...

he looks that way now

I think McCoy from the birds will have a big season....

but I like to do the fantasy like my trades

one week at a time, there'll be another L. Blount or a Stevie Johnson to pick up off free agency this year....

I've got my first real draft sunday night....hoping I have power, I'd hate to have my first draft end up an auto picked squad.

ben22 said...

and CV, btw, thanks for the write up, I like reading your football stuff, it's well done.

The mayan calender stuff is interesting if not bat shit crazy....j/k

lol ;-)

cv said...

CV's 2011 PRESEASON PICKS - WEEK 3

Preseason pick total:10 'correct' - 4 'incorrect'

Unit Pick differential: +1.5

---

--- Saturday, August 28th games ---

Jacksonville (-1) at Buffalo

Jacksonville is going to want to prove that they're not 'chumps' after getting toasted by the Patriots last week... if they were playing the JETS here, I might not like their chances as much as vs. the Bills...

I'll go with the JAGS here for (1 unit)

Atlanta at Pittsburgh (-4.5)

People are going to find out this year that the Falcons play poorly in away grass games... The only thing is, 4.5 points is way too much to lay (especially since Atlanta remembers the last time they were in Heinz Field, last year - week 1 - they lost on a Rashard Mendenhall breakaway run in overtime... If I'm Mike Tomlin - I 'sit' Mendenhall here so they don't break his knees...

No action...

Miami at Tampa Bay (-4.5)

Again... Tony Sparano seems to like to win pre-season games... So, despite CV's prediction that the Bucs will make the playoffs, I'll take the DOLPHINS & the points...

New England (-3.5) at Detroit

Patriots are on a mission... Belichick is dangling carrots in front of Rex Ryan (Jets) beezer... So the PATRIOTS win (& cover) here for (1 unit)

Chicago at Tennessee (-3.5)

Lovie Smith doesn't give a hoot about the preseason... Worse, The 'Mike Tice' offensive line seems dazed & confused... In the past 3 seasons, Jay Cutler has gone from taking a sack every 23 dropbacks, to 16, & now 9... NINE!

That's not too pretty vs. a Mike Munchak team... I'd be inclined to take the Titans here, but I'm going to pass...


Dallas (-2) at Minnesota

I think Dallas is going to have to stop showcasing Felix Jones so much in the pre-season (or else teams are going to catch on)... Dallas has to play the Jets in WEEK 1 & if Jason Garrett keeps tipping his offensive scheme hand here, they'll be 0-1 on 9/12...

Houston (-2) at San Francisco

Houston looked frighteningly awesome last week (with Arian Foster & andre Johnson on the field)... It doesn't seem that difficult (to me) that Wade Phillips will be able to concoct some defensive plays to make life HELL for Alex Smith...

I'm going to go with the TEXANS for (3 units)...

Seattle at Denver (-3.5)

Pffft! Any questions?

San Diego (-3) at Arizona

I'd be tempted to go with the Chargers here except for the glaring notion that:

- Chargers?
- 'giving' points before October 25th?
- on the road?

skip it...

Andy T said...

Good stuff Chet.

Though, not to be too much of a "homer," but the Texans seem set up to win their division. Don't like the colts much this year.

Ravens? ravens?

C'mon man.

I like you're NFC picks a lot...can't disagree with any of those.

Andy T said...

classic from the hoffer:

~~~~~~~~~~
“…The sad thing is that in the long run the wealthy need the middle class (and smart one like Buffett knows)…”

DeDude,

DeLusional is, truly, the Correct tag, for you…

why not start here..
http://search.yippy.com/search?input-form=clusty-simple&v%3Asources=webplus&v%3Aproject=clusty&query=Chippewa+boot+Made+in+China

and, See what ol’ ‘Uncie Warren’ has done to Chippewa, and Carolina, Boot, since He acquired them..

(Moved the majority of their Production to the PROC..)

What is it, Really, that you use for ‘News’?
~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Andy T said...

Good Luck to all of our Eastern coast friends.

AmenRa said...

Weekly 3LB Update 8/26/11

AmenRa said...

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/comment/8727080/Ben-Bernanke-realised-printing-yet-more-money-would-look-desperate.html
Ben Bernanke realised printing yet more money would look desperate

cv said...

Ben Bernanke realised printing yet more money would look desperate

ROTFLMFAO!

---

So let me get this straight...

With 'subprime'... He said 'subprime was contained' (you know - wouldn't want to seem 'desperate' by trying to get ahead of a probablem that everyone knows was out of the bag)...

So here... He doesn't want to PRINT (because he doesn't want to look desperate)...

So I guess we'll just have to wait until the water is lapping up against the nostrils, & THEN he'll PRINT...

---

don't get me wrong... THERE IS NO SOLUTION here (whether he prints now or prints later)... It's just laughable that people waste their time discussing it... It's like a big asteroid barreling down on the planet & science czars sitting around debating whether it's going to impact in western Canada or the Indian Ocean...

All anyone needs to know, after 2008, is that, when faced with the ULTIMATE choice (whether that choice arrives 'sooner' on the abc-x-abc-x-abc-x charts... or later...

The chart will eventually look like abc-x-abc-x-abc-x-QE'n'-PRINT

That's all he (they) know how to do...

Nickles bitchez!

cv said...

http://espn.go.com/dallas/mlb/story/_/id/6902936/man-hospitalized-falling-stairwell-rangers-ballpark

WTF is it with people 'falling' at Texas Rangers games?

I guess it's all 'Bush's FALL-t'...

ben22 said...

survived the h-cane! never lost any power but I was helping out the sump pump for about 3 hours

that was a ton of rain....

Anonymous said...

cv--

re: "Falling"

I heard tell that 'they're' going to erect a Statue of that dude they 'fell'--the 'first' one..
~~

AT,

I was thinking, last night, ~"it's too bad this Tropical Rain Storm didn't 'head for Texas'..

We received ~6+" inches of Rain, and some Wind..

all tolled, nothing too drastic..

but, We were, already, "ahead", on the YTD Precipatation Averages...

seems it would have been off in Tejas..

AAIP

QQQQ said...

cup-n handle forming now?

glad to see nobody here was smacked hard by the hurricane/tropical storm.

AmenRa said...

Blue Collar Comedy Tour is pretty funny.

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