Tuesday, August 10, 2010

AmenRa's Corner

A place where a skillful caddy always offers cool contemplation when it comes to your "stick" selection



Creditcane: That was fun. Wait until you see my next move.



SPX
High wave day. Still holding above 1110. Still above the SMA(89) but below the SMA(144). Midpoint above EMA(10). Below the trendline (3/6/09-5/25/10). No daily 3LB changes (reversal is 1115.01). QE2infinity.



DXY
Spinning top day (with long "hair"). Confirmed bullish piercing. Midpoint below EMA(10). The 85.11 (fibo .1459) has been violated and tested 80.95 (fib .09) and failed. No daily 3LB changes (reversal is 81.54).



VIX
Bearish short day. Did confirm bullish harami. Midpoint above EMA(10). Still holding below weekly 3LB mid and monthly 3LB mid. Still below the SMA(89) and below the SMA(144). No daily 3LB changes (reversal still 24.25).



GOLD
Spinning top day. Confirmed bearish thrusting. Above the SMA(21) and the SMA(89). Midpoint above EMA(10). Still above 14.6% retrace. New high on daily 3LB (reversal is 1197.90). Tested but failed (again 2x) the weekly 3LB reversal price.



EURUSD
Hanging man day. Failed to confirm bearish thrusting. Midpoint above the EMA(10). Held the SMA(144). Holding above 1.2935 (fib .1459) and the 38.2% retrace. Still above the trendline (11/27/09-3/17/10). No daily 3LB changes (reversal is 1.3076).



JNK
Doji day. Did not test the 76.4% retrace. Still above all SMA's. Midpoint below EMA(10). No daily 3LB changes (reversal is 37.72).



GS
Doji day. Tested and held the SMA(144). Midpoint above the EMA(10). The 38.2% retrace (153.99) didn't hold. No daily 3LB changes (reversal is 152.58).



10YR YIELD
Bearish short day. The 14.6% retrace is relegated to history. Did not hold 0.0% retrace at 28.17 (new). Midpoint below EMA(10). Still below the SMA(21). New low on daily 3LB (reversal is 28.92). Ring. Ring. BB what are you going to do now?



DJ TRANS AVG
Bearish long day. Confirmed hanging man late after removing slack. Still trading above all SMA's. Midpoint above EMA(10). Daily 3LB reversal down (reversal now 4516.35).



LUMBER
Bearish short day. Back below the SMA(21). Still below the weekly 3LB mid. Midpoint below EMA(10). No daily 3LB changes (reversal is 194.60).


85 comments:

  1. oooh...

    Amen breaking out the GANN's (EUR-USD)

    ReplyDelete
  2. Looks like the 10yr has thrown down the gauntlet at the feet of the Fed.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Don't forget the Fed is notorious for waiting about three days before making a "surprise" announcement.

    ReplyDelete
  4. Also the SPX failed to hold the 50% retrace of (1576.09-666.79) at 1121.44. Might not be much but it still failed to hold.

    ReplyDelete
  5. Karen,

    previous.

    We did Where the Red Fern Grows in 5th grade and if I recall correctly I read The Outsiders in 6th grade. Never read Old Yeller though.

    Stay gold ponyboy.

    ReplyDelete
  6. Anyone looking at the futures charts? Asia not at all impressed with the post FOMC rally and back at the lows.

    ReplyDelete
  7. I have never seen crude gap down at this time of night. China data worries back on the front burner

    ReplyDelete
  8. Most currencies have returned to pre FOMC ranges after the bump. EURJPY new recent low.

    ReplyDelete
  9. If QE2 or lite whatever we are calling it sees a giant market rally there will need to be a lot of revisions to statements made by many about what caused the 09 market rally.

    ReplyDelete
  10. This has the makings of a major shank tonight ...

    ReplyDelete
  11. our man Cramer-

    These actions proved that Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke “is not the problem,” Cramer said. “It’s a Congress” focused on legislation that “cuts profitability.” Bernanke is “on the side of the good guys . . . The “Fed said good things,” Cramer said. “Buy.”

    laugh the fuck out loud

    ReplyDelete
  12. Nic, I sat on my hands all day, glad I did.

    ReplyDelete
  13. Nic

    US futures are following suit. But that'll only last until the opening gap up.

