Thursday, February 10, 2011

Morning Corner 2.10.11

CSCO (weekly info)
new high 22.01
trend=up
high= 22.01
rev= 20.17; mid= 21.09



Cisco missed on EPS but beat on revenue. Reduced forecast for future growth. AH closed below weekly 3LB reversal price and also below its 23.6% retrace. Monthly 3LB is still trending down. Stock has traded back up to gap resistance (up until earnings) and it will continue as resistance. It should reverse this week. If not then why even care about fundamentals.



QQQQ (weekly info)
new high 57.38
trend=up
high= 57.38
rev= 54.74; mid= 56.06



Technology is holding up for now. Cisco is only 2.4% of the Q's so its weakness may not do too much damage. Monthly 3LB is trending up. The blinking game continues.



FXI (weekly info)
-no change (below mid)
trend=up
high= 47.76
rev= 38.36; mid= 43.06



Trading below its weekly 3LB mid indicates weakness. It's very close to its monthly 3LB mid and a monthly close below that would ratchet up the weakness exponentially. It tested its 50% retrace twice. Will it catch a bid and go for a third test? Probably not since China keeps raising rates to keep inflation in check. This doesn't even include the 30% drop in real estate prices that they are planning. More yang than yin.

219 comments:

  1. http://ftalphaville.ft.com/blog/2011/02/10/484536/portugal-unmoored/

    "Over in a quiet corner of the eurozone — Portugal’s government bonds have been slowly getting worse"

    ReplyDelete
  2. http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-02-09/new-jersey-bond-rating-cut-by-s-p-on-growing-pension-health-obligations.html

    New Jersey’s Bond Rating Cut by Standard & Poor’s

    "New Jersey’s pension-funding deficit increased by $8.05 billion, or 18 percent, to $53.9 billion as of June as the state failed to make contributions. The state also has an unfunded liability of $66.8 billion for providing medical care to retired public employees, the treasury department said in December."

    ReplyDelete
  3. http://www.dailyfinance.com/story/real-estate/u-s-foreclosure-filings-rose-in-january-as-nevada-continues-to/19837993/

    US Foreclosures Rose in January

    ReplyDelete
  4. http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-02-10/king-faces-ticking-clock-on-interest-rate-increase-as-u-k-inflation-soars.html

    "The inflation outlook has prompted investors to bet on a rate increase. The implied yield on June short sterling futures has risen 25 basis points this year to 1.14 percent. The pound has gained against 15 of the 16 most traded currencies in that period."

    ...Surprise!

    ReplyDelete
  5. Bucky back in mini- "Beast Mode" this AM.

    ReplyDelete
  6. A fixed income analyst to be named laterFebruary 10, 2011 at 8:25 AM

    Hey Bruce,

    I think that the US and UK are going to try to ride through this little inflationary bump of 4-5% UK and 2-3% US, as the BoJ did several times. None of the mini-inflationary episodes was lasting in Japan, and none resulted in wage inflation or a recovery in housing prices.

    My money is on no hikes, and yes, more QE and stimulus down the road.

    ReplyDelete
  7. Bucky the Talking CurrencyFebruary 10, 2011 at 8:26 AM

    I am fixing to put a hurt on commodity specs and EM longs...

    ReplyDelete
  8. What happens after the upcoming Irish election is not going to be inflationary for the UK bank balance sheets. Sinn Fein is pissed off with the bankers and developers. You do not want Sinn Fein pissed at you.

    Haircut, sir?

    ReplyDelete
  9. good morning TA'ers-

    it would be interesting if Ritholtz's 8% correction actually comes to pass exactly as foretold-

    maybe there is something to the 90/90 omen-

    still a bit upside down on my SDS and TLT-

    maybe today will get me to green?

    where's my man b22 been lately?

    ReplyDelete
  10. Initial Claims 383k. Santa's Elves even had trouble getting to the unemployment office with the winter weather. Darn reindeer.

    ReplyDelete
  11. it appears TLT getting bludgeoned again

    just can't get any damn respect (for such high quality paper)

    ReplyDelete
  12. TLT TA from Corey

    http://blog.afraidtotrade.com/long-term-trendline-support-test-in-tlt-bond-fund/

    ReplyDelete
  13. A fixed income analyst to be named laterFebruary 10, 2011 at 9:08 AM

    Lovely charts from Corey !!

    Heckuva trend line. A lot of the shenanigans is related to Congress dicking around about the debt ceiling. Kabuki theatre.

    The selling momentum we just saw in TLT was the most intense on that eight year chart.

    We think that trend line holds.

    ReplyDelete
  14. A fixed income analyst to be named laterFebruary 10, 2011 at 9:10 AM

    Remember that Treasury can restrict supply or issue less paper at these higher yield levels and therefore can influence price by that mechanism as well as via POMO. The Fed can't control everything but Treasury and the Fed can do a lot to control bond yields.

    ReplyDelete
  15. so . . .some dip buying today I imagine-

    I-Man at the ready?

    ReplyDelete
  16. AFIA2BNL

    The move to get traders into bonds started early? Funny because yields on the 30yr are actually up.

    ReplyDelete
  17. A fixed income analyst to be named laterFebruary 10, 2011 at 9:32 AM

    We are pre-auction here. 30y goes on sale at 1pm. A bit of a move out is normal. Demand may be lighter b/c of yesterday's huge 10y demand.

    Also remember claims were BTE!

    ReplyDelete
  18. hmmmm . . . "Nokia Said to Be Near Software Partnership With Microsoft"

    interesting- possibly Nokia vying to become the purveyor of Windows 7- much like Motorola ditched their own platforms and went all in on Android a couple years ago

    ReplyDelete
  19. 18's SPY on 15min chart...

    ...132.30 ...yesterday close
    131.40 ...gap below, may try to fill
    ...130.50 ... weak support
    129.60
    [gap between, may try to fill, good support 129.60]
    ...128.70
    127.80 ... great support

    ReplyDelete
  20. Ron Paul: QE2 Is a "Total Failure"

    unless of course you went long the stock market (or commodities) in September

    ReplyDelete
  21. morning!

    NEVADA STATEWIDE CASINO GAMBLING REVENUE FALLS 2.39% IN DEC.

    ReplyDelete
  22. This seems wimpier than I would have expected.

    ReplyDelete
  23. That's the gap fill? ... LOL

    anyone buying the dip below 131.40?
    it's an 18 50% fib :/
    give it some time... going back to work, this is boring.

    ReplyDelete
  24. oops, it's an 18 50% fib below

    ReplyDelete
  25. LB

    Doesn't the debt ceiling issue play the other way, anyway? If they restrict the ability to borrow, there is less supply of debt (T's).

    Less supply....

    ReplyDelete
  26. As Andy always said, this is an attrition process:

    Jobless claims hit 2-1/2 year low http://yhoo.it/gJapQJ

    ReplyDelete
  27. 1302-1308 seems the obvious stop.

    No debt ceiling increase = default. So no, not exactly.

    Ron Paul: QE2 Is a "Total Failure"

    unless of course you went long the stock market (or commodities) in September

    or wanted to unload a lot of your JNK (keep it clean, ladies...!)

    ReplyDelete
  28. green shoot? not so much. December US wholesale inventories rise 1% http://www.forexlive.com/166017/all/december-us-wholesale-inventories-rise-1

    ReplyDelete
  29. 30-Year Fixed

    CURRENT 5.06
    1 MO PRIOR 4.79
    3 MO PRIOR 4.37
    6 MO PRIOR 4.49
    1 YR PRIOR 5.08

    ReplyDelete
  30. Will be selling rips if given the chance, but it will have to be a really nice retracement. I wont be getting too cocky with any short positions. Especially as we approach the following:


    Watch for big dip buying at the following YM levels:

    12089

    and below that,

    12054


    A little unfinished business from Monday. The seeds for this were planted at the open on Monday...

    Absolute fallout could take us to test 11800 again... but I doubt that happens this time.

    There is a lot of support around 11950.

    ReplyDelete
  31. 12089 and 12054.

    What's that in SPX for us SPOO hounds?

    ReplyDelete
  32. Ben can issue his own debt now if he wants, he has already been dabbling.

    Wasn't that the point of asking for the "new" ability to pay interest on reserves?

    Thinking out loud, and way outside of the box.

    ReplyDelete
  33. http://247wallst.com/2011/02/10/global-oil-demand-estimate-rises/

    ReplyDelete
  34. Not sure about that, I have not been watching the ES lately.

    If you look at the SP500 and Dow 5min charts together on finviz, you should be able to eyeball it pretty well.

    If I have time I will take a peek...

    ReplyDelete
  35. @I

    Don't mind me but I plugged 18's into the DJ30, hourly chart...

    numbers are
    12240
    12060
    11880

    just goofing around, haven't really applied 18's to the DJ but I do see some patterns here

    ReplyDelete
  36. A fixed income analyst to be named laterFebruary 10, 2011 at 10:20 AM

    We are rather hoping that all the EM toys might be thrown out of the pram tomorrow morning so we can close our trade out and make an early weekend of it. This has already been an absolute monster for us.

    We will not buy dips in EMs, but we will sell rips. Nor will we buy any US equity dips this side of the Irish election, unless we have crescendo selling or until we see an extended run up in Bucky and the Treasury complex that comes to a halt.

    We do need to get our fixed income hedging organized, as we think there will be some pain days ahead as the TLT grinds along a smoothly rounded bottom....

    There are bank runs in Ireland, and people are buying gold. Not risking shorting the yellow metal until we work through that political event.

    ReplyDelete
  37. Morning all.
    Here is an interesting article about lil danny snyder.
    Enjoy.
    http://www.washingtoncitypaper.com/articles/40063/the-cranky-redskins-fans-guide-to-dan-snyder/
    The delicious irony is, the story was buried, til he sued.

    foghorn

    ReplyDelete
  38. Actually, they havent traded closely together enough this week for me to eyeball it, sorry.