    ReplyDelete
  14. Fed taking a few more fresh steps:
    http://twitpic.com/2ditqp

    ReplyDelete
  15. Which is deflation, the elephant or the canyon?

    Or is there even an elephant or a canyon?

    ReplyDelete
  16. Cramers former vote of confidence-

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rOVXh4xM-Ww

    So, if cramer is the ultimate contrary indicator, how do you bet against him here?

    I'm getting too philosophical. Sell.

    ReplyDelete
  17. oh brother, my post above should have read

    sees a giant market....drop

    ReplyDelete
  18. lol, that cramer quote is classic....what a horses ass.

    ReplyDelete
  19. and hat tip to CV-

    I like the clean streamline style of zero icons

    b22-

    I think your statement made sense either way

    ReplyDelete
  20. LB is going to miss Karen's top a lot with no icons. But it is nice and clean

    ReplyDelete
  21. The way Bucky shrugged off the clavadista-style move post FOMC is quite impressive.....

    I'm happy with the 40% long position in DXY right now. I think we congest for the next 24 hours between 80.75 and 81.30. I wouldn't mind a shot at buying the mid 80.00's...

    Those are some weird candles on the S&P minis....it looks a bit toppy but that triangular pattern last few days can't be ignored. A higher high would not surprise and would actually be welcomed. With a 20% of max. short on the S&P, I want to be shorter....

    C'mon Beniccio Bernanke...you can do it...smash that Greenback and put one more bid to the "risky assets."

    ReplyDelete
  22. I think this better describes the markets view of the Feds decision: Gravity Lessons

    ReplyDelete
  23. @AmenRa

    I'm back... (RE:)"Don't forget the Fed is notorious for waiting about three days before making a "surprise" announcement.

    Hmmm... we might have to wait a little longer...

    I mean, CERTAINLY the "surprise" announcement will now come at 3:55PM next Thursday (on the eve of OPEX)...

    Right? Right?

    That would complete the "hat trick" for 2010...

    ReplyDelete
  24. I miss the icons, easier to identify people.

    ReplyDelete
  25. @Andy/all

    I don't know what the deal is with the avatars...

    Maybe I "clicked" on something irregular in the dashboard or something (or maybe it's just BLOGGER)...

    I'm up to my ass in baby alligators here at the moment, so when I get to it, I'll get to it...

    ReplyDelete
  26. the surprise announcement from the Fed will be when they admit that they can't stop the deflation train.

    choo choo.

    ReplyDelete
  27. Please submit all REFUND requests to the webmaster at:

    http://www.kissmyass.com/

    :-)

    ReplyDelete
  28. At,

    Only 40%?!

    I'm half in to the dollar, feeling like I'm a real good spot right now.

    A dollar above 90 and an S&P in the 800's by year end.

    A madman can dream.

    ReplyDelete
  29. That Cramer youtube is a classic but he was wrong and Bill Poole was right. If he had had his way the "bad actors" banks would have gone out of business.

    The Fed's William Poole correctly says the mortgage lenders and homebuilders going out of business were "bad actors" whose punishment was deserved.
    "This year’s markets punished mostly bad actors and/or poor lending practices. The market’s punishment of unsound financial arrangements has been swift, harsh and without prejudice”
    -William Poole, President Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, July 2007

    ReplyDelete
  30. @MCF

    "the surprise announcement from the Fed will be when they admit that they can't stop the deflation train."

    CV has obtained exclusive footage of the occurrence...

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RyIiRwmmhCo

    ReplyDelete
  31. CV,

    I went to the page, very nice bottom, the boots aren't really my thing.

    ReplyDelete
  32. Speaking of zombies...

    The Nikkei is getting POLEAXED...

    ReplyDelete
  33. @bob

    Then I take it you were attempting to lodge a complaint? :-)

    ReplyDelete
  34. @bob

    Or... simple "curiosity"?

    Either way... Your revelation just put yourself in a slightly more VULNERABLE position in a theoretical game of TEXAS HOLD EM... :-)

    ReplyDelete
  35. @AmenRa

    BTW...

    This weeks AMENS CORNER... (Starting tomorrow eve on the eve)...

    http://a.espncdn.com/photo/2007/0611/whistling_straits_800.jpg

    ReplyDelete
  36. CV knows he could lob a little "cut" 4 iron onto that pad, no problem...