    It looks like the ES has already tested what I would be waiting for YM to test, so we shall see...

    1303 maybe on ES, but that is only a guess.

    ReplyDelete
  39. Here is an interesting article via Yves.

    http://emptywheel.firedoglake.com/2011/02/09/security-firms-pitching-bank-of-america-proposed-targeting-glenn-greenwald/

    foghorn

    ReplyDelete
  40. A fixed income analyst to be named laterFebruary 10, 2011 at 10:41 AM

    Yes I have 1302.

    The EEM was everybody's darling.. now she can't get a date.
    So many HFs now on the LONG DM/SHORT EM trade.
    Nice to be right in the meat of a trend trade, easy money.

    ReplyDelete
  41. Bucky the Talking CurrencyFebruary 10, 2011 at 10:42 AM

    This could be the start of my big impulsive move up....

    http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=DXY:IND

    ReplyDelete
  42. foghorn-

    Snyder wanted an apology- but because there wasn't one forthcoming- he sued-

    apparently he finds it anti-semitic-

    I am not sure if Snyder quite understands how despised he is in DC- no-one will coming to his defense

    ReplyDelete
  43. I wonder if the dethroning of Mubarak will embolden other countries in the fertile crescent?

    ReplyDelete
  44. Snyder wanted an apology-

    Ha. Win some games, then !!

    ReplyDelete
  45. I cant think of anything nice to say about Dan Snyder.

    ReplyDelete
  46. "Win some games"

    no doubt- and the dude's so fickle-

    Turner, Schottenheimer, Spurrier, Gibbs, Zorn, Shananhan . . .

    and I think I missed one- all during his tenure

    ReplyDelete
  47. The more I look at this, the more I want to put a bid out and buy the next dip on the 5min...

    ReplyDelete
  48. Terry Robisky.
    The yes man who started Jeff George.

    foghorn

    ReplyDelete
  49. A fixed income analyst to be named laterFebruary 10, 2011 at 11:04 AM

    See you for the auction. Feel sick and need a nap.

    ReplyDelete
  50. And we thought Jerra Jones was a greedy, worthless bastard.
    Step up your game Boss Hog.

    foghorn

    ReplyDelete
  51. Jeff George- lol

    and Zorn- the coach who wasn't allowed to call his own plays

    ReplyDelete
  52. That was such a tease...

    I was really hoping to get a short runner. Those are the best, make your dough real quicklike, and can close up shop early.

    Not to be.

    ReplyDelete
  53. just listened to this glen neely interview..

    http://www.neowave.com/company-nov2010interview.asp

    ReplyDelete
  54. I just watched the Anderson Cooper clip on Letterman.. very interesting..

    ReplyDelete
  55. Maybe there is a nice short here...

    Kinda smells fishy...

    ReplyDelete
  56. Another failure to stay below the daily 3LB mid on the SPX. Mondays opening gap higher held as support. What is it going to take?

    ReplyDelete
  57. Nah... should just buy the next dip. Cant be overthinking this shit.

    It is what it is.

    BTFDMF

    ReplyDelete
  58. If JNK is up and LQD is down then why is IQI down and MUB up? I thought JNK was similar IQI.

    ReplyDelete
  59. A fixed income analyst to be named laterFebruary 10, 2011 at 11:55 AM

    A flight to quality is beginning in munis. Hence MUB/IQI.

    People sense that Meredith Whitney is correct. AGAIN. Voters do not want muni bailouts by increased taxation. People also know that income derived from home sales is flat. The states and cities are running out of time. This will be the second time in our lives we see Real Money panic (pension funds etc..). Should be fun, if you like watching elephant stampedes.

    Corporate balance sheets are in much better shape than cities and states. So I sleep easily knowing my JNK is always going to catch a bid.

    ReplyDelete
  60. http://mrtopstep.com/2011/02/10/george-cavaligos-looks-at-odd-treasury-auction-week/

    ReplyDelete
  61. Molson Coors 4Q net falls 51% on lower beer volume, rising costs for taxes, ingredients http://yhoo.it/ewPaLk

    ReplyDelete
  62. Gold has shrugged off earlier weakness and silver has retaken 30. CRB up also. Now where did I read that commodities were about to get sold hard?

    ReplyDelete
  63. Warsh goes.

    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-02-10/fed-governor-kevin-warsh-resigns-bernanke-adviser-had-questioned-stimulus.html

    ReplyDelete
  64. re: Coors

    Volume sales down 1.9% globally.
    Not my fault mon.

    foghorn

    ReplyDelete
  65. @ 18

    Try playing around with 34 or 35 with the Dow charts...

    ReplyDelete
  66. http://www.rttnews.com/CorpInfo/EconomicCalendar.aspx

    Page 6....4AM....

    ...I couldn't help but notice the PPI for Norway released today is up 22.4% from 12 months ago....

    our PPI on the 16th...

    ..Bernanke says ours will be contained..

    ReplyDelete
  67. Interesting article on globull warming.
    http://strata-sphere.com/blog/index.php/archives/15928

    ------------------------------------
    "...We should have simply looked at the claims and wonder why was there such a mountain of panic from an ant hill of temperature rise? Think about it folks – they are wetting their pants of a supposed 0.8°C rise in temperature over 100 years! Forget about the fact we have been coming out of a mini Ice Age for 400 years (some warming is expected). Forget the fact there is no way to get this global accuracy today, let alone use sparse data from before the time of wide spread electricity (let alone indoors plumbing) to get a global temperature number over 100 years ago for comparison. Forget about the poor math and the cover up of the data proving they had no claim for long term comparisons. Forget about this handful of arrogant ignoramuses dominating their little backwater of science and duping the gullible.
    0.8°C over 100 years?"
    -------------------------------------

    foghorn

    ReplyDelete
  68. “Independently of its misdeeds, the mere power, the bare existence of such a power, is a thing irreconcilable with the nature and spirit of our institutions.”

    Nicolas Trist, secretary to Andrew Jackson, writing on the privately owned Second Bank of the United States (Schlesinger, The Age of Jackson, p.102)

    ReplyDelete
  69. A fixed income analyst to be named laterFebruary 10, 2011 at 12:37 PM

    B in T

    The next PPI will represent PEAK FLATION. This will almost certainly be the day or close to the day of high yield at the LONG END, and the middle of next week should therefore be a bond buying opportunity.

    The short end of course is controlled by THE WIZARD.

    ReplyDelete
  70. foghorn-

    all you need to know about the environment and environmentalists comes from Professor George Carlin

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EjmtSkl53h4

    ReplyDelete
  71. if correlations haven't broken down.. the spx is due for tumble.. was just noting EPI, THD.. FXA and SPX to follow? or will the former two bounce..

    Breaking News
    CIA chief Panetta tells Congress US debt, deficits are a threat to national security - Reuters

    ReplyDelete
  72. A fixed income analyst to be named laterFebruary 10, 2011 at 12:47 PM

    CIA chief Panetta tells Congress US debt, deficits are a threat to national security

    More Kabuki theatre. Send in the clowns.

    ReplyDelete
  73. This is the most important auction since...

    ...yesterday

    Bruce, I had to give Grand Rounds today, it's hard to talk at 7am.
    Usually it is all I can do to sit upright and drink coffee.

    ReplyDelete
  74. Send in the Clowns.
    Paging Harry Wanger, please pick up the white courtesy phone.

    foghorn

    ReplyDelete
  75. Lefty:

    I know...I expected a groan from the Spooky news quip about the CIA, but nobody is awake or loves me anymore...

    Oh, Say LA Vee....

    ReplyDelete
  76. BBC Business
    Portugal denies borrowing problem http://bbc.in/e6Cwjz

    ReplyDelete
  77. Snowed again here overnight...rumor is that polar bears have been seen outside of town floating on ice they no longer have at the NP..

    ReplyDelete
  78. ".. it's hard to talk at 7am. Usually it is all I can do to sit upright and drink coffee."

    I'd be willing to vouch for you on that.. LOL

    ReplyDelete
  79. all i know is that the market is going to do something.. and then some news item will be attributed to the move.. but it would have done it anyway, LOL.

    ReplyDelete
  80. A sex therapist wondered what the differences in religion would make with women when they reached climax. So he found a Protestant, Catholic, and Jewish woman who agreed to be monitored during sex.

    The Protestant woman was first. At climax, she screamed,"Jesus!, Jesus!, Jesus!" over and over.

    The Catholic woman was next. At climax,she screamed,"Mother Mary!, Mother Mary!, Mother Mary!" over and over until she was exhausted.

    The Jewish woman was the last participant. At climax, she screamed," Pink! Pink! Pink!.....I think I'll repaint this room Pink!....."


    Sorry, Karen....

    ReplyDelete
  81. BinT
    Same here, cannot wait for spring.
    Pond iced up again this morning.
    I HATE some winter.

    foghorn

    ReplyDelete
  82. http://www.economist.com/node/18114537

    Where are the workers?
    Troubling trends behind the falling unemployment rate

    ReplyDelete
  83. Treasury sells 30-year bonds at 4.75% yield. 2.51 bid to cover 2.68 avg

    ReplyDelete
  84. A fixed income analyst to be named laterFebruary 10, 2011 at 1:09 PM

    A less exciting auction than yesterday but yields in line with Mr Market. So nothing to be alarmed about here.

    Bid/Cover 2.51
    Total Amount $16 B
    Yield Awarded 4.750%

    Staying in the channel between 4.6 and 4.8%, look for another yield spike next week, for the PPI on Wednesday. CPI Thursday.