    ReplyDelete
  37. This is how the FOMC comes up with their policy statement: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ow4t3C_gCCY

    ReplyDelete
  38. Curiosity, I figured that there should be a very nice ass on kissmyass.com. I was not disappointed. I may buy and copyright the domain now, and charge everyone like you a major infringement fee.

    ReplyDelete
  39. @Amen (9:57)

    LOL

    Send Tchaikovsky the news...

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sBk-r-oRMgM&feature=fvst

    ReplyDelete
  40. @bob

    See? I knew you were a Go**amn capitalist!

    ReplyDelete
  41. Anyone else sensing that society is cracking one chicken mcnugget at a time.

    If you haven't seen this lady throwing a tantrum over the fact she couldn't get McNuggets at 6 in the morning....

    Pretty disturbing stuff...

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wlbV-NPT56s&feature=related

    the most interesting part of the video comes at the end...it's like nothing out of the ordinary went down!

    ReplyDelete
  42. http://www.southparkstudios.com/clips/222638

    Best version of the reasoning behind the curtains.

    From this episode, all of it was spot on, completely hilarious, and more accurate than the financial press.

    http://www.southparkstudios.com/clips/222638

    ReplyDelete
  43. Oh and this is what the Fed plays after the statement is released: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZDAMOjvfyhw

    ReplyDelete
  44. @AmenRa

    Most triumphant!

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N2a3nbTrO_c

    ReplyDelete
  45. yeah, the chicken nugget lady, what a psycho, and the car that pulls up behind after she breaks the window, wonder what they were thinking

    we had the flash mobs a few months back in philly, then there's the real wild stuff like the Michigan killer.

    ReplyDelete
  46. @McF

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FHlopjHepEw

    ReplyDelete
  47. This is how civilized we are.

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tgiR04ey7-M&feature=related

    ReplyDelete
  48. I remember this well...

    Not only was that last CNN video on my birthday...

    But also...

    The RIOTS occurred during a period when I was in Denmark doing some work...

    When I returned... The arrival of the airlines was delayed (literally SMOKED OUT) because of the looting and the fires...

    I remember flying over the brown smoke & burning buildings...

    Lesson?

    I'm not sure... But BE CAREFUL about how many "layers" of separation you all think our society has between CIVILITY (& not)...

    JM2c

    ReplyDelete
  49. I'm not sure just yet but I think Steven Slater could be a hero. You have to laugh at this story.

    ReplyDelete
  50. CV

    I remember that scene in the movie LMAO.

    ReplyDelete
  51. @McF (10:57)

    I'm fairly certain that in the coming months/years... we will see a plethora of HOWARD BEALE activity...

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=90ELleCQvew

    ReplyDelete
  52. It is clean, I agree! But Nic.. I have no clue what a shank night is.. btw, if you think i'm having too much fun, my big date tonight? Costco! Really, it is where he likes to take me, laughing.

    ReplyDelete
  53. Ben.. i'm a wealth of steven slater links if you need them.. jk.. i did read a few stories, tho : )

    ReplyDelete
  54. @karen

    This ought to amuse you... 2nd box from the left on the top...

    http://finviz.com/futures.ashx

    ReplyDelete
  55. CV, somehow that doesn't! besides I was just there.. wanted to see crude at 75 but no.. and i bet you want gold under $1k as much as i do.

    ReplyDelete
  56. I'm into low SILVER prices these days...

    Wanna buy bags of these (at an everyday low COSTCO price)...

    http://www.goldeneaglecoin.com/Silver/90%25_Silver_Coin_Bags

    ReplyDelete
  57. I guess I won't be seeing this movie: What If Dumb & Dumber Were More Like Inception?

    http://nymag.com/daily/entertainment/2010/08/what_if_dumb_dumber_were_more.html

    the comments are the parody.. LOL

    ReplyDelete
  58. CV.. i have drawers full of scrap silver.. not interested.

    ReplyDelete
  59. @karen

    Dissatisfied?

    Try this site...

    http://www.howitshouldhaveended.com/

    ReplyDelete
  60. actually, you are into those disgusting fish!! oh, my, they look like the little sunfish i would catch in the lake! i think i'd eat a rat before i'd eat one of those.. okay, sorry, that was rude.

    ReplyDelete
  61. & you're going to be WRONG about silver...

    It's going to close the gap...

    Why?

    Because when the dollar eventually does collapse, people will need a TRANSACTION medium...