    Now, we need to make some money for the P/Ds. How about a bit of a risk-off jobby today, and then at 2pm we will also get the new POMO timetable so we can see who will be gaming what and when.

    ReplyDelete
  85. Karen, I-Man is in love with your 12:57...

    ReplyDelete
  86. BTW, bought a dip a few minutes ago... first one of the day.

    ReplyDelete
  87. Why is FNMA down 18% today? I didn't see the news..

    ReplyDelete
  88. Lefty,

    I am with you about buying bonds next week.

    ReplyDelete
  89. @foghorn (1:01)

    There's always pond hockey ... http://familyfun.go.com/crafts/pond-hockey-goal-966477/

    2s2b

    ReplyDelete
  90. A fixed income analyst to be named laterFebruary 10, 2011 at 1:31 PM

    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-02-10/u-s-30-year-fixed-rate-mortgage-increases-to-5-05-highest-since-april.html

    There is some kind of resolution coming for Fannie and Freddie and this will be announced on Friday. Don't forget that they are BK. I think we are about to hear about them being wound up. The question is who gets the toxic assets? Fire sale of the good mortgages to private equity? Clever scavengers like NLY and CIM getting them for pennies? Then send all the shitpiles back to the TBTF?

    OK I am dreaming...

    ReplyDelete
  91. BloombergTV, Barclays' Ghezzi Says U.S. Stimulus Policy Is `Becoming Harmful' http://ow.ly/3U130

    ReplyDelete
  92. I think it might be fun to trade some zero coupon Treasuries one way and hedge with TBT the other way. There will be no need to hedge once QE2 ends or some other kind of SHTF.

    ReplyDelete
  93. "I-Man said...
    BTW, bought a dip a few minutes ago... first one of the day."

    you mean you didn't buy the SPY dip below 131.40 this morning?

    I'm saddened and disheartened!

    ReplyDelete
  94. zerohedge
    Prominent Chinese Economist Advises Country To Sell Its $500 Billion In GSE Holdings Before QE2 Ends http://is.gd/KXSPLk

    ReplyDelete
  95. Ha!

    I was trying to play by the rules...

    ReplyDelete
  96. new high for aapl 360.00 (yesterday's 52 week high 359.00.. 52 week low 194.00) currently sellling off low of day 352.00

    what is with all the .00s ??

    ReplyDelete
  97. aapl falling knife! hope jobs is okay.. geeze..

    ReplyDelete
  98. mini flash crash ? hopefully not jobs.

    ReplyDelete
  99. anecdotal reports that nobody is lining up to buy the Verizon iphone

    ReplyDelete
  100. RUMOR: LTCM Founder Myron Scholes Retired From His Hedge Fund http://read.bi/fBVAx3

    ReplyDelete
  101. A lot of rumors going around lately...

    ReplyDelete
  102. SPY 1 min chart looks wacky today...

    @I... I couldn't even guess which way it may go now, it's between most of my 18 fib levels.

    ReplyDelete
  103. Something tells me thats just how the Market wants it, 18...

    ReplyDelete
  104. zerohedge
    Stratfor Reports Mubarak Has Already Left Country, Speech Prerecorded http://is.gd/TAyQea

    seriously.. we need a rumor gauge!!

    ReplyDelete
  105. BreakingNews
    Mubarak will announce constitutional procedures before handing over powers - al Arabiya

    ReplyDelete
  106. The one I heard this morning was that the Saudi King is dead.

    Yesterday it was PTJ calling a top.

    Today its Steve Jobs is dead.

    I'm thinking aliens will reveal themselves as head of the World Bank tomorrow.

    ReplyDelete
  107. actually that was a reutersflash..

    ReplyDelete
  108. On the radio (before I got home and back to the computer) the egypt rumor of the minute was that Mubarak was refusing to leave after all.

    ReplyDelete
  109. Bruce, the Jobs news is totally unconfirmed and wretched.. people grasping to explain a rapid 12pt drop in aapl..

    ReplyDelete
  110. Jenn.. the mubarak rumours are all over the map..

    ReplyDelete
  111. I'm thinking aliens will reveal themselves as head of the World Bank tomorrow

    you guys are always behind the ball

    http://www.emirates247.com/news/ufo-white-ball-over-dome-of-rock-2011-02-03-1.351281

    ReplyDelete
  112. we are in the psychology of uncertainty right now.. reminds me of the eye of AR's creditcane.

    i remarked yesterday, or earlier in the week, how twitchy the traders were..

    ReplyDelete
  113. anon @ 2.. LOL.. i almost posted that pic yesterday : )

    ReplyDelete
  114. another rumor! Dish Shares Jump After Credit Suisse Says AT&T May Bid http://bloom.bg/e9sPDa

    ReplyDelete
  115. Jason Ruchel
    all grains dumping into the close...corn now red on day after new highs on year

    ReplyDelete
  116. BTFDMF...

    The only rumor you need.

    ReplyDelete
  117. New POMO schedule out...no wonder we're up more...

    ReplyDelete
  118. finally, a fact! Breaking News
    Oklahoma records all-time cold-weather mark this morning: 31 degrees below zero at Mesonet - NewsOK http://bit.ly/i0YbOK

    ReplyDelete
  119. watch the video

    was probably John Titor

    ReplyDelete
  120. i cannot believe this website exists: http://www.isstevejobsdead.com/

    jobs must have an amazing sense of humor..

    After I'm dead I'd rather have people ask why I have no monument than why I have one.

    Cato the Elder
    Roman orator & politician (234 BC - 149 BC)

    ReplyDelete
  121. WFMI
    may be a good short next week

    ReplyDelete
  122. new video: 100y bond 1000y bond what's the difference http://ping.fm/pysf1

    ReplyDelete
  123. Back to these levels... again

    http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$BPSPX:$VIX&p=D&yr=2&mn=0&dy=0&id=p87574561966

    ReplyDelete
  124. Be a yardstick of quality. Some people aren't used to an environment where excellence is expected.

    Steve Jobs

    ReplyDelete
  125. Pain train in KCC land. Long bond won't quit. Holding tight.

    ReplyDelete
  126. A fixed income analyst to be named laterFebruary 10, 2011 at 2:40 PM

    The boys over at Macro Man refer to these days as "donning the Kevlar gloves". Having been through this before (Jan and Apr 2010), the Death of Treasuries talk and general Slough of Despond around Fixed Income this week does seem all too familiar. Sentiment extremes, we embrace Ye.

    Having serious thoughts about Zero Coupon Ts, but we have to be VERY sure before we go down that road.

    ReplyDelete
  127. Monster move in USDJPY.

    ReplyDelete
  128. New blog post: Real money buying EUR/USD on dips http://www.forexlive.com/166112/all/real-money-buying-eurusd-on-dips-2

    BTW.. today will make USOs third straight close under its 100 MA..

    ReplyDelete
  129. We would like to introduce K to Treasury STRIPS.

    :-)

    ReplyDelete
  130. Now would be a great time for a sell-off into the close...you know, just to mix it up a little.

    ReplyDelete
  131. Ecuador's 2010 Crude Oil Output 486,088 B/D
    2:50 PM ET 2/10/11 | QUITO (Dow Jones)--Ecuador's average crude oil output last year was 486,088 barrels a day, virtually unchanged from the 486,049 b/d registered in 2009, the Central Bank reported.

    The country's total 2010 oil production was 177.42 million barrels.

    Petroecuador averaged 301,216 b/d last year, while the remainder was produced by private companies operating in Ecuador.

    Oil is Ecuador's main export and the government's main revenue earner.

    In January, Ecuador's government concluded almost three years of negotiations aimed at gaining more control over its natural resources and increasing its oil revenue by replacing production-sharing deals with services contracts.

    The new contracts turn the companies into service providers for the exploration and extraction of hydrocarbons.

    ReplyDelete
  132. Selloff into the close?

    BLASPHEMY.

    ReplyDelete
  133. zerohedge
    GE has lost $50 million on CSCO today. Yes, GE

    ReplyDelete
  134. But it will probably look like it will selloff into the close, just enough to get some shorts on board, and then the big boys come out with extended clips in the uzis.

    ReplyDelete
  135. Jennifer said...
    Now would be a great time for a sell-off into the close...

    We are using the suction device in the emerging markets.
    It isn't quite ready for US applications.

    No, please don't touch that !!

    ReplyDelete
  136. oops.. wasn't csco supposed to hold 19?

    and that aapl show earlier was an view into how tight stops are to lock in profits, imo..

    ReplyDelete
  137. U.S. Stocks Retreat on Concern Over Cisco's Margin, Inflation - BBG

    US Stocks Retreat on Boredom, Low Volume and Lack of Yield

    Doesn't really have the same ring, does it?

    ReplyDelete
  138. Seems like Egypt has the potential to get out of hand in the AH.

    ReplyDelete
  139. MA has already put out two new pieces this week, if anyone is interested:

    http://www.martinarmstrong.org/economic_projections.htm

    Of course, pay him no mind, he's just a kook...

    ReplyDelete
  140. AAPL continues to go down...

    ReplyDelete
  141. Mr. Straightarrow may have a touch of Peyronie's disease, methinks..

    ReplyDelete
  142. Black and sweet, like my ladies.

    ReplyDelete
  143. Certainly not !!

    You should ask the ladies whether curvature is a real phenomenon.

    ReplyDelete
  144. Always remember
    The angle of the dangle
    is in direct proportion
    to the heat of the meat.

    ReplyDelete
  145. commonly see this type of price action after a breakout out near the apex of the triangle:

    http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_OpWmYZm7O8I/TUxg3AprrxI/AAAAAAAADpM/vd8VbQXGTHU/s1600/001-binve_01.png

    ReplyDelete
  146. speaking of diseases you can catch in NYC:

    http://www.nytimes.com/imagepages/2011/02/10/nyregion/disease-graphic.html?ref=nyregion

    ReplyDelete
  147. Not what?