    It will be SILVER - not gold...

    Gold will store "long term" value... But people will TRANSACT with silver...

    Therefore, it's relative WORTH will escalate vs. gold because of its utility...

    Go ahead... Don't believe me... I dare you...

    ReplyDelete
  62. As far as TILAPIA are concerned...

    I'm guessing you've NEVER eaten TILAPIA...

    Nevertheless... The UTILITY is more towards fertilizing a fruit & vegetable garden...

    Distracted... you miss the point...

    ReplyDelete
  63. was it the newcastle ad or the movie?? i'm confused.. this is the movie you will love:

    http://www.middlemenmovie.com/

    LOL! it think it's the same movie.. but i got the better link !!

    ReplyDelete
  64. No, CV.. you have it wrong.. on silver. I have amassed my position. Distracted?? hardly. If you use those fishies as fertilize.. I get it.

    aren't tilapia similar to sole (I'm gagging as I type, btw).. yeah I used to make Lively Lemon Roll-Ups with sole..

    ReplyDelete
  65. I'm not sure I have time to check out the link (because I'm busy)...

    I'm working on my post for tomorrow AM...

    It's entitled...

    "karen isn't happy because the ES mini's aren't down as much as she'd like them to be... she HATES sunfish... she has too much silver in her drawer... movies are a disappointment... & her date brought her to COSTCO...

    but Bob Pisani thinks that might be a POSITIVE for equities"

    ---

    Like the "sound" of it so far? :-)

    ReplyDelete
  66. So Obama signed the bill to assist teachers, police and firefighters. Fine. BUT WHERE IS THE 2011 BUDGET!!!

    ReplyDelete
  67. No... not like sole... closer to perch...

    ReplyDelete
  68. @Amen

    Don't you get it?

    That IS the budget... Freebies to all UNION workers...

    No wonder TWSWB is a fan... That's all his FUSION clients are...

    ReplyDelete
  69. It's a great bill...

    And if it weren't for George Bush, teachers & firefighters would be making 7 figures by now, and that would bring about world peace, stop global warming, double the recipient benefits of gay marriages, and make kumbaya the national anthem.

    ReplyDelete
  70. CV, perch! ? you have cinched it for me.. I'm putting my humus away.. and my french roast skin has just blanched to fresh fallen snow.. still sweet but...

    ReplyDelete
  71. You just insulted McF...

    That's the fish he used to catch on lake Erie...

    ReplyDelete
  72. It was part of the mainstay of the Iroquois Nation Confederacy for centuries...

    But they're just stupid indians, right?

    ReplyDelete
  73. Or if you want to... you could tell me that the Egyptian's were a bunch of idiots too because they fished this same species from the Nile river...

    ReplyDelete
  74. CV, that wasn't my tribe.. we were so distant as to not even be enemies.. no wonder I have such an aversion..

    okay.. calling it a night here! i have a novel to finish..

    ReplyDelete
  75. I guess traders will buy the 10yr at any yield just as long as they're out of equities.

    ReplyDelete
  76. you don't like perch! what?

    oh man, some breaded yellow perch, that's some good stuff right there

    yeah, I know they are bottom feeders, maybe I am too...haha

    ReplyDelete
  77. Ra,

    it would seem after yesterday many of the bond bulls are more confident than ever.

    what could possibly go wrong?

    ReplyDelete
  78. Ben

    Reported gas leak at the WH.

    ReplyDelete
  79. A few weeks ago I said I would go all short once QE2 was announced.

    Well, I didn't go all short yesterday (do still have some shorts though), I did nothing, but that would have been a good trade.

    doh!

    ReplyDelete
  80. and post PR day, there is a ton of buzz on CNBC about:

    1. buy the dips (all the way too XXXX and then maybe we get worried)

    2. there will be, there just has to be, another announcement from the Fed or a bailout for homeowners, any day now, seriously

    3. Soft Patches, Headwinds, Whips, Chains, Whistles, and Yo-Yo's

    entertainment at its finest

    ReplyDelete
  81. C,

    you are such a bastard for saying something about Michelle's vacation:

    http://news.yahoo.com/s/yblog_upshot/20100810/pl_yblog_upshot/first-lady-went-to-spain-to-spend-time-with-grieving-friend

    as for all the other vacations, well, she's got a lot of grieving friends.

    ReplyDelete