    The coffee, or the ladies?

    ReplyDelete
  148. Just my hobby, but this action looks weak to me week after week. Interest rates are generally higher...commodities are higher..at least some countries are reporting alarming PPI's...I don't see the retail buyer jumping in like the tech bubble, even in this very manipulated FED environment...

    ..I suppose I could go play in the sandbox..

    ReplyDelete
  149. We know you have a way with the ladies I...

    ReplyDelete
  150. Not the disease, the curvature... !!

    I can bring coffee from Lloyd's Zanussi machine.

    ReplyDelete
  151. I don't see the retail buyer jumping in like the tech bubble

    But the Street and the media will keep on trying to lure them.

    ReplyDelete
  152. Lefty,

    Curvature in ladies is a very real phenomenon..

    ReplyDelete
  153. Thanks for reminding me, Bruce...

    Mrs I would not be pleased.

    ReplyDelete
  154. Or is it a Zamboni? I forget. NO, that was Stevie Cohen.

    ReplyDelete
  155. Curvature in ladies is a very real phenomenon..

    Says the plastic surgeon !

    ReplyDelete
  156. Obama holding a placard that says GAME OVER in regards to Egypt..

    Who knew?

    http://www.cbsnews.com/

    ReplyDelete
  157. http://www.cbsnews.com/2300-202_162-10006594-7.html

    ReplyDelete
  158. Talk about freudian slips

    http://www.rawstory.com/rs/2011/02/clinton-legalize-drugs-too-much-money/

    -------------------------------

    "...Asked by Denise Maerker of Televisa what she thought of drug legalization, Clinton said it was unlikely to work.

    "There is just too much money in it," Clinton said. "You can legalize small amounts for possession, but those who are making so much money selling, they have to be stopped. They can’t be given an even easier road to take, because they will then find it in their interest to addict even more young people."..."

    ----------------------------------

    Just damn
    Too much money for whom?

    foghorn

    ReplyDelete
  159. Even after a 14% drop, CSCO is less attractive than Bruce.
    Which obviously is saying something.

    ReplyDelete
  160. Today is a bit of a bore. Which earnings are going to suck next?
    As always the interesting thing to watch is the Friday action.

    Do people fear being long almost as much as being short?
    Or does nobody care about this market any more?
    We will find out tomorrow by about 3pm.

    ReplyDelete
  161. COLD STEEL didn't show up for work today.
    The more often that happens, the bolder Mr Shorty becomes.

    ReplyDelete
  162. In my grand wisdom oh assembled multitude, I listened to the great seers and prophets of 2001-2 who told me that big tech had had its day in the sun. I, Grasshopper, took that advice to heart. I did know that John Chambers was not a bubba I would want running my business. Now I did NOT know that Steve Jobs would have more brains than Albert Einstein on a coffee high...but he is certainly OOTO. (Out of the Ordinary)...

    ReplyDelete
  163. Speaking of staying away from fucking plastic surgeons.
    BEFORE
    http://www.thebuzzmedia.com/wp-content/uploads/2007/10/jenna_jameson_hot.jpg

    AFTER
    http://laurielovesyou.files.wordpress.com/2010/09/jenna-jameson-oscar-gala-01-thumb.jpg

    Just say NO.

    foghorn

    ReplyDelete
  164. I dont know how I keep dodging these bullets... I guess cutting loose at 3:40 is saving my ass.

    ReplyDelete
  165. Is this really the best Egyptian translator we can find? I can't understand a word the guy is saying. Doesn't seem like he is leaving though.

    ReplyDelete
  166. I'm toying with a new strategy of just booking gains and getting out as fast as possible.

    If up a few ticks, immediately moving stop up to even, if up 7, stop protects 5, if up 10 ticks, stop is immediately moved to protect the 10.

    If clipped out at up 10, who cares?

    If your stop is protecting 10, and it turns to 15, you move it up again...

    No way you can lose getting clipped out with gains.

    Of course, this assumes that your entries are good, if your entries suck, this wont work.

    ReplyDelete
  167. http://finance.yahoo.com/news/January-deficit-grows-by-50B-apf-1040737723.html?x=0&sec=topStories&pos=main&asset=&ccode=

    January deficit grows by $50B, on pace for $1.5T

    ReplyDelete
  168. The retracements lately have been a real PITA...

    As referenced by the action 10 min ago.

    ReplyDelete
  169. BergenCapital Mike Bergen
    Rumor: Top 30 under 30 e-minis futures trader Don Nitti calls a 2011 top in the S&P 500.

    ReplyDelete
  170. Until tomorrow, peep.

    Positions will be closed out tomorrow. Maybe by lunch.
    It has been a long cold and exhausting week in NYC.

    ReplyDelete
  171. That move on the SPX just blew through a ton of stops.

    ReplyDelete
  172. What is the national perception of the Boss Hog SuperBowl?

    Jerra is getting ripped pretty good locally.
    I thought presentation sucked as usual, but game was pretty good.

    http://www.startelegram.com/2011/02/08/2833926/dfw-dropped-the-ball-during-super.html

    foghorn

    ReplyDelete
  173. http://ftalphaville.ft.com/blog/category/capital-markets/

    Return of the ECB bond purchases…

    After a two-week hiatus, the European Central Bank is back; reportedly intervening to buy up Portugese bonds on Thursday after yields on the Club Med debt surged.

    ReplyDelete
  174. AAPL probably down because there were no long lines at Verizon. The iPhone went on sale today. Current excuse is that the majority of people who wanted one ordered online.

    ReplyDelete
  175. Closed red again, ladies.

    Just sayin'....

    ReplyDelete
  176. Bruce

    Word was that the ECB was forced to buy the bonds.

    ReplyDelete
  177. Yep. Amen, I think people just forget about peripheral Europe...but it sure doesn't seem to go away..

    ReplyDelete
  178. i cannot believe the last two, 5 min periouds of the market close.. that was wild.. who ever is running those buy programs is going to lose.

    ReplyDelete
  179. A fixed income analyst to be named laterFebruary 10, 2011 at 4:06 PM

    EURUSD in Wile E Coyote territory. Irish election will get the ball rolling, if there are no other peripheral bond blow-ups. Wall of maturity dead ahead for many of these bond issuers.

    Obviously maturity is not something we worry about.

    ReplyDelete
  180. Didn't the market close red...?

    Smirk...

    ReplyDelete
  181. In color only. And only the Dow. This is ridiculous!

    ReplyDelete
  182. http://www.imagesocket.com/view/2011/01/21/panties510jpgyedh.jpg

    there ya go boys

    ReplyDelete
  183. @ Anon

    You call that RED?

    I call that FLAT...

    But I hear ya... it wont green.

    ReplyDelete
  184. The same folks playing buy programs play the other side too...

    Often wondered if its as simple as flipping a switch, or clicking a mouse.

    The danger, is that we all have the same charts...

    Pack 'o Dogs.

    ReplyDelete
  185. Flat, FLAT
    I was learnt as a young lad,
    that more than a mouthful
    is a waste.
    Waste not/want not.
    Or something like that.

    ReplyDelete
  186. http://www.bespokeinvest.com/thinkbig/2011/2/10/emerging-markets-not-participating-in-global-rally.html

    ReplyDelete
  187. Forex & Bonds Last Change Change %
    EUR/USD 1.3595 -0.0129 -0.94%
    USD/JPY 83.25 +0.89 +1.08%
    GBP/USD 1.6094 -0.0005 -0.03%
    5-Year Treasury 2.397 +0.081 +3.50%
    10-Year Treasury 3.708 +0.066 +1.81%
    30-Year Treasury 4.773 +0.078 +1.66%
    http://finviz.com/

    I-Bro,

    how's that day-trading working out ?

    are you sure it's compatible w/ "Jah/'One Love'" ?

    AAIP

    ReplyDelete
  188. karen

    The last two 5 min candles is a way to remind those who doubt their power of what they can do to the market. That or another hedge fund closed shop and waited until the close to liquidate.

    ReplyDelete
  189. A fixed income analyst to be named laterFebruary 10, 2011 at 4:26 PM

    EEM has support at 44. That would be a JBTFD.
    Until we get there, PARTY ON, Garth.

    Looking ahead we have a light data week and PPI on Wednesday. Absent some offshore meltdown that usually means we have a bullish M/Tu. You really can't see Treasuries finding much enthusiasm, the PPI will probably be priced in by the time it arrives. So bearish Ts.

    Resolution of Egypt - precious metal sell-off? Just a thought.

    ReplyDelete
  190. http://peoplesworld.org/j-p-morgan-chase-forecloses-on-active-duty-troops/
    ------------------------------------

    "...Over 4000 families were affected.

    "We failed to comply with aspects of the law," said Stephanie Mudick, a vice president of the bank at a recent hearing, offering an apology to the troops.

    However some lawmakers were not satisfied writes the Wall Street Journal, "California Rep. Bob Filner, the top Democrat on the panel, made it clear he doesn't think an apology is enough.

    "You broke the law. How are we going to hold you accountable?" said Filner. "Everything is impersonal. Nobody is ever responsible and yet these people's lives are turned upside down. You can't just apologize...and then, this is over."...

    ---------------------------------
    Blythe at it again.

    foghorn

    ReplyDelete
  191. cmg up 17 pts in ah.. cake not so much.. i'm just shaking my head..

    ReplyDelete
  192. Fixxy,

    these Rates are lookin' to get 'out of Control', no?

    pretty soon, we're going to be looking for a different 'Playbook', yes?

    AAIP

    After Hours: 88.41 +0.22 (0.25%) 4:16PM EST
    http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=TLT

    ReplyDelete